Bottom line: Lenovo’s latest results show a company on the cusp of prolonged downturn over the next 2-3 years, as efforts to resuscitate its ailing smartphone business look set to sputter.
Lenovo stands at a crossroads
When is a $714 million loss good news? It appears the answer is when your name is Lenovo(HKEx: 992), the world’s biggest PC maker, which has just thrilled investors by reporting the massive loss in its latest quarterly results. It seems investors were braced for even worse, expecting a loss of just over $800 million due to a previously announced $923 million one-time charge as it cleared out massive inventory of its low-end smartphones that have failed to find a market in China or overseas.
Of course I’m being slightly sarcastic in my assessment, since such a massive loss is never a good thing and Lenovo in this case simply wasn’t losing as money as quickly as many were expecting. But the better-than-expected result still sparked a rally for Lenovo’s shares in Hong Kong, with the stock finishing up nearly 6 percent after an earnings report that was quite uninspired otherwise. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: A new alliance between Ericsson and Cisco, and inability to quickly bring its new Nexus 6P smartphones to China reflect the challenges Huawei will face to maintain its growth as it comes under new pressures both at home and abroad.
Ericsson-Cisco alliance challenges Huawei
Two new developments involving Huawei are spotlighting the kinds of challenges the Chinese telecoms giant will face as it tries to maintain growth for its older networking equipment and newer and rapidly rising smartphone business. The larger of the two items have global giants Cisco (Nasdaq: CSCO) and Ericsson (NYSE: ERIC) forming a major new alliance that could provide big new competition for Huawei. The second comes in a smaller news item that has Huawei saying it will launch its new Google (Nasdaq: GOOG) smartphone in Taiwan later this month, but quietly adding it won’t be bringing the Nexus 6P model to its home China market anytime soon.
Huawei grew at a breakneck pace in the first decade of the 21st century, as it made quick inroads into global markets where names like Ericsson and Motorola traditionally dominated. But that growth has slowed sharply in the last few years as the building of traditional telecoms networks slows worldwide. The slowdown has hit not only Huawei, but also led to major consolidation in the global networking equipment industry. At the same time, demand has been growing more strongly for individual company-based networks that are a specialty of Cisco. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Lenovo’s focus on PCs for its latest product launch is designed to divert attention from its struggling smartphones, which are likely to show more losses and weak performance in the company’s upcoming quarterly results.
Lenovo targets bargain hunters
It was just 2 years ago that Chinese tech titan Lenovo (HKEx: 992) was on top of the world, having just gained the title as the world’s biggest PC brand from Hewlett-Packard (NYSE: HPQ) and declaring that Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL) and Samsung (Seoul: 005930) were its next targets. But you don’t hear the company’s chatty chief Yang Yuanqing talking about Apple, Samsung or even smartphones that much these days, most likely because all of its efforts in that space have struggled to find an audience.
Instead, Yang was falling back on his company’s older PC business in the latest headlines, showing off a few new models from its Yoga line that can function as both laptop and tablet PCs. The only problem is that both of these types of computer are in rapid decline, as consumers increasingly flock to large-screen smartphones for simple functions like reading news and e-commerce shopping that they used to do on their PCs. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Unigroup’s aim of building a telecoms and memory chip giant through strategic tie-ups and plant construction could provide challenges for global leaders like Qualcomm and Samsung.
Unigroup affiliate eyes new chip factory
Tsinghua Unigroup has leaped from obscurity to become a major headline grabber over the last 2 years, by snapping up a series of global and domestic assets aimed at building a Chinese chip maker that could someday rival the likes of Qualcomm (Nasdaq: QCOM) and Intel (Nasdaq: INTC). That spending binge continues this week with 2 new headlines, led by comments from Unigroup’s top executive saying he would consider a bid for Taiwan’s MediaTek (Taipei: 2454), one of world’s top makers of chips used in smartphones. In the other headline, a China-listed Unigroup affiliate has just said it plans to raise up to 80 billion yuan ($12.7 billion) to build new chip plants.
All of this comes just a week after Unigroup announced another $600 million deal to purchase a quarter of Taiwan’s Powertech (Taipei: 6239), which engages in the relatively low-end business of test and assembly services for microchips. (previous post) These latest headlines are the clearest indication yet that Unigroup and its affiliates have strong backing from Beijing. I say that because most of the funds being raised in a newly announced private placement by Tongfang Guoxin Electronics (Shenzhen: 002049) are coming from state-run sources. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: VMWare’s new China joint venture is the latest such tie-up for a major western tech firm to ease Beijing’s national security concerns, and could prompt the US to implement tougher restrictions on technology transfers to China.
VMWare in China cloud joint venture
EMC (NYSE: EMC) and its acquirer Dell are jumping on a high-tech train that goes directly to Beijing, with word that EMC-controlled VMWare (NYSE: VMW) has become the latest IT firm to set up a joint venture with a Chinese partner. The trio of high-tech giants join a growing number of other leading US tech firms to form similar ventures, with Hewlett Packard (NYSE: HPQ), IBM (NYSE: IBM) and Cisco (Nasdaq: CSCO) all forming similar tie-ups over the past year.
The rush to form such alliances comes as China rolls out a new national security law that could otherwise limit the big multinationals’ ability to sell their products and services to the Chinese government and big state-owned enterprises. But at the same time, a new New York Times report is pointing out that many of the Chinese firms in these new tie-ups also have links to China’s defense establishment, potentially setting the stage for a showdown between Washington and Beijing over national security. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: New signals that China’s 3 telcos are reducing their spending could presage a rumored consolidation of the trio into 2, with China Telecom and Unicom the most likely to be merged.
China telcos rope in spending
The latest sign of a potential shake-up in China’s stodgy telecoms sector came late last week, when global networking equipment giant Ericsson (Nasdaq: ERIC) attributed reorganization and weak spending by the nation’s big 3 carriers as a major factor behind its disappointing quarterly results. Despite expectation that China’s big 3 carriers would spend heavily on 4G this year, actual amounts so far have been relatively modest from the trio of China Mobile (HKEx: 941; NYSE: CHL), China Unicom (HKEx: 762; NYSE: CHU) and China Telecom (HKEx: 728; NYSE: CHA).
The unexpected spending slowdown could be the latest sign that Beijing is planning an industry overhaul, following reports that first emerged last month of a possible consolidation of the 3 current mobile carriers into just 2. Such a move would reflect Beijing’s disappointment at the failure of China’s state-run carriers to become global innovators over the last decade, even after receiving monopoly rights over a market that has become the world’s largest for mobile and broadband services. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: The failure of 2 major touch-screen technology manufacturers in Guangdong is the latest sign of trouble in China’s overheated smartphone sector, with similar new closures likely to accelerate in the next few months.
Two more smartphone component suppliers go bust
China’s smartphone wars are taking an unexpected twist, with suppliers to some of the nation’s top brands emerging as the first victims of a prolonged battle for market share. I had previously expected at least one or two small- to mid-sized brands would bow out of the market by the end of this year, though we have yet to see any such developments.
Instead the inevitable shake-out appears to be starting in the supply chain, with media reporting that 2 major smartphone part suppliers have gone bankrupt in southern Guangdong province where much of the manufacturing takes place. (Chinese article) The insolvency of these 2 major suppliers, one in the boomtown of Shenzhen and another in the nearby city of Huizhou, comes just a couple of weeks after the bankruptcy of a major supplier of metal casings for smartphones sold by Huawei and ZTE (HKEx: 763; Shenzhen: 000063). Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Xiaomi’s first-ever quarter-to-quarter sales decline means it’s unlikely to meet its 2015 sales target, while Apple’s latest environmental announcement is part of a broader image-polishing campaign in China that seems to be working.
Xiaomi posts first-ever sales drop
You don’t hear sputtering smartphone maker Xiaomicomparing itself to former role model Apple(Nasdaq: AAPL) too much these days, but both companies are in the headlines today as each pursues its own different agenda. An increasingly desperate-looking Xiaomi is reportedly eyeing the US, as the former high-flyer notches its first-ever quarter-on-quarter decline in smartphone shipments. Meantime, Apple is turning up its China public relations machine with announcement of a major expansion of its environmental protection campaign in the heavily polluted country.
Xiaomi and Apple were often mentioned in the same sentence as recently as last year, when the former was one of China’s hottest companies and pegged by some to become the nation’s first global smartphone brand. During that time Xiaomi’s talkative chief Lei Jun liked to compare his company to Apple, resulting in a war of words at one point after Apple’s chief designer accused Xiaomi of being a copycat. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Tim Cook’s latest trip to China and Google’s new investment in a Chinese voice recognition technology firm reflect efforts by both to build up app-making infrastructure to thrive in the increasingly important market.
Google invests in voice technology firm
Leading high-tech giants Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL) and Google (Nasdaq: GOOG) are both in the China headlines today, led by the third visit this year to the country by Apple CEO Tim Cook to promote app development for his company’s iPhones. Meantime, Google is in the headlines for its new investment in a fast-growing maker of an app that uses voice recognition technology, which many companies believe will be central to mobile devices of the future.
Neither of these stories is huge and instead both are mostly incremental, underscoring the growing importance that China is playing in the global market for high-tech gadgets. In recognition of that fact, Apple realizes it needs to build a robust field of locally-based app developers to make sure its iPhones can maintain their place in the world’s largest smartphone market. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Tsinghua Unigroup could be quietly helping to bankroll Western Digital’s bid for SanDisk, as part of its vision of building a Chinese NAND memory powerhouse that could challenge Samsung.
Unigroup bankrolling Western Digital’s SanDisk bid?
I don’t consider myself a conspiracy theorist, but a sudden flurry of multibillion-dollar memory chip deals all involving Tsinghua Unigroup is certainly catching my attention. Just a day after global chip giant Intel (Nasdaq: INTC) announced a $5.5 billion investment that looked related to Unigroup, we’re seeing yet another similarly large deal that has some indirect ties to this Chinese company linked to the nation’s top science institution, Tsinghua University.
This latest new deal will see hard disk maker Western Digital (Nasdaq: WDC) buy flash memory maker SanDisk (Nasdaq: SNDK) in a cash and stock deal worth $19 billion. (English article; Chinese article) China watchers will recall that announcement of this deal comes just 2 weeks after a Unigroup affiliate paid $3.8 billion for 15 percent of Western Digital. (previous post) I theorized a short time later that Unigroup’s sudden thirst for memory could even prompt it to make a play for storage device giant EMC (NYSE: EMC), which is in the process of being acquired by Dell in a blockbuster deal worth $67 billion. (previous post) Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Intel’s massive spending plan to convert its Dalian CPU plant to memory chip production looks like part of its growing alliance with Tsinghua Unigroup, which is probably helping to finance the conversion.
Intel overhauls Dalian chip plant
Just days after struggling US chip maker AMD (NYSE: AMD) announced plans to largely sell off its Asia manufacturing operations, larger rival Intel (Nasdaq: INTC) is doing the opposite with plans to invest up to $5.5 billion in one of its main Chinese fabs. But in an interesting twist to the story, Intel is spending the big money to convert the fab, which was originally designed to make integrated circuits for PCs, to memory chip production.
This unusual twist is just the latest move that shows Intel is placing its bets on China, as it plays catch up to other chipmakers like Qualcomm (Nasdaq: QCOM) that have discovered the future of computing lies in the mobile telecoms space. As part of its catch-up attempts, Intel has formed a major and growing alliance with Beijing-based Tsinghua Unigroup that is squarely focused on chips used in telecoms and IT services. Memory chips would fit nicely into that equation, since such chips are also a critical part of most IT products, ranging from smartphones to complex networks. Read Full Post…
