Bottom line: Tencent, Baidu and other Chinese Internet giants should rein in their appetite for new debt in anticipation of an economic slowdown that could sharply dampen their growth.
Tencent doubles bond program to $10 bln
Social networking (SNS) giant Tencent (HKEx: 700) shattered Chinese Internet records late last week when it said it would double the size of its already-large bond program to a massive $10 billion, becoming one of the biggest such programs ever for a private Chinese company. The move is part of a broader trend that has seen Chinese Internet firms raise billions of dollars over the last 2 years through a combination of bond offerings and IPOs, tapping strong investor appetite for their high-growth story.
Such sums would have been unthinkable just 2 or 3 years ago, even though China’s economy was growing much faster then and so were the profits and revenues at companies like Tencent. Floating so much debt is normally not a problem in such boom times, and is often used by strong companies like Tencent to fund their growth. Read Full Post…
The following press releases and media reports about Chinese companies were carried on April 23. To view a full article or story, click on the link next to the headline.
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Visa (NYSE: V), MasterCard (NYSE: MA) Surge On China Move To End Card Monopoly (English article)
Chinese Banks Disobey Order To Support Housing Market (English article)
Bottom line: ICBC’s $4.3 billion lending program for Pakistani power projects is being driven by Beijing policy directives, while Bank of China’s US expansion is a commercially driven move to tap Chinese demand for US real estate.
ICBC in Pakistani power projects
New stories involving 2 of China’s “Big 4” lenders are casting a spotlight on the love-hate relationship that many investors have with these mammoth banks that sometimes act commercially but more often make decisions based on directives from Beijing. The larger item has ICBC (HKEx: 1398; Shanghai: 601398), China’s biggest bank, committing to a massive new $4.3 billion lending program to help develop Pakistan’s energy sector. The other has Bank of China (HKEx: 3988; Shanghai: 601398) planning a modest expansion in the US, as it looks to tap a growing appetite for American real estate by Chinese investors. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: P2P lenders like Lufax and Jimu Box have become the latest hot ticket for Chinese Internet investors, and one or more could make an IPO later this year to seize on the positive sentiment.
Lufax raises $500 mln
I remember a time not long ago when China tech deals worth just $10-$20 million were considered big and worthy of news, as such sums looked big when the sector was just starting to develop. Nowadays the threshold has risen sharply as both domestic and international investors flood into the space. That’s definitely the case with the latest mega-deal, which has seen peer-to-peer (P2P) lending platform operator Lufax raise a cool $485 million in new funding round, a record for the fast-emerging space.
Bottom line: CICC’s IPO later this year will attract lukewarm investor interest due to its fading prospects, forcing it to scale back its plan to raise up to $1 billion.
CICC to get lukewarm reception in HK
A new story on homegrown investment bank CICC is casting a spotlight on the kind of interesting but also somewhat uninspiring Chinese companies that are likely to make offshore IPOs this year, after last year’s bumper crop of offerings that included a far more exciting field of candidates. Yesterday I wrote about Legend Holdings, parent of PC giant Lenovo (HKEx: 992), which wants to raise $2-$3 billion through a listing in Hong Kong. Like Legend, China International Capital Corp (CICC) is a company that’s unlikely to excite investors but could still draw a some interest as a decidedly second-tier player. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: 55Tuan’s stock is likely to move steadily downward following its long-delayed IPO, while the booming P2P online lending sector could be due for a bust next year similar to the recent one for group buying sites.
P2P lending site Jimu Box raises big funds
After writing far too much about the repeatedly-delayed IPO for group buying site 55Tuan (Nasdaq: WOWO), I’m happy to report the offering has finally happened and now I can stop following this company. The 2 main reasons for writing about this offering at all were its potential to become China’s first publicly listed group buying site, and also the first Chinese Internet firm to list in New York this year. The actual company and offering were both quite small and the debut went reasonably well, which I’ll detail shortly.
Meantime, another new fund-raising story has me a bit more excited, with peer-to-peer (P2P) lending site Jimu Box on the cusp of a major new funding that will reportedly total about $400 million. It does seem somewhat appropriate to group the 55Tuan and Jimu Box stories together, since P2P companies are now in the midst of a similar boom that group buying sites experienced when they first burst on the scene 5 years ago. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Products like Qufenqi.com that encourage buying on credit are leading a new wave of online financial products, but could lead to irresponsible borrowing and defaults without proper consumer education.
Qufenqi soars on credit buying
China’s recent financial services boom took a new twist last week, when a start-up e-commerce firm specializing in credit-based purchasing won big new funding and a lofty valuation to support its expansion. Kuaile Shidai’s rapid growth extends a wave of new financial products hitting the market, mostly backed by online companies that can quickly establish a national presence and aren’t subject to the same heavy restrictions as traditional firms.
But while most new firms so far have focused on investment services, Kuaile Shidai is attracting customers by selling goods like smartphones and cameras on credit, and then taking repayment in installments. Such a business model is quite common in the west, and lies at the foundation of the credit card system. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Alibaba’s shares will continue to sag through the rest of the year on any news about the company, whether good or bad, as investors exit the stock to lock in big gains.
Alibaba shares continue downward trend
My earlier theory that shares of e-commerce giant Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) will continue to slump on any news, good or bad, is playing out as the shares re-approach a post-IPO low on a mixed series of headlines about the company. At this point the stock is simply on a downward track, as investors of all ilk who made big profits from the company’s meteoric rise sell their shares to lock in some gains. The pressure looks set to continue for the rest of the year, following the end of a post-IPO lock-up period last month that will allow Alibaba’s earliest investors to join the selling frenzy. (previous post) Read Full Post…
Bottom line: ICBC is likely to ultimately get approval to buy 20 percent of Taiwan’s SinoPac Financial, while Bright Food’s newly closed purchase of Israel’s Tnuva should boost its bid to become China’s first global food group.
Bright Food closes Tnuva buy
I got a sense of deja vu on reading the latest announcement from ICBC (HKEx: 1398), saying China’s leading lender has extended a deadline to buy 20 percent of Taiwan’s SinoPac Financial (Taipei: 2890), 2 years after the tie-up was first disclosed. That’s because this deal looks strikingly similar to another proposed tie-up between leading Chinese telco China Mobile (HKEx: 941; NYSE: CHL) and one of its Taiwan peers, which ultimately crumbled after repeated extensions. In both cases political sensitivities undermined the deals, though such sensitives could play less of a role in the ICBC-SinoPac deal.
At the same time, I’ll also admit my surprise to read that another sensitive deal has closed that will see Shanghai-based food giant Bright Food Group buy Tnuva, Israel’s largest dairy. That deal was first announced about a year ago, but concerns were quickly raised that Israel might veto it over national security concerns. But the latest reports say the purchase has finally closed, handing Bright a major victory in its quest to become China’s first global food giant. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: China’s regulators should work closely with innovators like Alibaba and SMG to minimize the risk from their new financial products that bring small lenders and borrowers together.
Alibaba, SMG partner on film finance
E-commerce giant Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) made its latest advance in the financial realm last week, announcing a major tie-up with Shanghai’s leading broadcaster to promote film finance over its online platform based on the crowd-funding concept. The move extends Alibaba’s recent forays into both entertainment and finance, and could provide a major boost for smaller Chinese movie makers who often lack access to project funding.
But the reality is that movie making is a highly risky business for even the most experienced companies, and smaller productions are famous for losing money. That means many of the projects that get financed through the new Alibaba tie-up with Shanghai Media Group (SMG) may ultimately see investors lose some or all their money if and when poorly conceived projects fail to find an audience. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Alibaba, Tencent and Ping An’s online insurance joint venture should easily find backers for its first major fund-raising, and could even exceed its $8 billion valuation target due to strong demand.
Zhong An targets $1 bln in new funds
This year’s list of major private funding raising by high-tech firms continues, with word that an online insurance joint venture involving 2 of China’s biggest Internet names is seeking to raise a hefty $1 billion in its first funding round. This particular venture certainly has a strong pedigree, as it’s backed by Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) and Tencent (HKEx: 700), China’s 2 leading Internet companies with a combined market value of nearly $400 billion. The pair are joined in the venture by Ping An (HKEx: 2318; Shanghai: 601318), China’s second largest insurer and also one of the most aggressive players in its space. Read Full Post…
