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Journalist China
Business news from China By Doug Young.
Doug Young, journalist, has lived and worked in China for 20 years, much of that as a journalist, writing about publicly listed Chinese companies.
He is based in Shanghai where, in addition to his role as editor of Young’s China Business Blog, he teaches financial journalism at Fudan University, one of China’s top journalism programs.
He contributes regularly to a wide range of publications in both China and the west, including Forbes, CNN, Seeking Alpha and Reuters, as well as Asia-based publications including the South China Morning Post, Global Times, Shanghai Daily and Shanghai Observer
Bottom line: Alibaba’s 60 percent sales growth on Singles Day is truly impressive, but was almost certainly boosted by merchants that delayed logging transactions on its network until the 24-hour period to help meet their sales targets.
Alibaba shatters Singles Day sales record
The numbers are in, and e-commerce juggernaut Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) has posted a record performance for this year’s Singles Day online shopping extravaganza that has surprised even me for the margin by which it surpassed last year’s record. I’ll end the suspense right away and reveal that Alibaba posted 91.2 billion yuan ($14.3 billion) worth of sales over its platforms during the 24-hour online shopping binge, up more than 50 percent from last year’s $9.3 billion. (company announcement)
To put that in perspective, Alibaba posted $112 billion in gross merchandise value (GMV) for goods sold over all its platforms in this year’s entire second quarter. That means the Singles Day total is equal to 13 percent of its entire total for the 3 months through September, quite impressive for a single day. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: An unexpected mid-sized transaction between Baidu and Perfect World could indicate the former is preparing to buy the latter, with an aim to building up a major new player in the online gaming and literature spaces.
Baidu eyeing Perfect World?
Leading search engine Baidu(Nasdaq: BIDU) has reportedly just sold its online literature unit to the recently privatized Perfect World, in a rare reversal for China’s big Internet companies that have been far more active as buyers over the last 3 years. The deal is relatively small, with a reported sale price of 1.2 billion yuan, or about $190 million.
Media are focusing on the fact that Baidu paid far less when it bought the literature unit for a reported 190 million yuan from the same Perfect World just 2 years ago, meaning Baidu earned quite a nice profit on the investment. But more intriguing is the possibility that this move could presage an acquisition of Perfect World by Baidu, which looks quite logical for a number of reasons I’ll describe shortly. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: A new alliance between Ericsson and Cisco, and inability to quickly bring its new Nexus 6P smartphones to China reflect the challenges Huawei will face to maintain its growth as it comes under new pressures both at home and abroad.
Ericsson-Cisco alliance challenges Huawei
Two new developments involving Huawei are spotlighting the kinds of challenges the Chinese telecoms giant will face as it tries to maintain growth for its older networking equipment and newer and rapidly rising smartphone business. The larger of the two items have global giants Cisco (Nasdaq: CSCO) and Ericsson (NYSE: ERIC) forming a major new alliance that could provide big new competition for Huawei. The second comes in a smaller news item that has Huawei saying it will launch its new Google (Nasdaq: GOOG) smartphone in Taiwan later this month, but quietly adding it won’t be bringing the Nexus 6P model to its home China market anytime soon.
Huawei grew at a breakneck pace in the first decade of the 21st century, as it made quick inroads into global markets where names like Ericsson and Motorola traditionally dominated. But that growth has slowed sharply in the last few years as the building of traditional telecoms networks slows worldwide. The slowdown has hit not only Huawei, but also led to major consolidation in the global networking equipment industry. At the same time, demand has been growing more strongly for individual company-based networks that are a specialty of Cisco. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Alibaba’s Singles Day sales this year are likely to meet its targets, growing by at least 20-30 percent, but the company should put less emphasis on such figures in the future and focus more on creating a high quality shopping event.
Alibaba shopping fest kicks off with a blast
It’s only a third of the way into the day as I write this, but e-commerce leader Alibaba(NYSE: BABA) is making sure I have more than enough data to last me the entire day as we kick off this year’s edition of its popular November 11 Singles Day online shopping extravaganza. The company began putting out figures as soon as the clock struck midnight, and has been issuing a steady stream of data ever since showing just how successful the spending fest has become.
I’ll review some of the early figures shortly, and admit they’re quite impressive in numbers-obsessed China. But that said, I’ve also heard from friends about the huge behind-the-scenes pressure that Alibaba is putting on its partners to meet their sales targets for the holiday, which in turn will help it post the impressive gains it’s seeking for its own sales. Read Full Post…
Shanghai lost a bit of bureaucracy and also a slice of history this week when the northern Zhabei District officially got swallowed up by its smaller but sleeker Jing’an District cousin, continuing an ongoing drive to improve our city’s administrative efficiency. More broadly speaking this particular marriage is part of a national trend that has seen China try to streamline a massive bureaucracy established over centuries.
That bureaucracy certainly may have worked well when China was a simpler agricultural society and things like tax collection and new policy implementation were more easily done in smaller areas by officials who were highly familiar with individual farmers and landowners. But it certainly seems a bit outdated and even counterproductive in the current climate of advanced communications and mobility, where there’s really no need for micro-management techniques of the past. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Larry Page’s latest remarks are the newest signal that Google is working to return to China with a local version of its Play store and Nexus phones, as it tries to open a new chapter in its tense relationship with Beijing.
Larry Page hands off Google China strategy to new CEO
Observers are putting the latest China comments from one of Google’s(Nasdaq: GOOG) co-founders under the microscope, trying to figure out the company’s intentions towards a market that it both loves and hates. The bottom line seems to be that Larry Page wants to personally distance himself from China, following his company’s high profile spat with Beijing over censorship that saw Google withdraw from the Chinese search market in 2010.
But at the same time, Page wants to let others take Google back into China, in a nod to the importance of a market that has become the world’s largest for both smartphones and Internet use. That’s probably quite a prudent approach in face-conscious China, where personal relationships are a key element to doing business. That same principle also means that meetings between people with strained relationships should also be avoided, which is what Page appears to be doing by personally distancing himself from Google’s future operations in China. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: New York IPO plans by a Canadian Solar unit and Solar Power Inc could auger a new wave of similar listings by Chinese new energy power plant builders, offering investors a higher growth alternative to traditional utilities.
Solar Power Inc banks on solar plant construction
Just a day after solar panel maker Canadian Solar (Nasdaq: CSIQ) announced it has spun off its fast-growing solar power plant-building unit for a US listing, another China-based peer is discussing plans for a similar IPO. This time a company called Solar Power Inc is the one disclosing plans for a New York listing to raise up to $300 million, in an emerging trend that’s seeing the rise of a new generation of specialty solar energy plant builders and operators.
A secondary trend in this sudden spurt of new activity also looks encouraging for New York, which has become a pariah these days among Chinese companies that feel US investors are undervaluing their stocks. These 2 new listing plans by Canadian Solar and now Solar Power acknowledge that New York is still an attractive option for certain kinds of Chinese companies, which I’ll address towards the end of this post. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Tencent’s latest plan to invest $1 billion in Meituan-Dianping looks like an awkward bid for control of the newly merged company, which could attract a rival bid from Alibaba.
Tencent as awkward suitor
Social networking giant Tencent(HKEx: 700) has never been very good at public relations, unlike slicker Internet rivals Alibaba(NYSE: BABA) and Baidu (Nasdaq: BIDU), whose founders are much better at wooing the media and investors. That refrain is ringing true once again with the latest mega-investment headlines, which appear to show Tencent making an awkward bid for the newly formed group buying giant created by the merger between former rivals Dianping and Meituan.
In fact, Tencent isn’t really bidding for the new company outright, but appears to be voicing its future intent by offering the merged company $1 billion in new funding. Such a funding would boost Tencent’s current equity in the merged company, in which it already holds a stake following its purchase of 20 percent of Dianping last year for $400 million. Such a bid would seem like a direct challenge to Alibaba, which also holds a relatively large stake in the newly merged company through its participation in a $300 million funding round for Meituan last year. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Hailiang looks well placed for growth due to its small size, a major new expansion and positioning in the recession-proof education space, which could help to boost its shares that look quite cheap at current levels.
Hailiang builds business in primary education
After a period of neglect due to their low-tech image and overly eager expansion by some, Chinese education stocks appear to be coming back into vogue on growth that looks solid, if not spectacular. On the heels of solid quarterly reports by 2 sector leaders 2 weeks ago, the much smaller and recently listed Hailiang Education (Nasdaq: HLG) has just released its first post-IPO earnings report that shows similar respectable growth. But more intriguing is the potential for growth acceleration, as the company launches a massive new campus and starts to expand its well-regarded brand as one of China’s leading private educators.
As a regular China IPO watcher, I’ll admit that Hailiang didn’t make it onto my radar screen in July when it made a small offering using the relatively low-profile “best-efforts” method. That’s not too surprising, since China’s markets were in free-fall at that time after a spectacular run the previous year, and their downward spiral was infecting most of their US-listed Chinese cousins. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Weak share reaction to Ming Yang’s new buyout offer and a low valuation for Giant Interactive’s China backdoor listing reflect weakening investor sentiment towards poorly performing Chinese Internet companies.
Chilly reaction for Ming Yang buyout plan
After a brief period of relative quiet, movement is picking up again in the tide of Chinese companies privatizing from New York to re-list back in China. This time former new-energy high flyer Ming Yang (NYSE: MY) announced it has received a management-led buyout offer, becoming the latest firm to receive such an offer. Meantime in China, one of the earlier firms to privatize, gaming company Giant Interactive, has taken the latest step for a backdoor listing in Shenzhen using a shell company called New Century Cruises. (Shenzhen: 002258).
But in an interesting twist to the homeward migration story, a chilly reception from investors seems to reflecting shriveling interest in these poorly performing Chinese companies. In the Giant story, the proposed new valuation for the company looks quite low — far less than what Giant was worth when it de-listed from New York in 2013. That’s quite a switch from what Giant’s talkative chief was saying just 4 months ago, when he boasted his company might be able to get valued as much as 5 times the $3 billion it was worth when it was still listed in New York. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Baidu’s new upscale online shopping mall looks more focused and well designed than its earlier e-commerce initiatives, but could have a difficult time finding an audience due to stiff competition.
Baidu tries e-commerce again with upscale mall
Online search leader Baidu(Nasdaq: BIDU) is hoping the third time is the charm for its drive into e-commerce, with the formal launch of its new online mall with a distinctly foreign flavor targeting high-end shoppers. I’ve followed Baidu for a long time now, and the company certainly has a poor track record in e-commerce and more broadly for homegrown initiatives like this latest one called Baidu Mall.
But that said, the company has found more success recently by buying assets outside its core online search area, and then giving them access to its own vast cash and other resources to help them quickly gain market share. Perhaps it’s hoping to use that strategy as well for the newly launched Baidu Mall, even though the platform itself seems to be Baidu’s own creation rather than an acquisition. Read Full Post…
