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Journalist China
Business news from China By Doug Young.
Doug Young, journalist, has lived and worked in China for 20 years, much of that as a journalist, writing about publicly listed Chinese companies.
He is based in Shanghai where, in addition to his role as editor of Young’s China Business Blog, he teaches financial journalism at Fudan University, one of China’s top journalism programs.
He contributes regularly to a wide range of publications in both China and the west, including Forbes, CNN, Seeking Alpha and Reuters, as well as Asia-based publications including the South China Morning Post, Global Times, Shanghai Daily and Shanghai Observer
Bottom line: Apple Watch should debut strongly in China thanks to extensive partnerships with top Chinese retailers and app makers, giving the product instant relevance in the local market.
Apple Watch coming to China
Global gadget leader Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL) has been in the local tech headlines nonstop these last few days, wowing Chinese fans with a customized version of its new Apple Watch that will debut in China next month as part of its global launch. Pundits are mixed on how the watch will fare in China, but I expect it should do quite well thanks to inclusion of China’s hottest apps together with the company’s own strong reputation for well-designed, cutting-edge products.
In a separate but probably related Apple headline, media are also reporting a new smart air conditioner that the company has developed with local appliance leader Haier (HKEx: 1169) will also debut in April. Apple first announced this alliance last June as part of a broader smart device alliance under the name of HomeKit, and I suspect the Apple Watch will be usable with these new air conditioners. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: China needs to realize that hardware from private western firms isn’t a risk to national security, and change its stance on new security-related requirements or risk another major trade war.
China’s growing insecurity
China’s growing insecurity is quickly shaping up as the next front line in a seemingly endless series of business disputes with the west, with word that Beijing is weighing a major new anti-terrorism law that would place huge new intrusive conditions on western technology firms. This story has been gaining rapid momentum over the last year, though until now many of the moves have been largely talk and one-time actions aimed at individual companies.
This new move, involving a proposed counter terrorism law, looks set to formally place many of the previous requirements on all foreign tech companies that sell their equipment to Chinese government agencies and other sensitive sectors like banks. Most of the companies being targeted come from the telecoms and related sectors, including networking equipment and the software that runs such equipment. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Lenovo could make significant inroads into western smartphone markets with its newly acquired Motorola if it lets the brand remain independent and maintain its own product development and sales resources.
Lenovo struts phones at trade show
A tour of the Lenovo (HKEx: 9992) booth at a major trade show happening this week in Spain made me realize just how much the company is betting on its recently purchased Motorola brand to boost it into the smartphone big leagues. Motorola’s continuing attraction as a powerful brand was on full display at the Lenovo booth, with large crowds clamoring for a look at what seemed like quite a ho-hum new low-end model being rolled out at the show.
By comparison, a glitzy new Lenovo-brand model from its higher-end VIBE line was drawing far less attention, even as a Brit on the stage sang on with nonstop praises for the unique features of the new model that has many attributes of a high-end camera. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Meizu’s rapid India expansion could provide it with some relief from the overheated China market over the short-term, but will result in new price wars over the next 2-3 years as its domestic rivals make similar moves.
Meizu eyes India
Freshly infused with nearly $600 million in new capital after a major investment from e-commerce giant Alibaba (NYSE: BABA), smartphone maker Meizu is getting set to take on higher profile rival Xiaomi outside China with a major new campaign in India. In many ways, this particular move looks like China’s way of exporting the rampant price wars that have plagued its smartphone market to other countries with similar demographics. In this case, Meizu is not only eying a country that has suddenly become Xiaomi’s second largest market, but is also planning to follow its rival into Southeast Asia. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: NetEase’s new California R&D center could become an important hub for its future global growth, while Zynga’s China pull-out reflects the extreme difficulties foreign firms face in the local gaming market.
NetEase opens US R&D center
Just a day after I wrote that online gaming giant Tencent (HKEx: 700) may be planning a major new drive into the US, we’re hearing that its top rival NetEase (Nasdaq: NTES) is also moving into the neighborhood with plans for a new California R&D center. NetEase’s move comes after search leader Baidu (Nasdaq: BIDU) and Tencent both set up US offices last year, though only Baidu actually announced a major new product development center. (previous post) All of these moves represent the Chinese companies’ efforts to tap into the Silicon Valley ethos, which has far more of the skills they will need in their quest to enter global markets outside of China. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Baidu’s approach of targeting developing markets like Brazil and now the Middle East looks smart due to similarities with China and fewer rivals, while Tencent’s focus on the US looks dubious due to stiff competition.
Internet names in different global approaches
Having become some of the world’s most valuable online companies over the last few years, China’s big Internet names are now looking globally to maintain the kind of growth they’ll need to justify their sky-high valuations. All are trying a number of strategies, but 2 broadly defined camps are emerging: one targeting developing markets like the BRICS, which are less lucrative and more fragmented, but also less competitive; and the other targeting developed markets like the US and Japan that can be very rewarding but are also extremely competitive.
Search leader Baidu (Nasdaq: BIDU) is squarely in the developing market camp, with search operations in Brazil and Thailand, and now new signs it is targeting the Middle East for its next overseas expansion. Tencent (HKEx: 700) appears to be the latter camp, following a high profile entry for its WeChat service into the US last year that now appears to have ended as a very expensive flop. Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) appears to be trying both options, though we have yet to hear of any major spending on any campaigns besides a few small overseas acquisitions. Read Full Post…
The following press releases and media reports about Chinese companies were carried on February 23-24. To view a full article or story, click on the link next to the headline.
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Xiaomi Smartphone Sales Surge To Top Samsung (Seoul: 005930) As China’s No. 1 (English article)
We will be on holiday on the first 3 days of the Lunar New Year, and won’t be publishing any articles on February 19-21. Limited publishing will resume next week, with a return to normal schedule on 25. Happy Year of the Sheep!
Bottom line: China Telecom and Unicom are likely to launch aggressive 4G promotions over the Lunar New Year holiday, sparking a recruiting war that could see up to a third of China’s mobile users on 4G service by the end of 2015.
4G blitz to charge up Year of the Sheep
A flurry of telecoms stories are buzzing through the airwaves on this last trading day of the Lunar Year in China, setting the stage for a turbocharged Year of the Sheep that should see the nation’s 3 telcos embark on a massive free-for-all to sign up subscribers for their new 4G networks. That certainly doesn’t sound too good for profits, since all 3 telcos will be spending heavily on both promotions and infrastructure to build their new networks. But investors could still get excited about these 3 telcos if they can get users to boost their spending, reversing a years-old trend that has seen average user spending steadily decrease. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: China’s regulators are unlikely to veto the merger of taxi apps Didi and Kuaidi, and should encourage similar consolidation to allow for creation of Internet firms that can be globally competitive.
Yongche accuses Didi-Kuaidi of creating monopoly
Just a day after China’s leading 2 taxi apps announced their plan to merge, a series of observers are voicing concerns that the marriage would be anti-competitive and should be vetoed on antitrust grounds. The sudden debate about the merger of Kuaidi Dache and Didi Dache isn’t too surprising, since it would create a company that would control the vast majority of China’s market for taxi and private car services. But the regulator will need to decide whether such talk of monopoly is justified, since in many ways the newly merged company is still quite small and will also face strong competition from global rivals. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: BYD’s latest asset sale, combined with its new auto finance joint venture, are both aimed at boosting its struggling EV business, but it may have to sell off more assets before the market finally starts to gain some momentum.
BYD sells electronic component unit
Struggling electric car maker BYD (HKEx: 1211; Shenzhen: 002594) is starting to look a bit desperate, announcing a major asset sale just days after it received approval for a stalled finance joint venture aimed at boosting its sputtering sales. The approval this week for its auto finance joint venture comes as rival Geely (HKEx: 175) also has just announced its own approval for a similar stalled joint venture with France’s BNP Paribas (Paris: BNP). That indicates Beijing may be starting to worry about a broader slowdown in China’s car market after several years of breakneck growth. Read Full Post…
