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Journalist China
Business news from China By Doug Young.
Doug Young, journalist, has lived and worked in China for 20 years, much of that as a journalist, writing about publicly listed Chinese companies.
He is based in Shanghai where, in addition to his role as editor of Young’s China Business Blog, he teaches financial journalism at Fudan University, one of China’s top journalism programs.
He contributes regularly to a wide range of publications in both China and the west, including Forbes, CNN, Seeking Alpha and Reuters, as well as Asia-based publications including the South China Morning Post, Global Times, Shanghai Daily and Shanghai Observer
Bottom line: Unicom and China Telecom are likely to strike a major new network sharing agreement next year, and could ultimately merge in 2017 if several pilot programs to liberalize China’s telecoms services market gain momentum.
Wireless carrier Unicom (HKEx: 763; NYSE: CHU) is giving the clearest signal yet of a coming shakeup in China’s telecoms space, with disclosure that it’s exploring a potential pooling of infrastructure resources with other companies. Word of the move comes in a bigger announcement from Unicom trumpeting the launch of its new 4G+ service, as it plays catch-up to archrival China Mobile (HKEx: 941; NYSE: CHL), which has been offering 4G service for nearly 2 years now.
Industry watchers are more likely to focus on Unicom’s network-sharing part of the announcement, which comes towards the end of the carrier’s brief new stock exchange filing. That’s because the disclosure marks the latest signal of a looming reorganization for China’s 3 state-run telcos, following rumors that began in the summer after a leadership shuffle within the trio. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Mango TV’s scaled-back new funding reflects the potential and stiff competition in China’s online video market, while Lufax’s Chinese and foreign roots could make it a name to watch in the emerging private financial services sector.
Two fund-raising deals likely to be among China’s largest next year are in the headlines as we close the week, led by a major paring back of plans by upstart online video company Mango TV. The other news is shedding more light on aggressive expansion plans by Lufax, another upstart in the peer-to-peer (P2P) lending space, which is in the process of seeking $1 billion in new funds.
Let’s jump right in with the Mango deal, which is reportedly close to wrapping and will see the company raise $1.5 billion. (Chinese article) I’m admit I’m not completely sure that the figure is US dollars, as the Chinese report doesn’t specify if it’s dollars or Chinese yuan. But the US dollar figure is more consistent with reports last month, which said Mango was seeking to raise up to 20 billion yuan, or about $3.2 billion in its second funding round. (previous post) Read Full Post…
As this year’s first blast of winter made headlines in Shanghai, another item on a new program to curb bicycle theft transported me back to a warmer time that now seems like a distant memory from China’s past. Anyone who spent time here in the 1990s or earlier clearly remembers that past, when bicycles were the main mode of private transport and ruled the streets of everywhere from top-tier cities like Shanghai all the way down to the smallest rural villages.
Those days are mostly gone in the present, when car ownership has become one of several prerequisites for young city dwellers seeking to attract future partners in today’s Shanghai. But the growing problems of congestion and pollution are making Shanghai think twice about the desirability of too much car ownership, which perhaps is behind a growing number of recent programs like this one aimed at easing concerns about things like theft and inconvenience. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: 58.com’s latest quarterly results reveal a case of indigestion after its recent M&A binge, but the company could emerge as a new Chinese Internet leader if can successfully digest those assets over the next 2-3 quarters.
Leading online classified site 58.com (NYSE: WUBA) has always been a company to watch, due to its market leading position that has led many to call it the Craigslist of China. But the company is suffering from a case of indigestion in its latest earnings report, which revealed a massive loss that shows it needs to take time from its recent buying spree to digest some of those newly purchased assets.
Investors didn’t seem too worried about the report, and actually bid up 58.com’s shares by 3.6 percent after its latest report came out, sending them to a 4-month high. With a current market value of $8.4 billion, 58.com is quickly emerging as one of China’s biggest Internet companies, behind only the big 3 of Alibaba(NYSE: BABA), Tencent (HKEx: 700) and Baidu (Nasdaq: BIDU), as well a handful of other sector leaders like Ctrip (Nasdaq: CTRP). Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Reports of a recent spat between Meituan and Alibaba are probably exaggerated, but do point to growing tensions that could ultimately prompt Alibaba to sell its small stake in Meituan.
Everyone is trying to interpret whether a split is imminent between e-commerce leader Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) and leading group buying site Meituan, following a flurry of reports about a spat between the pair over the past few days. The situation is casting a spotlight on the massive web of cross-ownership relationships between many of China’s Internet companies, which is creating odd bedfellows and other conflicts as a wave of mega mergers has swept China’s Internet over the last 2 years.
In this case the conflicts are coming on 2 fronts. The larger of those is related to Meituan’s pending mega merger with archrival Dianping, in a deal announced last month. That union also brought together China’s 2 largest Internet companies in another odd partnership, since Meituan is partly owned by Alibaba and Dianping counts Tencent(HKEx: 700) as one of its largest investors. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Jack Ma’s meeting this week with Barack Obama and quick followup with major funding commitments for entrepreneurs are part of Alibaba’s efforts to improve its government relations and lay a stronger foundation for future growth.
Alibaba’s(NYSE: BABA) outgoing founder Jack Ma is quickly becoming China’s business ambassador to the west, following recent meetings with British Prime Minster David Cameron last month and now this week with US President Barack Obama. I’m usually slightly skeptical of such efforts, which seem more intended to grab headlines and hype Alibaba rather than to do anything substantive.
But even I was impressed at how quickly Alibaba has followed up with its pledge to help young entrepreneurs during the Obama meeting, with its new announcement of more than $400 million in assistance to start-up business owners in Hong Kong and Taiwan. It’s quite likely that these 2 programs were already in the works when Ma met with Obama on Wednesday in Manila, on the sidelines of the annual Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation summit that brings together world leaders from the Pacific Rim. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Ctrip’s recent series of equity tie-ups, including a new rumored deal with Tuniu, could prompt the anti-monopoly regulator to take action to preserve competition in China’s online travel market.
A strong earnings report from online travel titan Ctrip (Nasdaq: CTRP) and word of a potential new business alliance with a major rival has ignited the company’s shares, which soared 14 percent after it released its latest financials. Ctrip has become a master at the strategic tie-up, buying stakes in most of its rivals over the last 2 years without actually acquiring any of them.
That strategy seems designed to make sure its rivals act more friendly and aren’t competitors, which will help support its profits by reducing the constant price wars that have plagued the industry for much of the last 2 years. The only problem is that such actions have distinctively anti-competitive overtones, and could well draw the attention of China’s anti-monopoly regulator. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Chinese buyers will lose out to world-class rivals in bidding for top global M&A targets over the next 5-10 years, and credit ratings for the second-tier assets they do acquire will fall after ownership changes.
Two major new deals are showing why China’s credit remains low when it comes to global M&A, hobbled by factors like lack of experience, unknown brands and a growing reality that Beijing may not provide bail outs if their business runs into trouble. The first deal comes in the high-tech chip sector, and has seen the credit rating of Singaporean heavyweight Stats ChipPac (Singapore: STAT) take a hit after being purchased by a Chinese buyer. The second deal has leading Chinese hotelier Jin Jiang (HKEx: 2006; Shanghai: 600574) being snubbed in its bid for US giant Starwood (NYSE: HOT), operator of the Sheraton and Westin Brands.
Neither of these developments comes as a big surprise, but they do reflect the very real challenges that Chinese companies will face as they try to become players on the global M&A scene. Many of these Chinese names have access to big cash from their state-run connections, though converting that to foreign currency and getting necessary government approvals is sometimes challenging. More importantly, these companies have little or no track record at running a major global company, which makes creditors wary and other more experienced suitors often look more attractive. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Focus Media and Giant Interactive will become the first 2 companies to re-list in China after privatizing from New York, but will still struggle for attention and could end up with valuations roughly equal to what they had previously.
China’s first 2 companies to attempt re-listings at home after privatizing from New York are both in the headlines today, led by word that Giant Interactive has completed its backdoor listing using a company called New Century Cruises (Shenzhen: 002558). At the same time, separate reports are saying that outdoor advertising specialist Focus Media is on the cusp of completing its own backdoor listing after receiving official approval from the securities regulator to execute its plan using another Shenzhen-listed company called Hedy Holding (Shenzhen: 002027).
The completion of both deals right around the same time seems like more than coincidence, and probably coincides with the regulator’s announcement last week that it will resume new IPOs after a 5 month hiatus due to volatility on China’s stock markets. It’s also quite revealing that both Giant and Focus are big Shanghai-based companies, meaning they probably have more financial sophistication and other resources than most other companies seeking to make a similar homeward migration. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Tsinghua Unigroup is likely to soon announce big new tie-ups with SanDisk and a major second-tier Asian chip maker, in its bid to become a major memory chip maker that can challenge Samsung and Toshiba.
After becoming a regular fixture in the headlines over the last year, Tsinghua Unigroup is finally giving the world a more detailed picture of its plans to become a leading global chip maker in one of the first in-depth interviews with its talkative chairman. In that interview Zhao Weiguo is disclosing for the first time that he has a massive war chest of 300 billion yuan ($47 billion) to spend on building his empire.
What he doesn’t say is where exactly all that money is coming from, since it’s quite a large sum for a company that was an unknown name in most semiconductor circles until it embarked on its buying spree over the last 2 years. The answer is almost certainly that Beijing and big state-run institutions are supplying all the funds, as China looks to succeed in an areas where many smaller earlier initiatives have failed in the high-tech chip sector. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: China Postal Bank’s signing of several major global institutions as cornerstone investors reflects the attractiveness of conservative financial service firms as China’s economy slows.
What’s likely to be this year’s biggest IPO has just moved one step closer to market, with word that Postal Savings Bank of China is near a deal to sell about 15 percent of itself to a group of mostly foreign investors ahead of a planned $20 billion new offering. This particular IPO will provide one of the most conservative choices yet to investors looking to buy into China’s financial services market.
That’s because Postal Bank historically served as a place for consumers to park their savings, and did little actual lending like traditional banks. That difference appears to be a major factor making Postal Bank so attractive now compared with more traditional lenders like ICBC(HKEx: 1398; Shanghai: 601398), which are standing on the cusp of a bad loan crisis as China’s economy rapidly slows. Read Full Post…