Bottom line: Poorly run traditional supermarkets like Lianhua are destined for extinction in the next 5-10 years as they get overtaken by the rapidly rising e-commerce names like Yihaodian and JD.com.
Tired Lianhua sells stake to Yonghui
A couple of supermarket headlines are casting a spotlight on a Chinese market that is rapidly transforming, putting pressure on traditional stores operated by domestic players like Sun Art (HKEx: 6808) and global chains like Carrefour (Paris: CA). The first headline has Shanghai-based operator Lianhua (HKEx: 980) selling a major stake of itself to smaller but more nimble rival Yonghui (Shanghai: 601933) in a $120 million deal. The second has Yihaodian becoming the first online grocer to break into an important annual industry ranking list, underscoring the rapid rise of Internet-based supermarkets. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: ICBC is likely to ultimately get approval to buy 20 percent of Taiwan’s SinoPac Financial, while Bright Food’s newly closed purchase of Israel’s Tnuva should boost its bid to become China’s first global food group.
Bright Food closes Tnuva buy
I got a sense of deja vu on reading the latest announcement from ICBC (HKEx: 1398), saying China’s leading lender has extended a deadline to buy 20 percent of Taiwan’s SinoPac Financial (Taipei: 2890), 2 years after the tie-up was first disclosed. That’s because this deal looks strikingly similar to another proposed tie-up between leading Chinese telco China Mobile (HKEx: 941; NYSE: CHL) and one of its Taiwan peers, which ultimately crumbled after repeated extensions. In both cases political sensitivities undermined the deals, though such sensitives could play less of a role in the ICBC-SinoPac deal.
At the same time, I’ll also admit my surprise to read that another sensitive deal has closed that will see Shanghai-based food giant Bright Food Group buy Tnuva, Israel’s largest dairy. That deal was first announced about a year ago, but concerns were quickly raised that Israel might veto it over national security concerns. But the latest reports say the purchase has finally closed, handing Bright a major victory in its quest to become China’s first global food giant. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Bacardi’s new Tang tea-based liquor could do well despite its premium pricing and Beijing’s frugality campaign if it takes aim at affluent yuppies who like to try new things and are put off by the stodgy image of baijiu.
Bacardi rolls out tea liquor
It’s hard to get excited about a liquor story as the world returns to work at the start of a new week; but I’ll admit I’m just a bit intrigued by reports detailing a new attempt by global giant Bacardi to tackle China with a new tea-based spirit. Frankly speaking, I’m a bit surprised that no one has tried this before. That’s because such a liquor, if packaged and marketed properly, could quickly win over many of China’s urban yuppies who eschew traditional homegrown baijiu liquors but haven’t exactly embraced western alternatives like whisky and rum. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Starbucks’ new tie-up with mass-market food maker Tingyi looks like a smart partnership that could help the pair quickly develop China’s largely untapped market for premium bottled beverages.
Starbucks, Tingyi tie on bottled drinks
Following its phenomenal success in China’s retail dining market, US coffee giant Starbucks (Nasdaq: SBUX) is taking aim at bottled beverages in a new tie-up with one of the nation’s leading food product makers. The pairing is a big odd on the surface, bringing together the premium-minded Starbucks with Tingyi (HKEx: 322), a Taiwanese company whose main Master Kong brand is synonymous with tasty but decidedly low-end instant noodles.
But then again, nobody ever dreamed that Starbucks could overcome the huge odds against it by not only convincing tea-minded Chinese to drink coffee, but also getting them pay handsomely for the privilege. Accordingly, I would give the company a fairly strong chance for working similar magic in the highly competitive bottled beverage space, which would provide a huge new source of revenue from its China business. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: The exclusion of foreign tech giants from criticism in a prominent annual consumer rights show is unrelated to the broader bias they are facing from Beijing, and they will continue to come under fire for the next 1-2 years.
Foreign techs not targeted on annual consumer rights show
Top China officials at global tech giants like Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL) and Amazon (Nasdaq: AMZN) are probably breathing a sigh of relief today, after their companies weren’t targeted for attacks in an annual consumer rights show that has become a famous for creating public relations nightmares for its victims. Instead, this year’s edition of the investigative Consumer Rights Day program on China Central Television (CCTV), broadcast on March 15 each year, singled out China’s 3 major telcos for criticism in the tech sector.
Multinationals weren’t completely spared from attack, with a number of car makers including Vokswagen (Frankfurt: VOWG), Nissan (Tokyo: 7201) and Daimler (Frankfurt: DAIGn) coming under fire for things like abusive after-sales practices. (English article) But for now at least, China’s central media seem to be backing away from new attacks on foreign tech companies, following recent criticism that Beijing has unfairly targeted such firms for everything from monopolistic practices to posing national security risks over the last year. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: A record false advertising fine against P&G and Beijing’s selection of Alibaba to host its procurement platform reflect the current government bias against foreign firms, which is likely to remain strong for the next 1-2 years.
Crest gets record fine for false advertising claims
Today I’m grouping 2 headlines together that look quite different on the surface but seem to underscore a growing bias in China against foreign companies, despite Beijing’s insistence on no such prejudice. One headline has global consumer products giant Procter & Gamble (NYSE: PG) receiving what looks like a large and somewhat arbitrary fine for false advertising. The other has media reporting that Beijing has moved its online government procurement platform onto servers operated by AliCloud, the cloud computing division of e-commerce giant Alibaba (NYSE: BABA). Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Apple Watch should debut strongly in China thanks to extensive partnerships with top Chinese retailers and app makers, giving the product instant relevance in the local market.
Apple Watch coming to China
Global gadget leader Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL) has been in the local tech headlines nonstop these last few days, wowing Chinese fans with a customized version of its new Apple Watch that will debut in China next month as part of its global launch. Pundits are mixed on how the watch will fare in China, but I expect it should do quite well thanks to inclusion of China’s hottest apps together with the company’s own strong reputation for well-designed, cutting-edge products.
In a separate but probably related Apple headline, media are also reporting a new smart air conditioner that the company has developed with local appliance leader Haier (HKEx: 1169) will also debut in April. Apple first announced this alliance last June as part of a broader smart device alliance under the name of HomeKit, and I suspect the Apple Watch will be usable with these new air conditioners. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Carrefour’s new China strategy ends a period of uncertainty about its commitment to the market, though its move into e-commerce is long overdue and could fail due to its lateness.
Carrefour decides to stay in China
After sending a stream of mixed signals over the last 2 years about its commitment to China, global retailing giant Carrefour (Paris: CA) has finally decided it will stay in the market for now, but only after overhauling its operations. The decision will see the company do a major consolidation of its procurement centers, and also push into convenience stores and e-commerce. The signals seem to imply that the days of rapid expansion for its core chain of superstores is probably finished, with e-commerce and smaller stores likely to form the bulk of its China expansion going forward. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: China’s chocolate market could follow the recent boom for coffee as a lifestyle product, benefiting foreign names like Nestle, Hershey and Dove that can tap the preference for premium brands.
Nestle, Hershey seek success in upscale chocolate
A couple of chocolate stories were in the headlines over the Lunar New Year holiday, spotlighting the big potential for the foreign treat to boom in a similar way that coffee has over the last few years. One story had Swiss giant Nestle (Zurich: NESN) saying it will look to chocolate and premium coffee to boost its stagnating China sales. The other had US chocolate giant Hershey (NYSE: HSY) also predicting strong growth for the China market, following its own recent local acquisition. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Strong pricing for a large new bond from Car Inc reflects good potential for companies in China’s secondary car market, which should see strong growth as new car sales slow.
Car Inc raises $500 mln in bond offer
Let’s take a brief break from Internet companies to look at recently listed auto rental specialist Car Inc (HKEx: 699), which has excited the market with a new $500 million bond offering. Despite its earlier setbacks, including an aborted previous IPO, Car Inc has done quite well since its listing last September, as Chinese car-related plays find a strong audience among international investors. Interest seems especially strong toward car companies that target the second-hand market, as new car sales look set to slow sharply due to China’s slowing economy and restrictions being imposed by many cities to control pollution. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Gubuli’s foray into the coffee business is doomed to failure, while Carrefour is likely to sell part of its China business to a local partner later this year.
Gobuli tries coffee with Gloria Jean’s
You know the China coffee market is overheated when one of the nation’s most famous names in a traditional food like steamed buns enters the market. That’s what’s happening now, with word that Gobuli Group, a restaurant chain whose name is synonymous with a popular kind of meat-filled steamed buns, is launching a coffee chain joint venture in partnership with Australia’s Retail Food Group.
While the coffee business is quickly overheating, the opposite is true for the traditional supermarket business, which has seen several major western retailers leave the market or scale back operations as they face a growing challenge from e-commerce. Now it looks like French giant Carrefour (Paris: CA) could become the next in that trend, with word that it might consider selling some or all of its China business to a local partner. Read Full Post…
