Bottom line: Domestic buyers are likely to comprise most of the investors in Ant Financial’s latest fund raising, though the use of foreign advisers indicates some overseas participation may also be allowed.
Ant Financial raises new funds
Ant Financial, the financial services arm of e-commerce giant Alibaba (NYSE: BABA), is going back to investors for a new mega fund-raising, just a year after taking money from private investors for the first time. But any foreigners hoping to buy into Ant will probably be disappointed, since it appears this new funding round will be mostly open to Chinese institutional buyers. Likewise, Ant’s IPO that could come as soon as next year is likely to happen on one of China’s domestic stock markets, again locking out foreign investors.
Perhaps it’s only fair that foreign investors stand on the sidelines in Ant’s high-growth story, since such investors already have easy access to some of China’s top private companies that are listed overseas. By comparison, domestic Chinese investors have little or no access to shares of Alibaba, Baidu (Nasdaq: BIDU) or Tencent (HKEx: 700), even though that trio of corporate giants derive nearly all their money from China’s booming Internet market. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: A new Beijing bailout allowing banks to swap bad loans for shares of defaulting borrowers will only prolong China’s ballooning bad loan crisis, saddling lenders with shares of poorly run companies.
Beijing prepares new bank bailout plan
Exactly how many times can Beijing rescue the country’s ailing banks? The answer to that question appears to be “at least one more time”, and most likely quite a few more in the next few years. That’s my latest assessment on reading new reports that Beijing is finalizing yet another plan to relieve the burden of ballooning bad debt weighing on most of the nation’s banks.
I’ll discuss the latest rescue plan shortly, and also add why this particular plan is one of the least attractive I’ve seen so far. But before that, I should use this occasion to say once more how this move shows why Chinese banks aren’t a very good investment. Put simply, most of China’s banks still behave more like policy lenders than real commercial banks, making loans based on directives from Beijing and local government officials. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Huawei’s move into electronic payments is its first foray outside its traditional strength as a hardware developer, and reflects its growing aspiration to challenge global rivals Apple and Samsung.
Huawei tries services with Huawei Pay
Fast-rising smartphone maker Huawei no longer seems content to target homegrown rivals like Xiaomi as its main competitors, and is increasingly looking to challenge global leaders Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL) and Samsung (Seoul: 005930). That’s my interpretation of the latest headlines, which say Huawei is preparing to roll out a new mobile payments service in China, less than a month after similar moves by the 2 global leaders.
This particular move comes as a bit of a surprise, since there were no previous indications that Huawei was planning such a foray. Up until now, Huawei was largely been a company focused on hardware, unlike Apple, which has built a big stable of service-related offerings like Apple Pay and its music and video services around its core smartphones and computer products. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Wanda Group founder Wang Jianlin and other major Chinese entrepreneurs intent on building wide-ranging conglomerates should look to the western failure of such firms instead focus on their core business areas.
Wanda’s Wang buys Carmike Cinemas
Billionaire deal maker Wang Jianlin was back in the acquisition headlines last week, when his increasingly diverse Wanda empire announced it would buy US-based Carmike Cinemas (Nasdaq: CKEC) as part of it its dream of building the world’s biggest theater chain operator. But theaters are just one of a growing number of items on Wanda’s recent list of mega-projects, which has also included plans for a multibillion-dollar European theme park, a major e-commerce venture, and investments related to sports and its core real estate products and services.
The sudden diversification looks similar to ones by other cash-rich Chinese companies, most notably e-commerce giant Alibaba(NYSE: BABA), and reflects a desire to move beyond their original businesses into new growth areas. While such a strategy seems logical, western experience has shown that such rapid diversification more often results in dysfunction rather than synergies, and frequently ends with the eventual break-up of such companies into smaller units focused on individual areas of expertise. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: A New York IPO by drug maker MediTech and Hong Kong listing by BOC Aviation will both meet with tepid reception and weak debuts, the former due to its small size and latter due to lack of big growth potential.
Drug maker China MediTech registers for NY IPO
A couple of IPOs are in the headlines as we head into the new week, led by a relatively sizable listing plan by drug maker China MediTech that could be the first significant new offering in New York this year by a Chinese firm. Meantime, Bank of China (HKEx: 3988; Shanghai: 601398) is also announcing plans to spin off and list its airline leasing unit, marking its latest asset sale as China’s banks scramble to raise cash to cushion their rapidly crumbling balance sheets.
Each of these listing stories is a bit different, reflecting the big differences between MediTech, a private company controlled by Hong Kong billionaire Li Ka-shing, and Bank of China, one of China’s big 4 state-run banks. MediTech’s choice of New York over Hong Kong probably reflects Li Ka-shing’s recent bearish stance on China, and also highlights the relative stability that New York offers over Hong Kong and China. Bank of China’s choice of Hong Kong reflects the preference by big state-run companies to make overseas listings in the former British colony, and Bank of China is itself also listed there. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Guo Guangchang’s appearance at this year’s meeting of China’s legislature is a positive signal for Fosun investors, designed to ease their concerns that he might be in danger of arrest as part of an anti-corruption probe.
Fosun chief Guo attends annual Beijing political pow-wow
Local media are buzzing today with the latest thoughts from some of China’s biggest corporate leaders, many of whom are attending a big meeting in Beijing connected to the annual meeting of China’s legislature. But among all the chatter taking place on the pow-wow’s sidelines, the most interesting tidbit among companies I follow is the mere presence of Guo Guangchang, head of the massive Fosun conglomerate.
Guo’s appearance at the Chinese People’s Political Consultative Conference (CPPCC) would normally be a non-event, since he’s an official member of this group that provides advice to Chinese lawmakers. But Guo was in far more sinister headlines back in December, when he disappeared for a few days under murky circumstances and later said he was assisting in an unspecified government investigation. (previous post) Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Minsheng Bank’s $1 billion deal to buy Quam could be on the brink of collapse, the victim of rapidly tumbling sentiment towards Chinese and Hong Kong brokerages amid China’s stock market sell-off.
Minsheng’s HK brokerage buy on brink of sinking?
What a difference a year makes. At this time last year stock brokers in China and nearby Hong Kong were a hot ticket, attracting billions of dollars as investors bet on their huge growth potential tied to booming stock markets in both places. But that enthusiasm has quickly evaporated as China’s stock markets undergo a massive correction, which may be a major factor behind the sputtering of a major acquisition in the space.
The deal I’m referring to is the previously announced purchase of Hong Kong brokerage Quam (HKEx: 952) by Minsheng Bank (HKEx: 1988; Shanghai: 601988), China’s oldest privately owned bank. Minsheng has just announced that a deadline for it to close the Quam investment, worth nearly $1 billion, has passed without closure, hinting the deal may be on the brink of collapse. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Foreign investors will give China bank IPOs a cold shoulder for the rest of this year due to concerns of a bad debt crisis, potentially driving valuations even lower than their already depressed levels.
Zheshang Bank delays IPO plan
A couple of banking stories are spotlighting the rapidly fading attraction of Chinese lenders to foreign investors, who fear the banks are standing on the cusp of a bad loan crisis fueled by China’s cooling economy. The first item has Citigroup (NYSE: C) selling its 20 percent stake in China Guangfa Bank for $3 billion, after original plans to list the bank collapsed due to lack of investor interest. The second item has China Zheshang Bank also delaying plans for a $1 billion Hong Kong IPO for similar reasons.
Both developments come as Chinese banks listed in Hong Kong now trade at extremely low multiples due to concerns about their individual health and China’s broader economic slowdown. Leading lender ICBC (HKEx: 1398; Shanghai: 601398) now trades at a paltry price-to-earnings (PE) multiple of just 5, while Bank of China (HKEx: 3988; Shanghai: 601398) trades at an even lower 3.8. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Vague new tie-ups by UnionPay with Visa and American Express could be followed soon by deals that could finally allow the US financial giants to offer yuan-based credit card services in China using UnionPay’s network.
Visa, UnionPay in new strategic tie-up
Just a week after Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL) launched its Apple Pay service in China, fellow US financial giants Visa (NYSE: V) and American Express (NYSE: AXP) have just announced their own new China tie-ups with the same local partner. That partner, UnionPay, has been eager to announce a growing string of alliances with major foreign financial partners, all of whom are eagerly eyeing its status as monopoly operator of China’s only network for settling domestic financial transactions.
In this case the new separate strategic tie-ups between UnionPay and Visa and UnionPay and AmEx look mostly superficial, since the US giants clearly have far more to offer than their Chinese peer in terms of technology and experience. But Visa and AmEx are probably hoping the tie-ups could serve as a spring-board to accelerate their drive into China, as each eagerly awaits a license to offer domestic payment services in the country. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: China is likely to lead the list of countries getting national security reviews for its US purchases over the next few years, reflecting Chinese companies’ growing pursuit of foreign technology and other sensitive expertise.
Treasury Department releases annual security report
The past year has been notable for a growing number of Chinese acquisitions in the US attracting national security reviews, and now a new report from the reviewing agency is providing some big-picture numbers about the trend. The headline figure from the new report by the US Treasury Department shows that it reviewed 24 proposed acquisitions of US firms by Chinese buyers in 2014, making China the biggest recipient of such reviews.
At the same time, the report also cast a spotlight on several other trends, including the spread of reviews outside the sensitive high-tech sector and into less conventional areas like real estate. One such deal surprised many last year, when the purchase of the storied Waldorf-Astoria hotel in New York to Chinese insurer Anbang for nearly $2 billion was subject to such a review. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: National security concerns are likely to torpedo pending sales of crane maker Terex and the Chicago Stock Exchange to Chinese buyers, while a similar sale of Ingram Micro shouldn’t draw as much scrutiny.
Terex, Chicago Stock Exchange sales draw national security concerns
Just a day after chip maker Fairchild (NYSE: FCS) called off talks to be purchased by a Chinese buyer over concerns that Washington would veto the deal, 2 other similar planned acquisitions of US firms are coming under the microscope. In the more ominous of the new developments, a group of 46 US congressmen have expressed reservations about a deal announced last week that would see a little-known Chinese company buy the Chicago Stock Exchange.
The other development has a single US congressman expressing similar reservations about a deal that would see Chinese construction equipment maker Zoomlion (HKEx: 1157) buy US crane maker Terex (NYSE: TEX). At the same time, yet another major deal that could draw similar national security scrutiny is in the headlines, with word that a company connected to private equity investor HNA Group has offered to pay $6 billion for computer and component distributor Ingram Micro (NYSE: IM). Read Full Post…
