Bottom line: Alibaba’s new Disney tie-up is unlikely to gain much traction due to overcrowding in China’s Internet video market, while its tie-up to sell $8 billion worth of bad debt from asset manager Huarong looks mildly positive.
E-commerce giant Alibaba(NYSE: BABA) is in a trio of headlines as we head into the year-end holidays, led by a new tie-up with Disney (NYSE: DIS) as it looks to leverage its growing stable of media assets. But in a sign of how much attention the company now attracts, the other 2 stories in the headlines aren’t really ones that Alibaba would care to trumpet too much.
The larger of those is mildly positive, with media reporting that Alibaba’s Taobao C2C marketplace is teaming up with one of China’s leading bad asset sellers to auction off $8 billion in soured loans. The other headline is one that’s becoming a small headache for Jack Ma, and involves Evergrande Taobao the soccer team that he co-owns. That story has one of Japanese car maker Nissan’s (Tokyo: 7201) China joint ventures suing the club for breach of contract related to a high-profile sponsorship dispute. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Beijing should make investigators be more transparent when making publicly visible moves like detaining company executives, or risk financial turmoil when markets are left to try and guess what’s happening.
Beijing’s anti-corruption campaign took an unexpected turn into the private sector last week with the sudden disappearance of Guo Guangchang, one of China’s richest men and chairman of one of its most successful private conglomerates, Fosun Group. Word of Guo’s disappearance sparked widespread speculation and also some panic among investors in his dozen listed companies, forcing the group to scramble for answers to avoid financial chaos.
The case highlights the need for greater transparency by anti-graft investigators as they dig deeper into China’s corporate realm to root out corruption that has become all too common in the nation’s business culture. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Hong Kong’s IPO market will heat up in the first quarter of next year for non-financial Chinese offerings, while privatizations of Chinese firms from New York are likely to accelerate at raised offering prices.
A series of new listings in Hong Kong and de-listings from New York are heating up the headlines as we head toward year-end, reflecting 2 of the major themes for 2015 IPOs. Hong Kong hasn’t exactly been a hotbed for new listings this year, but has been gaining recent momentum that includes news of a $300 million planned IPO by hotpot chain Haidilao. At the same time, other reports are saying that Bank of Zhengzhou has just launched its own Hong Kong IPO, spotlighting another trend that has seen a flurry of mainland Chinese banks try to tap the market to bolster their financially-stretched balance sheets.
Meantime across the Pacific in New York, children’s website Taomee (NYSE: TAOM) and drug maker Wuxi PharmaTech (NYSE: WX) have come closer to completing previously announced privatization plans, as part of a broader exodus of Chinese companies from the US. The former case has Taomee announcing it has formally signed a buyout deal to privatize the company, and Wuxi Pharma saying it has completed its own privatization. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: The detention of Fosun Chairman Guo Guangchang could signal a move into the private sector for Beijing’s anti-corruption drive, a move that would put top executives in traditional sectors like finance and real estate most at risk.
Beijing’s 2-year-old anti-corruption drive has taken an unexpected twist into the private sector, with word that one of the country’s richest men and head of the high-profile Fosun Group was taken away by police. There’s very little detail on reasons behind the disappearance of Guo Guangchang, sometimes called the Warren Buffett of China for his investing acumen. But speculation centers on his potential involvement in corruption investigations involving a major figure in his home base of Shanghai.
Up until now, nearly all of the dozens of company executives being investigated for corruption have come from the state-run sector, where officials are much more likely to use their position for personal gain. But corrupt practices like lavish gift giving and bribery are a fundamental part of doing business in China, and there’s little doubt that such practices also occur in the country’s vibrant private sector. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Upcoming IPOs by China Postal Bank in Hong Kong and Canadian Solar’s solar plant-building unit in New York should get strong receptions, though both may have to wait until after the Christmas holidays to launch.
An upcoming mega IPO in Hong Kong by the stodgy Postal Savings Bank of China is shaping up as one of this year’s hottest new offerings, with word that it’s added domestic heavyweights including China Life (HKEx: 2628; Shanghai: 601628; NYSE: LFC) and Tencent (HKEx: 700) to its impressive list of early investors. In other IPO news across the Pacific, solar panel maker Canadian Solar (Nasdaq: CSIQ) is also drumming up hype for a new offering by its solar plant-building unit, which has landed some modest new financing from big-name western commercial lenders.
Each of these IPO stories has a different subplot, but a common theme is that both could be relatively hot despite distinctly cool sentiment these last few months towards new offshore Chinese listings. It’s not yet clear if either offering will make it to market by the end of next week, which is probably the latest they could occur before the traditional Christmas break. But even if they have to wait until next year, both could do reasonably well. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Mango TV’s scaled-back new funding reflects the potential and stiff competition in China’s online video market, while Lufax’s Chinese and foreign roots could make it a name to watch in the emerging private financial services sector.
Two fund-raising deals likely to be among China’s largest next year are in the headlines as we close the week, led by a major paring back of plans by upstart online video company Mango TV. The other news is shedding more light on aggressive expansion plans by Lufax, another upstart in the peer-to-peer (P2P) lending space, which is in the process of seeking $1 billion in new funds.
Let’s jump right in with the Mango deal, which is reportedly close to wrapping and will see the company raise $1.5 billion. (Chinese article) I’m admit I’m not completely sure that the figure is US dollars, as the Chinese report doesn’t specify if it’s dollars or Chinese yuan. But the US dollar figure is more consistent with reports last month, which said Mango was seeking to raise up to 20 billion yuan, or about $3.2 billion in its second funding round. (previous post) Read Full Post…
Bottom line: P2P lending platform operator Lufax will attract mostly state-owned investors for its latest $1 billion funding round, setting the stage for a 2016 Hong Kong IPO worth $2 billion or more.
It seems I may have underestimated the clout of peer-to-peer (P2P) lending platform operator Lufax when I said in August it could be eyeing a 2016 IPO in the neighborhood of $500 million. That IPO still looks likely to come next year, most likely in Hong Kong. But it could be much larger, based on reports of a new mega-funding that would value the company at a whopping figure of up to $20 billion.
The new valuation would mark a huge jump from earlier this year, when Lufax was valued at $10 billion after its most recent $500 million funding round in April. (previous post) The bigger picture is that China’s P2P lending sector is growing fast but also rapidly consolidating, as Beijing weeds out smaller players that have been accused of everything from fraud to other practices that put individual lenders at too much risk. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Alibaba and Tencent are likely to find themselves in a growing number of clashes in the year ahead due to consolidation involving their investments at home and a limited number of opportunities abroad.
In what’s shaping up as a trend for the year ahead, Tencent(HKEx: 700) and Alibaba(NYSE: BABA) are clashing once again in a newly announced South Korean Internet bank initiative in which both of China’s top Internet companies have an interest. It may be slightly overstated to call this particular instance a clash, since stakes held by Alibaba-affiliated Ant Financial and Tencent in 2 newly formed Korean Internet banks are probably quite small, probably at 5 percent or less.
But the reality is that these 2 Internet titans are increasingly clashing in a growing number of instances, as each invests in a wide array of areas to expand beyond their core businesses both inside and out of China. Those investments have put the pair in awkward situations in 2 of China’s largest Internet M&A deals this year, one involving the formation of hired car services giant Didi Kuaidi, and the other in a newer deal that has Meituan and Dianping merging to form a new leader in the group buying space. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Lukewarm receptions for new IPOs by Bank of Jinzhou and STO Express reflect investor concerns about Chinese banks and parcel delivery firms, and more broadly worries about China’s economic slowdown.
The New York market for Chinese IPOs may be dormant as 2015 draws to a close, but Hong Kong and China’s domestic markets are buzzing this week as Beijing lifts a months-long ban on new offerings imposed during a major summer sell-off. As new listings resume, investors are showing strong skepticism towards 2 of the more market-oriented offerings getting set to hit the market, one in Hong Kong from regional lender Bank of Jinzhou (HKEx: 416) and the other in Shenzhen from leading private parcel delivery firm STO Express.
Both of these offerings are probably better indicators of true market sentiment than the many other IPOs getting set to launch in Shanghai and Shenzhen with the end of the 4-month ban. That’s because investors in both of these deals are more market oriented, unlike many of the other deals whose shares are being purchased by mainland speculators who have little interest or understanding of the companies they’re buying into. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Beijing should eliminate barriers that are slowing the flow of private money into lending services, in a move to offset a slowdown in lending from traditional banks that are dealing with a growing bad-loan crisis.
A flurry of headlines last week highlighted the recent move by private companies into China’s financial services market, led by reports that Apple(Nasdaq: AAPL) could become the first major foreign company to offer electronic payments in the country. At the same time, a chilly reception for a Hong Kong IPO by regional lender Qingdao Bank (HKEx: 3866) highlighted the difficulties many traditional Chinese banks now face due to concerns about a looming bad debt crisis.
Beijing regulators should be commended for their recent efforts to open up the financial services market to more private investment, but should consider accelerating the campaign by streamlining bureaucracy for big and well-financed domestic and foreign names like Apple and Tencent(HKEx: 700). It should also consider a similar streamlining of bureaucracy for foreign banks, many of which have left China off their global roadmaps due to stiff restrictions that make doing business difficult. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Apple could become the first big foreign company to offer domestic electronic payment services in China, representing a major accomplishment for CEO Tim Cook in his recent campaign to improve relations with Beijing.
Big names like Visa (NYSE: V), MasterCard (NYSE: MA) and PayPal have been waiting for years to offer electronic payment services in China, but now it appears that tech titan Apple(Nasdaq: AAPL) may be the first to break into the lucrative market. That’s the signal coming from the latest headlines, which say that Apple is aiming to formally launch its Apple Pay electronic payments service in its second largest global market in the next few months.
If Apple succeeds, the move would represent a major victory for the company and vindication of CEO Tim Cook’s recent campaign to cultivate better relations with Beijing. Apple Pay would be entering the market less than 2 years after the product’s formal launch, which is extremely fast for bureaucratic China. By comparison, Visa, MasterCard and PayPal have all been waiting more than a decade for China to open the market, and the 2 credit card giants even led a campaign that resulted in a complaint at the WTO. Read Full Post…