Bottom line: Measures like LeTV’s share suspension and TCL’s share buyback will have minimal impact on their stock ultimate declines during the ongoing sell-off, and in the former case will only add to LeTV’s image as a market manipulator.
TCL buys back HK unit shares
It’s only Thursday, but already I’m looking forward to the weekend so I can take a break from writing daily about the pounding Chinese Internet and tech stocks are taking both at home and abroad. The number of Internet stocks getting pounded in China has just lost a major member, with word that online video superstar LeTV (Shenzhen: 300104) has joined a growing list of domestically traded companies that have been granted permission to suspend trading of their shares.
At the same time, a few of the other companies I write about are trying different tactics to support their shares, with electronics giant TCL (Shenzhen: 000100) expanding a share buyback program in one such move. Such buybacks usually total millions or perhaps tens of millions of dollars, and thus don’t seem very effective at a time when billions or even trillions of dollars worth of shares are being traded each day. But companies like TCL and LeTV are doing anything they can to try and support their tumbling stocks. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Tencent’s new bond issue and Meituan’s $1 billion fund-raising plan are likely to mark the end of a wave of massive capital raising, as investors pause until China’s financial markets stabilize.
Meituan eyes new $1 bln fund-raising
China’s stock market turmoil may have brought an abrupt end to the booming IPO markets in Shanghai, Shenzhen and Hong Kong, but it hasn’t completely killed investor appetite for hot Internet companies. That’s the conclusion one could draw based on the latest series of mega-deal announcements, including a record $2 billion fund-raising by hired car services app operator Didi Kuaidi.
That fund-raising was formally announced the same day that reports emerged saying leading group buying site Meituan was aiming to raise another $1 billion, less than a year after it raised $700 million. Last but not least, social networking giant Tencent (HKEx: 700) is preparing to raise $100 million of its own, announcing it has just priced the latest tranche of bonds in a previously announced program to issue up to $10 billion in new debt. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: The accelerating sell-off for US-listed China shares looks overblown and stocks are likely to rebound once the panic subsidies, but many previously announced buyout bids are still likely to collapse.
Ailing Chinese stocks infect US
The panic gripping China’s stock markets is spreading to US-listed Chinese shares, with even Internet blue chips like Baidu (Nasdaq: BIDU) and Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) getting sucked into the vortex of what looks like increasingly irrational selling. One media report is pointing out that tycoons like Tencent (HKEx: 700) and Alibaba founders Pony Ma and Jack Ma have seen their fortunes shrink by hundreds of millions or even more than a billion dollars in the latest trading day of the ongoing sell-off.
Another report cites China-based asset managers saying that a flood of privatization plans for China-listed US firms will still move forward despite the growing panic. Their optimism contrasts with growing skepticism among US investors who fear that many of the plans will collapse in tandem with China’s own crumbling stock markets. Anyone who agrees with those asset managers could make some big money right now, as the plummeting US stock prices mean many of these buyout candidates are now trading as much as 40 percent below their offer prices. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: As many as three-quarters of privatizing US-listed Chinese firms could see their buyout offers revoked, but many of their stocks may be oversold due to excessive investor worries during the latest trading session.
Orphan stocks look oversold after sell-off
What started as a wave of euphoria by US-listed Chinese firms looking to make some quick money by de-listing from New York and returning home is rapidly turning into chaos, with shares of many of those companies tumbling in the latest trading session. The fall is directly tied to China’s own rapidly crumbling stock markets, which was where most of these US orphans were hoping to re-list to get better valuations than they had in New York.
But now those plans have been thrown into doubt, and at least one analyst is joining my previous prediction that many of the record 27 companies to receive privatization offers this year could ultimately see those offers revoked. That means many of these companies may be forced to remain listed in the US, where they were punished by angry investors in the latest trading session. Read Full Post…
China’s bubbly stock markets have percolated into US exchanges, helping to raise New York-listed Chinese stocks that are reawakening after years of neglect. The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China index (Nasdaq: HXC) is up approximately 70 percent since 2013.
Yet something odd is happening on the way to this bull market. Managements of many of these companies are deciding to de-list from the US to pursue new IPOs in China. Despite the positive signals, 21 companies have announced since March that they have received proposals to privatize and de-list from the US exchanges. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: China’s new IPO freeze to support its tumbling stock markets is ultimately a bad idea, signaling that Beijing will intervene in its financial markets to rescue irresponsible investors.
China freezes new IPOs
After several days of rumors, China’s securities regulator formally announced a temporary suspension of all IPOs over the weekend in a bid to halt a slide that has seen the main Shanghai index tumble nearly 30 percent over the past month. While such a step is understandable and may even help to calm the markets, it is ultimately misguided and should be allowed to quickly expire for a number of reasons.
A long-term freeze will hinder China’s drive to internationalize its markets, since it signifies that Beijing won’t let market forces prevail and instead will step in to rescue investors every time they spend their money irresponsibly. Such a long-term suspension would also create uncertainty for the many private firms that are some of China’s most dynamic companies, potentially cutting off a vital funding source just when they need it to fuel their rapid growth. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Ant Financial’s valuation looks low but reasonable based on its first major fund raising, and the figure is like to triple or more by the time it makes its domestic IPO in around the next 2 years.
Ant Financial gets low valuation in new funding
After months of negotiations, Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) affiliated financial services unit Ant Financial has finally closed its first major funding round as it revs up a campaign to challenge established state-run banks. But what most surprised me in the latest reports were the low valuation that Ant got from the funding, with the final figure coming in far below all of the earlier forecasts.
The moral of the story is that Ant Financial and other similar privately funded financial services companies still have big potential. But limitations that restrict such companies from seeking foreign investment are likely to limit their valuations, since only a small field of domestic Chinese institutional investors have big enough sums of money to finance high-growth companies like Ant. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Shanghai will bid aggressively for Chinese tech firms to list on a new Nasdaq-style board planned for the city, while shares of companies privatizing from New York will continue to sag in sync with China’s stock market sell-off.
Soccer club eyes IPO on new Shanghai board
A new Shanghai-based Chinese board that aims to compete with Wall Street for new high-tech listings is moving closer to reality, with reports that Baidu’s (Nasdaq: BIDU) iQiyi online video service and Alibaba’s (NYSE: BABA) affiliated Ant Financial unit will be among the exchange’s inaugural listing candidates. A separate report also says that another Alibaba-affiliated company, soccer team Evergrande Taobao, will also list on the board, which is being referred to right now as the new strategic industries board.
Meantime in New York, the current week looks set to end with just a single privatization announcement for a US-listed Chinese firm, a sharp slowdown from the 20 earlier offers in the month of June. In this case the abrupt slowdown is at least partly due to the plunge in China’s stock markets this week, and we’re unlikely to see any more offers until the situation stabilizes. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Xiaomi’s hiring of a new CFO and entry to Brazil are its latest steps in a gradual transformation to a more western-style global company, in preparation for an IPO that is at least 2 years away.
Xiaomi to launch next week in Brazil
Stumbling smartphone sensation Xiaomi is back to doing what it knows best, namely making headlines with the latest moves in its global expansion and by hiring executives from other high-profile companies. In this case the smartphone high-flyer has just announced its formal plan to enter Brazil, putting it squarely in 3 of the 5 BRICS countries after India and China. The other move looks a bit scripted, and will see a top China executive from Russian high-tech investor Digital Sky Technologies (DST) join Xiaomi as CFO.
The latter piece of news looks slightly strange because DST is one of Xiaomi’s investors, and it would be unusual to do something hostile like stealing a top executive from one of your big backers. Instead, this looks more like a planned move that is relatively common in this kind of situation, which sees big investors supply executives to the companies they back in preparation for eventual IPOs. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: The current fund-raising frenzy reflected in a recent round of buyouts for US-listed Chinese companies and large IPOs like the one for Legend Holdings is likely to quickly fizzle if China’s stock market sell-off continues.
KongZhong gets buyout offer
The China fund-raising machine has continued to rumble ahead despite the recent stock market sell-off in Shanghai, with yet another privatization offer coming for a New York-listed firm and a lethargic but respectable debut for newly listed Legend Holdings (HKEx: 3396). The former item saw shares of game operator KongZhong (Nasdaq: KZ) jump after receiving a buyout offer, even as most New York-listed Chinese shares slumped in line with the big sell-off in Shanghai. The latter item saw Legend shares finish down slightly in their Hong Kong trading debut, which doesn’t sound too exciting but was still far better than the 3.3 percent decline of the Shanghai benchmark index. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: A probable correction in China’s stock markets could cause Tongcheng to abandon its decision to list at home, and lead to a weak debut for Legend Holdings’ Hong Kong IPO.
Toncheng eyes China IPO
When the history books are written, the latest batch of IPO news could well mark the end of a brief but unusually buoyant period that has seen many Chinese companies eschew overseas stock markets for listings at home. Leading off the news was a sizzling performance by securities brokerage Guotai Junan (Shanghai: 601211) on its trading debut in Shanghai, as it become China’s biggest domestic IPO since 2010.
Another piece of IPO news also cast a spotlight on the hot Chinese stock markets, as online travel site Tongcheng said it was eying a listing at home in the next year, in a snub to New York where most of its peers are traded. Last but not least, the lukewarm reception for Chinese listings abroad was reinforced by Legend Holdings, parent of PC giant Lenovo (HKEx: 992), which failed to attract any major international investors as it priced its Hong Kong IPO. Read Full Post…
