Bottom line: Baidu’s sale of its Qiyi video unit is a first step before a domestic IPO, and the valuation from that sale shows that Alibaba is overpaying for rival video site Youku Tudou and that industry leader LeTV is still highly overvalued.
Baidu sells Qiyi video unit in run-up to IPO
Two of China’s largest online video sites are in the headlines as the nation returns to work after the week-long Lunar New Year holiday, led by word that Baidu (Nasdaq: BIDU) is selling its controlling stake of its iQiyi online video unit. In this case the move looks like preparation for a domestic IPO by the unit, since the buyer of the stake is a group led by Baidu founder Robin Li and iQiyi chief Gong Yu.
The second report has Youku Tudou (NYSE: YOKU) announcing a date for its shareholders to vote on an offer to sell the company to e-commerce leader Alibaba (NYSE: BABA). The meeting will take place on March 14, and will mark a final step before Youku Tudou ceases its brief but stormy life as a publicly traded company and becomes part of Alibaba. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: A new equity alliance between Qihoo and Norway’s Opera web browser is a smart move that could see initial turbulence due to differing management styles, but should ultimately benefit both sides.
Qihoo in group buying Opera
Security software specialist Qihoo 360 (NYSE: QIHU) is taking an important step towards its ambitions of becoming a global Internet brand, with word that it’s part of a group set to buy Norway-based Opera (Oslo: OPERA), maker of the world’s fourth most popular mobile Internet browser. Qihoo is already the maker of one of China’s most popular homegrown web browsers, and is also posing one of the first serious challenges in years to online search leader Baidu(Nasdaq: BIDU) with its Haosou.com engine. It’s also making a big push to move its highly popular security software products into the global marketplace.
Against that backdrop, this new deal looks quite intriguing and also like a smart step for Qihoo to complement its current strengths. But I would also caution that Qihoo is famous for its business tactics, which many might describe as highly aggressive and even unethical. Those include designing products that make big changes to computer and smartphone configurations without their users’ knowledge, most often to favor Qihoo at the expense of rival products. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Results from Chinese New Year promotions show that WeChat will continue to dominate over Alipay in gift-giving and other friend-to-friend transactions over the mobile Internet due to its original design as a SNS service.
WeChat trounces Alipay in online hongbao promotions
Most of China has been on holiday these last few days, but leading Internet companies Tencent (HKEx: 700) and Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) have been working overtime trying to put the best possible face on dizzying numbers from their red envelope gift-giving promotions over the holiday.
Tencent is focusing on the headline figure of 8 billion money-filled virtual red envelopes, known in Chinese as hongbao, that changed hands on its wildly popular WeChat messaging service through the second day of the Lunar New Year. Alibaba, meanwhile, is focusing on its own headline figure that shows its Alipay electronic payments service received a whopping 21 billion hits per minute at the height of a New Year’s promotion it held with leading TV broadcaster CCTV. Read Full Post…
The wildly popular “Voice of China” variety show has landed at the center of a major copyright dispute in China, attracting big audiences in its own right. How the conflict gets resolved will pose a major test for China’s young and fiercely competitive industry that makes programs for TV and other video channels.
The conflict’s origins lie in “Voice of China’s” copyright owner, the Dutch company Talpa, and Vico Systems, which has been producing the program for the last 4 seasons. After failing to come to financial terms for a fifth season of the show, Talpa found a new production partner, Talent TV and Film (Shenzhen: 300426). (Chinese article) Read Full Post…
Bottom line: An internal review that netted a Youku Tudou executive for suspected abuse of position was likely linked to the company’s pending purchase by Alibaba, and could be followed by more similar internal actions by China’s big tech companies this year.
Internal probe nets Youku VP
E-commerce leader Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) is quickly learning that major M&A can be a tricky business, as 2 of its largest purchases deliver headaches with the exposure of problems at acquired companies. First there were a series of accounting irregularities and a criminal investigation against an official at its Alibaba Pictures (HKEx: 1060) unit purchased in 2014, and now newly acquired online video unit Youku Tudou (NYSE: YOKU) is providing yet more headaches.
The latest problems are related to a single executive, with reports that a company vice president named Lu Fanxi has been taken away for questioning by police on suspicion of using his position for personal gain. This kind of activity is quite common in smaller Chinese companies, and Alibaba itself uncovered similarly inappropriate behavior by salespeople and fraudulent merchants at its B2B marketplace unit in 2011. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Pactera is likely to get sold and re-listed in China later this year, while New Oriental is likely to make a domestic listing worth up to $100 million for its Xun Cheng online education in a similar time frame.
Blackstone shops around Pactera
The homeward migration of overseas-listed Chinese firms is moving ahead, with word that privatized IT outsourcing firm Pactera and the online unit of education giant New Oriental (NYSE: EDU) are both potentially eyeing domestic IPOs in the upcoming Year of the Monkey. These stories represent 2 different threads from the larger story of overseas-listed Chinese companies returning home to make new IPOs.
The thread represented by Pactera has seen around 40 US-listed Chinese companies receive privatization offers over the last year from buyout groups hoping to re-list the firms in China at higher valuations. The New Oriental bid represents a second, more recent trend that has seen US-listed category leaders indicate they will keep their primary listings in New York, but then spin off some of their smaller units for separate domestic listings in China. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Baidu’s reported plan to spin off many of its non-core units for separate listings in China looks like a smart move to attract Chinese buyers for its newer businesses while retaining US investors for its lucrative core search business.
Baidu eyes domestic IPOs for non-core units
Leading search engine Baidu(Nasdaq: BIDU) is reportedly eyeing plans to spin off many of its smaller units for IPOs in China, marking a novel alternative for the growing number of Chinese tech firms torn between listing at home and in the US. The US was the traditional choice for listings by Chinese venture-backed tech firms for most of the last 2 decades, since domestic listings were difficult or impossible during that time due to a heavy bias towards big state-owned companies.
But more recently China has rolled out a new group of boards aimed at attracting high-growth venture-backed companies. The earliest of those, the ChiNext board launched in 2009, has proven quite successful, nurturing such high-flyers as online video site LeTV (Shenzhen: 300104) and film production company Huayi Bros (Shenzhen: 300027). A more recently launched over-the-counter (OTC) board has also proven quite popular, and Shanghai plans to launch its own emerging industries board later this year. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Alibaba’s shares are likely to remain under pressure through the rest of this year as it enters a new phase of slower growth and its stock faces short-term pressure from short sellers.
Investors unimpressed by Alibaba results
E-commerce leader Alibaba(NYSE: BABA) was hoping for praise and kudos when it posted quarterly results that beat market expectations, but instead is receiving a cold shoulder from Wall Street bears who are betting against the company. That’s the bottom line, as investors dumped Alibaba shares after the company reported quarterly revenue that was slightly ahead of expectations.
At the same time, other media reports say that Alibaba is on the cusp of a deal to sell its stake in leading Chinese group buying site Meituan-Dianping for around $900 million. This particular sale was reported previously, and thus isn’t huge news to investors. Still, many are probably disappointed that Alibaba is yielding this important piece of the China online-to-offline (O2O) services market to rival Tencent (HKEx: 700), which will now become Meituan-Dianping’s undisputed strategic partner. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: A subdued mood at Chinese high-tech firms’ New Years parties reflects a growing realism that the days of breakneck growth may be over for many, due to stiff competition and a slowing domestic economy.
Subdued mood at Year of the Monkey parties
The Year of the Monkey is still more than a week away, but already online gaming giant NetEase (NYSE: NTES) is taking the prize for most unusual New Year’s party for including sex toys among its cache of prizes during the lottery at its annual bash. Meantime, stumbling smartphone sensation Xiaomi ushered in the New Year with an unusual dose of new realism from chief Lei Jun, who also added a bit of historical revisionism in a bid to cheer up staff at his annual party.
Theses yearly parties are a good indicator of how companies feel about their performance in the previous year, and also offer some insight into their mood going into the year ahead. A media report sums up highlights from some of this year’s biggest parties, which typically bring together hundreds and sometimes thousands of employees at a single event to celebrate the New Year as a corporate “family”. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Shanda Group is likely to emerge this year as China’s next major global investor with 2-3 major deals, while Renren’s plans to transform into a high-tech investment company stand a 50-50 chance of success.
Shanda, Renren see future in investment
Two former Internet high-flyers that later flamed out are looking for new beginnings in finance, with Shanda Group and Renren (NYSE: RENN) both discussing their transformation plans in separate reports this week. Shanda was once China’s leading online game operator, and its chief Chen Tianqiao dreamed of creating an online entertainment empire. Similarly, Renren was once China’s leading social networking service (SNS) opeartor, at one time often called the Facebook (Nasdaq: FB) of China.
But both companies got overtaken in recent years, and were largely marginalized by better-run rivals like Tencent (HKEx: 700), NetEase (Nasdaq: NTES) and Weibo (Nasdaq: WB). As a result, Shanda founder Chen Tianqiao has recently sold off the various pieces of his former empire, most recently closing the sale of his original Shanda Games operation. Renren is also in the process of privatizing, as its core SNS business rapidly shrivels. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Alibaba’s stock will come under pressure through the middle of the year due to short selling interest tied to China’s correcting stock markets, but the shares should see some upside in the second half.
Bears pile into Alibaba
In what looks like a case of history repeating itself, the bears are suddenly piling into shares of leading e-commerce company Alibaba (NYSE: BABA), with investors shorting the stock at levels not seen since late 2014. Company watchers will recall that the last time Alibaba bears were so active was shortly after its record-breaking IPO, when the stock was soaring as legions of short-term investors traded shares in pursuit of quick profits.
That initial post-IPO hype is now well in the past, and so are most of the lock-up periods that were posing some potential downside to the stock in its first year of trading. That means that rather than focusing on company-specific issues, this time the short sellers are betting on something much bigger: a prolonged downturn in China’s economy. That would affect the entire retail sector, including Alibaba’s core e-commerce business. Read Full Post…
