Bottom line: Apple is likely to log strong orders for its new iPhone 6S models, aided by its own strong reputation and aggressive promotions by China’s telcos for their new 4G service.
New iPhones on order in China
What a different 3 years makes. In that brief period China has transformed from ugly stepchild to a new Cinderella for gadget giant Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL), whose newly announced iPhone 6S models will make one of their first global stops in the world’s largest smartphone market. That’s the word trickling out from China-based sources, which were leaking the information as Apple unveiled its latest iPhone models at a globally-watched event in California.
While most eyes were fixated on that launch for the new series of iPhones, China watchers were more focused on when the models will come to a market that is now Apple’s largest outside the US, and even briefly passed the US early this year. Apple’s China fans weren’t disappointed, with reports that the nation’s big 3 telcos would begin taking orders for the new iPhones just a day after the US launch event. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: The next few months are likely to see a battle unfold for control of Coolpad, with Qihoo as the likely victor and a smaller chance that LeTV could emerge as a white knight savior.
Tug of war brews for control of Qihoo
What’s likely to become an entertaining battle for control of smartphone maker Coolpad (HKEx: 2369) has taken a new twist, with the company criticizing its joint venture partner Qihoo 360 (NYSE: QIHU) for being a control freak. The remarks from an unnamed Coolpad executive represent the first semi-official response to a surprise move by Qihoo to shut down their joint venture formed less than a year ago.
Qihoo’s said earlier this week that it planned to exercise a “put option” that would effectively shutter the joint venture, forcing Coolpad to pay $1.5 billion to buy out Qihoo’s stake. Qihoo said it was entitled to make the move after Coolpad violated a non-compete clause in their agreement by selling a major stake in itself to online video firm LeTV (Shenzhen: 300104), which was also planning a move into the smartphone business. But the struggling Coolpad can hardly afford the $1.5 billion price tag that Qihoo has said dissolution of the venture will cost. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Qihoo’s latest move forcing Coolpad to buy-out their joint venture could be a bargaining tactic to pressure Coolpad into ditching a separate tie-up with LeTV, and could spark a bidding war for Coolpad by Qihoo and LeTV.
Bidding war brewing for Coolpad?
Smartphone maker Coolpad (HKEx: 2369) has become a bit of a hot potato lately, though it’s not clear if the company is hot property or a pariah these days. The company was one of China’s earliest smartphone makers, and quickly built up share as a leading name in its fledgling home market. But rampant competition as others piled into the market hurt its prospects, prompting it to form a major equity tie-up with security software maker Qihoo (NYSE: QIHU) last December, and then with online video firm LeTV (Shenzhen: 300104) last month.
The LeTV tie-up surprised many, and led Qihoo feeling betrayed. Now Qihoo, whose equity tie-up came in the form of a joint venture, appears to be seeking revenge for that betrayal. In its latest move to express its outrage, Qihoo has just announced it will exercise a non-compete option in their agreement that will force Coolpad to buy out their joint venture at double the current market value. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Xiaomi’s latest scandal involving false promotional claims will deal another blow to its rapid rise, increasing the likelihood that it will miss its already-reduced target for smartphone sales this year.
Xiaomi caught in bait-and-switch scandal
Smartphone maker Xiaomi started this year on a high note, after scoring a major new fund-raising late last December that gave it an impressive $45 billion valuation just 4 years after its founding. But it seems there was only one direction to go from there, as the company has been dogged by a steady series of minor scandals, product delays and disappointing sales figures ever since.
The latest headlines of a Xiaomi scandal reflect just how much momentum the company has lost this year. The reports center on allegations of false promotions for the company’s Hongmi Note 2, after consumers noticed the new low-end smartphone came with a cheaper screen than originally promised. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: The latest downbeat remarks from Unigroup’s chairman after a visit to the US indicate the company has given up on its bid to buy Micron, though it could potentially relaunch the effort after next year’s presidential elections.
Unigroup’s Micron bid looks dead
I wrote several weeks ago that a bid by China’s Unigroup to buy US memory chip giant Micron Technology (Nasdaq: MU) had become the victim of politics, and now it appears the deal is finally dead. Or at least it’s on life support, with little hope of resuscitation. That’s my interpretation, following the latest reports that say Unigroup’s chairman has given remarks that look quite pessimistic after returning to China from a last-ditch US visit to try to save the deal.
This deal looked quite interesting when it was first reported back in July, and would have been worth some $23 billion, marking the biggest-ever acquisition of a US company by a Chinese counterpart. But political sensitivities quickly surfaced due to Micron’s status as the biggest US maker of memory chips used in most electronic devices and also in the defense industry. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Smaller foreign tech companies could follow Trend Micro’s lead and withdraw from China over the next few years, as they suffer sharp business downturns due to restrictions under the country’s new national security law.
Trend Micro sells China unit
This summer has been unusually quiet for big multinationals in China, following campaigns in the last 2 years targeting foreign companies for monopolistic practices and corruption, among other things. But the real turbulence this year has been happening behind the scenes, as foreign technology companies face a major business downturn following China’s recent roll-out of a strict new law designed to protect national security.
Many foreign tech firms have complained the new law is too broad and intrusive, and now security software specialist Trend Micro may have become the first major victim. That’s my interpretation, following an announcement that appears to show Trend Micro is withdrawing from the market. This particular move will see Trend Micro sell all of its China operations to AsiaInfo, a Chinese owned maker of telecoms software. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Lenovo’s plan to reorganize its mobile division around its struggling Motorola operations looks misguided, and doesn’t address why the company’s smartphones have become such industry laggards.
Lenovo reorganizes mobile unit around Motorola
Just a week after I called on PC giant Lenovo (HKEx: 992) to write off Motorola, the company is doing just the opposite and betting bit on the sinking US smartphone brand. That’s the latest word coming from reports that Lenovo is preparing a major overhaul for its struggling mobile operations, which are being reorganized with Lenovo’s recently acquired Motorola operations as the centerpiece.
All of this comes as Lenovo is rapidly emerging as the first major loser in the ongoing war for market share among China’s big smartphone makers. Lenovo reported dismal quarterly results a couple of weeks ago, including a miserable performance for smartphone operations that it hopes will someday replace fading PCs as its core business. Leading the poor results were a 31 percent drop in sales for its Motorola phone division, which Lenovo purchased last year from Google (Nasdaq: GOOG) for $2.9 billion. (previous post) Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Qihoo and Meizu are likely to struggle with their new smartphone campaigns in India, where intensifying competition will also undermine domestic rivals like Xiaomi and Huawei that have recently entered the market.
Qihoo unveils new Qiku smartphones
Qihoo (NYSE: QIHU) and Meizu have announced they are taking their smartphones to India, becoming the latest Chinese brands to export to the fast-growing but increasingly competitive market. India is actually the second stop on Qihoo’s smartphone roadmap, which will begin in its home China market with the launch of the first 2 models of its new Qiku smartphone brand. Meizu has become a major second-tier player in its home China market over the last few years, and formally announced its own move into India this week as it looks to move overseas.
The pair will join several of China’s top smartphone makers in the increasingly crowded India market, which shares many qualities with China. Xiaomi launched in India last year and the market quickly became its second largest globally, while Huawei’s Honor brand has also scored rapid progress in the market. But Qihoo’s biggest competitor in India could be Coolpad (HKEx: 2369), which is already a big player in the market but will also produce Qihoo’s new smartphones through a joint venture formed by the pair last year. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Strong sales growth for Huawei’s Honor brand in the first half of the year reflects the company’s broader accelerating momentum, and could pose a growing challenge for domestic rival Xiaomi.
Huawei’s Honor brand grows in India, eyes US
More new data is showing the growing momentum for smartphone aspirant Huawei, with word that the company’s Honor brand surpassed its sales target in the first half of the year as it prepares to enter the US. The latest numbers continue to portray a surging Huawei, and show how the company is using its traditional strengths in product development and a newer expertise in consumer marketing to overtake big domestic rivals like Xiaomi and Lenovo (HKEx: 992) and also a host of smaller ones like Meizu and Coolpad (HKEx: 2369).
These latest numbers don’t look extremely impressive at first glance, as they show that Honor just slightly surpassed its sales target for the first half of the year. But in the current climate where many companies are missing their targets due to intense competition in China, the ability to not only meet but even slightly exceed a sales target does seem like a noteworthy accomplishment. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: A steady series of leaked photos of a smartphone co-produced by Google and Huawei is designed to give face to Beijing, and could pave the way for a China entry for Google’s Nexus phones and app store by year end.
China wins face in Google-Huawei tie-up
Barely a day has gone by recently without a leaked photo appearing on the Internet of a new smartphone being developed in a landmark tie-up between Chinese up-and-comer Huaweiand Google’s (Nasdaq: GOOG) Nexus brand. A cynic like me would speculate that the growing volume of noise looks rather deliberate, and that both sides are intentionally trying to drum up buzz for a new Nexus model that will become the brand’s first to be made by a Chinese manufacturer.
Huawei
Huawei’s motivations for leaking the information are obvious: this particular tie-up will bring it the validation it craves for its young smartphone business, giving its products the stamp of approval from one of the world’s leading technology names. But Google’s motivations are a bit more subtle. Certainly it’s natural to hype up this kind of new product before the launch. But in this case Google is almost certainly aware of the “face” that China will receive from such a move. That could help to soothe its tense relations with Beijing as it eyes a return to a market it can’t afford to ignore. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: China’s smartphone market will contract through the middle of next year in terms of unit sales, but will grow by sales value as consumers upgrade to higher-end models for their second and third purchases.
Smartphone sales drop in Q2
The newest quarterly data for China’s smartphone market reveal a divergence taking place, with the actual number of phones sold down sharply even as total sales value posted healthy growth. That divergence reflects the fact that after buying their first smartphones over the last 2 years, often at very low prices, many Chineseconsumers are becoming more selective for their newer purchases.
When they buy their second and third phones, many are no longer only looking at price, and instead are considering other factors like a phone’s attractiveness, reliability and functionality. That bodes well for names like Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL), Samsung (Seoul: 005930) and Huawei, which excel at higher-end models that are both attractive and well designed. But it looks more ominous for names like Lenovo (HKEx: 992) and the many smaller homegrown brands that are churning out cheap, more generic models. Read Full Post…
