Bottom line: A spike in short-selling of China e-commerce stocks led by JD.com and Alibaba is cyclical and unrelated to their longer-term prospects, and a bounce-back is likely by year-end.
Short sellers gobble up JD stock
It seems even a new partnership with global retailing giant Walmart (NYSE: WMT) can’t help sagging shares of JD.com (Nasdaq: JD), China’s second largest e-commerce company, which has recently become flavor of the day among short sellers. That’s the word coming from a new Bloomberg report, which says short seller interest in JD’s stock reached a record high in mid June, after already doubling over the previous month. This story isn’t really new, as I wrote about a similar short-selling boom for shares of JD rival Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) a couple of weeks ago also. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Midea’s purchase of Germany’s Kuka and Italy’s Clivet, and SMIC’s purchase of Italy’s LFoundry represent a wave of opportunistic buying by Chinese firms in Europe, with more such deals to come under Beijing’s directive to go global.
Midea buys Italy’s Clivet
A sluggish European economy, made worse by last week’s shock Brexit, is providing fertile shopping ground for Chinese firms, with 3 large deals in the headlines as the new week begins. Two of those involve home appliance maker Midea (Shenzhen: 000333), whose controversial and very expensive plan to buy a big stake in German robotics maker Kuka (Frankfurt: KU2G) looks set to reach a final agreement this week. At the same time, Midea has reached another deal to buy an Italian rival in the air conditioner space. Last but not least, faded semiconductor maker SMIC (HKEx: 981; NYSE: SMI) has announced another deal in Italy to buy the smaller rival LFoundry. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Sanpower’s bid to become McDonald’s main China franchise partner looks like a long-shot, and China Resources or Beijing Capital Agribusiness are the most likely to emerge as winners in a deal valued at $2-$3 billion.
Sanpower eyes McDonald’s
What does global fast-food giant McDonald’s (NYSE: MCD) have in common with niche retailers Brookstone of the US and Britain’s House of Fraser? The answer: All 3 could soon become linked through Chinese conglomerate SanpowerGroup, while already owns the 2 niche retailers and is now making a much bigger bid for most of the McDonald’s stores in China and Hong Kong. Sanpower is the latest company to enter the bidding for the China McDonald’s stores, which are being sold as the US fast food giant moves to a franchise model in the market to replace its previous approach of self-owned stores. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Alibaba’s victory in a shareholder lawsuit is partly justified due to its pre-IPO disclosure that piracy is a major risk for the company, but it still should have disclosed a recent government report sharply criticizing it on the matter.
Alibaba triumphs in shareholder lawsuit
E-commerce giant Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) is a master at influencing public opinion through its own hype, but is far less successful with government officials who often view its aggressive ways with more skepticism. With that background in mind, the company’s new courtroom victory in a shareholder lawsuit looks like a refreshing nod of approval from a government source, setting it apart from the usual cheers from fans of the company’s stock. I would probably agree with that view, even though in this case I’m not sure I completely agree with the judge’s decision. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: JD.com will quietly close Yihaodian after acquiring the online store from Walmart, and Amazon is the most likely next large player to withdraw from China’s e-commerce market in the next few years.
JD.com takes over Walmart’s Yihaodian
In what can only be described as a major surrender, Walmart (NYSE: WMT) is selling its struggling online flagship Yihaodian in exchange for about $1.5 billion worth of shares in JD.com (Nasdaq: JD), China’s second largest e-commerce player. The development isn’t a complete surprise, since Yihaodian has struggled to compete with JD and industry titan Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) since Walmart purchased the company 4 years ago. The withdrawal also shines a spotlight on the very real fact that foreign companies often can’t compete on China’s Internet, and raises the question of whether Amazon (Nasdaq: AMZN) might be the next to abandon the complex market. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Midea’s investment in Kuka is likely to move ahead and could be successful, but will be far more costly than a Chinese joint venture between the 2 sides that would have achieved most of Midea’s objectives.
Berlin OKs Midea’s Kuka investment
After showing growing signs of collapse, a deal that would see Chinese appliance giant Midea (Shenzhen: 000333) buy a large stake in German industrial robotics firm Kuka (Frankfurt: KU2) is suddenly springing back to life, with word the deal has received the official nod from Berlin. But Berlin is only giving its approval with a number of major conditions, including reassurances that Midea won’t try to buy a majority of Kuka and also that Kuka’s German-based jobs will be protected. Such a compromise looks promising and could ultimately help to seal the deal. But it also raises the question of why exactly Midea needs to make this particular form of investment. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: A new China Life bid for iKang could trump Yunfeng, while 21Vianet could be mounting a stealth privatization bid that would see it slowly sell most of its shares to big buyers before mounting a formal de-listing attempt.
China Life eyeing bid for iKang?
A few strange twists are taking place in the story that has seen some 40 US-listed Chinese companies launch privatization bids since the start of last year, led by the surprise re-heating of a bidding war for private clinic operator iKang (iKang). In a separate headline, data center operator 21Vianet (Nasdaq: VNET) gave a new signal that it will abandon a previous buyout offer and may launch a stealth de-listing bid instead. And in the strangest development, the board of web portal operator Sohu (Nasdaq: SOHU) has rejected an investment plan by the company’s founder that looked like a prelude to a possible buyout offer at the time. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Shares of Alibaba and JD.com will remain under pressure for the next few months from opportunistic short selling, but should rebound late this year due to strong growth prospects for their core e-commerce business.
Short sellers pressure Alibaba, JD shares
Separate reports are spotlighting a recent short-selling spree targeting China’s 2 leading e-commerce companies, Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) and JD.com (Nasdaq: JD), wiping out billions of dollars in market value over the last few weeks. But the negative sentiment also raises the question of whether there’s something systemically wrong with these companies and China’s e-commerce market in general, or whether this is a short-term phenomenon created by people looking to make some quick profits. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: McDonald’s is likely to reach a final deal to sell its China-owned stores by the end of summer, while Cheesecake Factory is likely to enjoy modest success as it launches its first China stores.
Cheesecake Factory comes to Shanghai
A couple of restaurant stories are in the headlines today, one featuring fast-food veteran McDonald’s (NYSE: MCD) as it seeks a new China partner, and the other starring the popular US Cheesecake Factory (Nasdaq: CAKE) chain as it prepares to open its first China restaurant. The McDonald’s story is clearly the larger of the stories, and focuses on a drive to shed direct ownership of its China stores and move to a franchise-based model that has underpinned its success in the west. Meantime, I have to admit that one of my main reasons for writing about Cheesecake Factory is that I used to be a big fan of the chain, though the remote location of its first China restaurant means I probably won’t dine there. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Jack Ma’s newly stated preference for an Ant Financial IPO in Hong Kong could touch off a new clash that would challenge the local securities regulator to grant an unusual listing exception or risk losing the blockbuster deal to New York.
Ant Financial eyes HK IPO
Just a couple of years after a high-profile tussle that saw e-commerce giant Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) ditch Hong Kong to make its record-breaking IPO in New York, talkative founder Jack Ma is gearing up for a similar game of chicken for an upcoming IPO by his company’s affiliated Ant Financial unit. That’s my initial assessment, following media reports that Ma has said his first preference would be a Hong Kong IPO for Ant Financial, China’s leading private financial services company whose prize asset is its Alipay electronic payments service. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Chinese companies need to demonstrate they are trustworthy and won’t steal their business partners’ IP, or risk seeing continued resistance to cross-border deals like Midea’s planned investment in Kuka.
Trust needed to reduce resistance to Midea-Kuka deal
As European opposition rapidly grows towards China’s latest attempt at major global M&A, many are missing the point when they blame cross-border politics for threatening a proposed deal that would see Chinese appliance maker Midea (Shenzhen: 000333) buy 30 percent of German robotics firm Kuka (Frankfurt: KU2). Politics may be partly to blame for the growing alarm signals in Europe over the deal, since many westerners still worry about ties between Beijing and big companies like Midea, which are private but whose major stakeholders often have government backgrounds. Read Full Post…
