Bottom line: Huawei’s smartphone unit is finishing 2015 on a solid note, meeting its annual targets a month early, while Xiaomi will need to show better overseas performance next year to regain some of its fading momentum.
Huawei meets smartphone targets early
A flurry of new numbers are coming from the smartphone space as we head into year end, reflecting the different focuses of domestic leaders Huawei and Xioami. When the history books are written, 2015 will be remembered as the year when Huawei surged to become the world’s third biggest smartphone brand behind only Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL) and Samsung (Seoul: 005930), and also the clear Chinese leader. But for Xiaomi, 2015 could be a year the company would rather forget, as it lost momentum in its home China market due to stiff competition and saw slow progress in its overseas expansion.
The latest headlines have Huawei forecasting its overall revenue will surpass the $60 billion mark this year, equating to a rise of 29 percent or higher from last year’s $46.5 billion. That would mark a nice acceleration from the previous year’s 20.6 percent revenue growth, with much of the gains coming from the company’s rapidly growing smartphone division. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: New comments from OnePlus are the latest sign of a shakeout set to hit China’s smartphone sector in 2016, with at least 3-4 small to mid-sized brands likely to close up shop by the end of next year.
OnePlus trims product line
The latest signs of trouble in the overheated smartphone space are coming from newcomer OnePlus, which is detailing its own missteps and predicting a much-needed industry shakeout will intensify soon. The comments from OnePlus co-founder Carl Pei are some of the most direct I’ve seen so far about the industry’s current woes, though he’s careful to avoid any implication that OnePlus itself might fall victim of the shakeout he’s predicting.
The fact of the matter is that OnePlus is exactly the kind of player that’s likely to go belly up in the looming shakedown, and Pei’s description of his current situation paints a rather bleak picture for his company. Equally intriguing is Pei’s prediction that one or more major players may also withdraw from the space in the coming consolidation. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: China Resources’ unsolicited bid for Fairchild Semiconductor is certain to fail, but reflects Beijing’s desire to broaden its field of domestic companies making bids for global microchip companies.
China Resources enters chip-buying race
Beijing’s recent bid to build up its high-tech microchip sector is in the headlines again, with word that state-run conglomerate China Resources has made an 11th-hour bid for mid-sized US chip company Fairchild Semiconductor (Nasdaq FCS). This particular bid, which would value Fairchild at nearly $2.5 billion, was quite a surprise, since Fairchild had agreed just last month to be acquired by US rival ON Semiconductor (Nasdaq: ON).
There are 2 major elements to this chip story that has seen China become a sudden major bidder for global assets. The biggest picture is a story of consolidation in the global sector, which is long overdue and comes as maturing technology and has created an intensely competitive field of mid-sized players, many of those losing money. The second element is Beijing’s own recent decision to join the field of global buyers, as it tries to build up a homegrown chip giant to compete with big global players like Taiwan’s TSMC (Taipei: 2330) and South Korea’s Samsung (Seoul: 005930). Read Full Post…
Bottom line: TSMC’s plan for a $3 billion Nanjing chip plant marks the latest in a nascent but growing string of China-Taiwan tie-ups in the chip space, which could gain momentum under Beijing’s recent aggressive program to develop the industry.
TSMC to build $3 bln chip plant in Nanjing
After years of disappointment for failing to fulfill its potential, China high-tech chip sector has suddenly come to life over the last year with a flurry of deals that hint Beijing is taking the lead to promote the sector. The latest of those is one of the biggest and most significant yet in terms of technology, with word that Taiwan’s TSMC (Taipei: 2330; NYSE: TSM), the world’s leading contract chip maker, will build a $3 billion state-of-the-art 12-inch wafer plant in the city of Nanjing.
The move is particularly significant because TSMC is the clear global leader in high-tech microchip production, with a client list that includes most of the world’s major companies like Qualcomm (Nasdaq: QCOM) and Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL). The deal also marks the latest in a nascent series of tie-ups between China and Taiwan in the chip-making space, a potent combination that could someday counter current powerhouses in South Korea and Japan. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: A new patent lawsuit against it in the US highlights one of the biggest challenges Xiaomi and other Chinese tech brands will face in their global expansion, and exposes a major weakness in China’s own patent protection system.
Xiaomi hit with US patent lawsuit
Stumbling smartphone sensation Xiaomi suffered a recent new setback in its global aspirations, after being sued in the US for patent infringement involving technology used in several of its popular models. The new action comes a year after Xiaomi was sued over similar allegations in India, and reflects one of the biggest challenges Chinese high-tech brands face as they try to expand beyond their home market.
Foreign companies often choose to pounce when these Chinese brands venture abroad, because they know that legal systems are more mature and patent enforcement more effective in these countries than in China. Many of these countries take immediate action against suspected patent violators if they believe a case is valid, unlike China where cases can often drag on for months or even a year or more before a verdict is reached. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: The latest muddled comments from Lenovo founder Liu Chuanzhi could reflect his growing frustration with CEO Yang Yuanqing, who could be forced out in the next year if the company’s performance doesn’t improve.
Lenovo’s Yang looks for new rice bowl
It’s no mystery that PC giant Lenovo (HKEx: 992) has been stumbling in the last 2 years due to bad execution in the smartphone space. But slightly more mystifying are new remarks by company founder Liu Chuanzhi on his views about his self-groomed successor and CEO Yang Yuanqing. Liu is currently chairman of Lenovo parent Legend Holdings (HKEx: 3396) and is 71, which isn’t too old. But his remarks on Yang’s performance on the sidelines of a recent event make him seem a bit muddled and also convey the conflicting feelings of loyalty and frustration that he must be feeling about his appointed successor.
Before I attempt to translate his actual remarks, we should put the Lenovo story into a bit of context to understand what Liu is saying. Yang Yuanqing is famous for building Lenovo into a global PC giant through an aggressive acquisition strategy, which began with the landmark purchase of IBM’s (NYSE: IBM) PC business in 2005 and later included other acquisitions in such diverse markets as Germany, Brazil and Japan. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Huawei’s strong sales for its Mate line of mid-range smartphones and positive coverage of Apple’s newest China store opening spotlight 2 of this year’s top Chinese smartphone trends, which should continue into next year.
Huawei aims high with Mate 8 launch
A couple of smartphone headlines are spotlighting 2 of this year’s top trends in the market, namely the rapid rise of Huaweiand the remarkable turnaround in China for Apple(Nasdaq: AAPL). The first headline has Huawei announcing lofty targets for the latest model from its line of mid-range smartphones. The second has Beijing becoming Apple’s unofficial Asian capital, with the opening of its fifth store in the city — more than any other in Asia.
Both of these stories are quite remarkable, as each represents a major shift from previous trends in 2014. Huawei has struggled for the last few years to differentiate itself from a crowded field of domestic smartphone makers, but finally emerged as a leader this year based on its better product designs. Similarly, Apple’s recent surge marked a major turnaround from the last few years, when its reputation took a beating in China due to poor relations with Beijing. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Apple could become the first big foreign company to offer domestic electronic payment services in China, representing a major accomplishment for CEO Tim Cook in his recent campaign to improve relations with Beijing.
Apple Pay eyes February China launch
Big names like Visa (NYSE: V), MasterCard (NYSE: MA) and PayPal have been waiting for years to offer electronic payment services in China, but now it appears that tech titan Apple(Nasdaq: AAPL) may be the first to break into the lucrative market. That’s the signal coming from the latest headlines, which say that Apple is aiming to formally launch its Apple Pay electronic payments service in its second largest global market in the next few months.
If Apple succeeds, the move would represent a major victory for the company and vindication of CEO Tim Cook’s recent campaign to cultivate better relations with Beijing. Apple Pay would be entering the market less than 2 years after the product’s formal launch, which is extremely fast for bureaucratic China. By comparison, Visa, MasterCard and PayPal have all been waiting more than a decade for China to open the market, and the 2 credit card giants even led a campaign that resulted in a complaint at the WTO. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Alibaba’s spin-off of its C2C marketplace for second-hand goods could reflect a new trend for big Internet firms to separately run individual assets, while LeTV may have provided most of the money in the first funding round for its smartphone unit.
Taobao spins off Xianyu
A couple of fund-raising headlines are spotlighting emerging trends in China, including a nascent move by big companies to spin off smaller units as separately run and funded entities. That move was center stage in new reports that e-commerce juggernaut Alibaba(NYSE: BABA) is spinning off its Xianyu marketplace that specializes in sales of second-hand goods between consumers.
The second headline comes from online video high-flyer LeTV(Shenzhen: 300104), and spotlights a trend that shows rapidly cooling investor sentiment towards overheated sectors like video and smartphones. That news has LeTV declining to name any of the backers in the first funding round for its fledgling smartphone unit, hinting that no serious investors were interested in this particular opportunity that raised $530 million. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Xiaomi’s newest product launch focused on cheap smartphones and LeTV’s scrapping of an IPO for its film-making unit reflect fading prospects for these former superstars due to stiff competition.
Xiaomi rolls out more bargain phones
Former Chinese superstars Xiaomiand LeTV (Shenzhen: 300104) are in the headlines with new setbacks, reflecting the meteoric rises and equally fast falls that China is producing in its own version of the dot-com bubble. But this bubble has distinctly Chinese characteristics, and is coming in a more mature Internet where rampant competition and copycatting make it very difficult to make profits.
The first headline has Xiaomi rolling out 3 of its newest smartphones that are decidedly low-end, representing a big setback for the company’s drive to produce higher-end models that have fatter profit margins. The second headline has LeTV scrapping a plan to make a separate listing for its filmed entertainment unit, a year after hyping a new IPO that it hoped could mimic the meteoric rise in its own stock earlier this year. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Google should follow the example set by LinkedIn and Apple and be more transparent when it returns to China, and should work with Beijing to forge a more constructive relationship.
Google eyes China return in 2016
One of the strongest signals yet that Google (Nasdaq: GOOG) could soon return to China came late last week, when media reported the company was aiming to open a Chinese version of its Google Play app store next year in accordance with relevant Chinese laws. Such a move would represent an important improvement in the company’s relationship with Beijing, coming 6 years after Google shuttered its China-based search service due to a disagreement on self-policing policies that apply to all sites in China.
The shift is being driven by both sides, amid a realization that they can work together constructively to each other’s benefit. Google’s realizes that China is a market it can’t afford to ignore, with the world’s largest base of 600 million Internet users and 1.3 billion mobile subscribers. Beijing also realizes that a high-tech giant like Google can bring important technology and know-how to the country, whose large stable of smartphone makers already rely heavily on Google’s free Android operating system (OS). Read Full Post…
