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New Energy
Latest financial news about New enery in China.
Doug Young has lived and worked in China for 15 years, much of that as a journalist for Reuters specialized about Chinese companies
Bottom line: SAIC’s foray with GM into Indonesia could stand a moderate chance of success, while BYD’s new auto financing joint venture is unlikely to provide a major boost for its stalling EV campaign.
BYD gets approved for auto finance JV
Two of China’s more innovative automakers are in the headlines today, making interesting moves as each looks to maintain growth as the domestic car market sputters. One move will see domestic leader SAIC (Shanghai: 600104) make a new attempt to move outside China with plans to open an Indonesian factory with US joint venture partner General Motors (NYSE: GM). The second move has the sputtering BYD (HKEx: 1211; Shenzhen: 002594) getting government approval to launch a vehicle finance joint venture, which could potentially help to jump-start its stalling electric vehicle (EV) program. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Emerging details are giving more credibility to LeTV’s new electric car initiative, while solar shares look oversold on plunging oil prices and should rebound later this year.
LeTV soars on new EV details
Mixed signals are coming from China’s green energy sector, where a newly turbocharged LeTV (Shenzhen: 300104) is getting a lift on details about its new electric car initiative that includes ties to a technology supplier of US superstar Tesla (Nasdaq: TSLA). But solar panel makers are moving in the opposite direction, with shares of several reaching or approaching all-time lows over concerns that demand will plummet due to low oi prices. I seldom give direct stock buying advice, but in this case I honestly don’t understand the reasons for this sudden plunge and would strongly consider buying some of these shares that seem quite undervalued right now. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Traditional car makers will suffer from weak sales growth and plunging margins in China in 2015 and into 2016, while EV makers will start the new year slow but could see improvement by the end of 2015.
Toyota to miss 2014 target
A flurry of headlines this week are sending ominous signals for the car industry in the year ahead, with both traditional and new energy vehicle makers likely to face an uphill road as China’s economy slows. The problem could be compounded as big new capacity comes online from many major automakers that have invested billions of dollars on expansion over the last 3 years. Other headwinds could come as major cities take steps to ease traffic congestion, with the southern boomtown of Shenzhen becoming the latest to implement a new program to control the number of cars on the road. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Tesla and other EV makers are likely to face an uphill road in China for the next year, but prospects could start to improve in mid 2015 as new initiatives gain momentum.
Tesla launches trade-in program
Reports on a new trade-in promotion from Tesla (Nasdaq: TSLA) are adding fuel to talk earlier this month that the high-flying electric vehicle (EV) maker isn’t doing as well as hoped in China, where sales have gotten off to a slow start. This kind of a sluggish start isn’t too unexpected, since EVs are rare in China and face many obstacles despite a strong push by Beijing to boost the sector. Tesla should be commended for its numerous efforts to promote EV development in China through a wide range of initiatives, but is also largely to blame for the building disappointment after it built up huge expectations for itself in the market. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: China and the west will continue to find common interests in fighting corruption, while Beijing’s state support for certain industries will remain an area of contention for the foreseeable future.
Obama press Xi on Qualcomm case
Sino-US business ties are on display in 3 separate headlines today, reflecting the increasingly complex relationship between these 2 economic superpowers that sometimes agree but often clash on different issues. One of the few things they agree on is the need to fight corruption, which is the theme in one headline that has the US fining health care products maker Avon (NYSE: AVP) for bribery at its China operation.
But the areas of disagreement are a bit more numerous, including US disapproval of Beijing’s strong state support for industries it wants to develop. That disagreement was at the center of another headline that saw the US finalize anti-dumping tariffs against Chinese solar panels, capping a 3-year-old clash on the issue. Heavy western ownership of globally used technologies is another sore spot, which was in the headlines as the US pressured China on a probe it is conducting into the licensing practices of mobile technology giant Qualcomm (Nasdaq: QCOM). Read Full Post…
Bottom line: The resignation of Tesla’s China president hints the company is getting off to a slow China start, while BAIC’s Hong Kong IPO will get a lukewarm reception and trade flat to down over the next year.
Tesla China head resigns after 9 months
Mixed signals are coming from China’s car sector, with state-run automaker BAIC getting a so-so reception for its upcoming IPO as US new energy superstar Tesla (Nasdaq: TSLA) suffers a setback with the departure of its China president. Among these 2 news bits, the one involving BAIC doesn’t come as a huge surprise, since I wasn’t expecting much from the IPO for this stodgy state-run firm. The Tesla news will disappoint the company’s overseas boosters and electric vehicle (EV) fans in general, and hints that this new energy superstar’s drive into China isn’t going as smoothly as hoped.
Let’s begin with the Tesla news, as that’s the sexier of these 2 stories due to the company’s extremely high hopes for China created by its charismatic chief Elon Musk. The latest headlines say Tesla’s China President Veronica Wu, or Wu Bixuan, has resigned after just 9 months on the job. (English article; Chinese article) Tesla declined to comment further on Wu’s departure, but one analyst said the move may reflect slower than expected progress in developing the China market. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: CGN’s shares are likely to rise 10-15 percent on their first trading day next week, while JD.com’s shares could rally over the next few days before resuming a longer downward trend towards their IPO price.
JD raises $620 mln in secondary offering
Just when the year-end rush of new share offerings appeared to be losing momentum with weak demand for property developer Dalian Wanda, the market is getting a lift with a stronger reception for 2 other share sales. The first of those has seen nuclear power plant builder CGN Power price shares for its IPO at the top of their range, making it the largest new Hong Kong listing in 2 years. The second deal saw strong demand for a secondary offering by e-commerce giant JD.com (Nasdaq: JD), helping it to raise another $619 million following its IPO back in May. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: The recent plunge in solar stocks is the result of panic selling due to falling oil prices, meaning the shares could rebound sharply once the sell-off subsides.
Falling oil prices cast cloud over solar stocks
US investors were showing signs of new energy indigestion in the shortened trading day after Thanksgiving, dumping stocks of all the major solar panel makers in a messy post-holiday sell-off. With no major news from any of the companies, the driving force behind the sell-off appears to be the recent plunge in oil prices, which hit new 4 years lows late last week after OPEC declined to cut its daily output quotas.
Investors appear to be worrying that falling oil prices will dampen enthusiasm for building new solar plants, since lower oil prices mean solar power will be less competitive with more traditional power sources derived from fossil fuels. The only problem with that logic is that solar power was never competitive with fossil fuels to begin with, meaning solar stocks could be getting punished for no good reason. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Sputtering progress for China’s solar power build-up could erode domestic panel makers’ performance, prompting some to buy more overseas assets to avoid punitive trade barriers in the west.
ChemChina unit buys REC Solar
The latest trouble signs in China’s ambitious solar power build-up are coming in newly released quarterly results from Trina (NYSE: TSL), which has reduced its annual sales targets after scrapping one of its planned new projects in the country. At the same time, China’s industry continues to look for ways to circumvent anti-dumping tariffs in the west by setting up off-shore production and purchasing foreign assets to avoid such penalties. In the latest move on that front, a unit of China National Chemical Corp, also known as ChemChina, has just announced its purchase of a major panel producer in Norway for about $640 million. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: China is likely to fall well short of its plan for 35 gigawatts of solar power capacity by the end of next year due to profit-seeking speculation and lack of experience among plant builders and operators.
China struggles to meet solar power targets
I’ve been quite skeptical for a while about China’s ambitious plans to rapidly build up its solar power capacity, arguing that many of the plants being built are more designed to please central planners in Beijing than of real practical use. Now it seems at least one researcher at a major government institute agrees with that view, prompting him to slash his forecasts for new construction this year. That certainly doesn’t look good for big domestic names like Yingli (NYSE: YGE) and Trina (NYSE: TSL), which are hoping to keep their recent positive momentum going with big new demand from plant developers in their home market. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Solar consolidators like GCL-Poly and Shunfeng will suffer short-term pressure due to difficult acquisitions, but could be longer-term beneficiaries as they earn government goodwill for their actions.
Outlook turns cloudy for Poly-GCL
The latest deal involving an insolvent solar panel maker is seeing a group led by GCL-Poly Energy (HKEx: 3800) take control of bankrupt Chaori Solar, in a takeover that looks slightly ominous but also potentially interesting for investors. The ominous element comes from the fact that these bankruptcy proceedings are occurring Chinese courts, where local politics are often more important than forging deals that make commercial sense.
But the interesting element comes from the fact that many of these insolvent companies enjoy strong backing from their local governments. That means that once all the finances are cleaned up for these insolvent firms, they could actually become good longer-term assets for their new owners. Read Full Post…
