Bottom line: Lenovo’s latest overhaul looks promising by combining its older PC unit with its smartphones under a capable leader, but its longtime CEO could still get forced out if the plan doesn’t show signs of success in the next 6 months.
Lenovo in new corporate overhaul
A series of new stories are highlighting the growing rivalry between fast-rising gadget maker Huawei and the older Lenovo (HKEx: 992), which has just launched a major overhaul as it tries to right its fast-sinking ship. The overhaul looks like a last-ditch effort by longtime CEO Yang Yuanqing to save both his company and his own job, following a series of missteps over the last year in the critical smartphone space.
Meantime, other reports are showing how Lenovo is also trying to maintain its globally-leading position in the PC arena with the recent launch of a new series of models from its core ThinkPad series. That launch comes as Huawei gets set to roll out its first-ever rival notebooks. Lenovo actually unveiled its new ThinkPad X1 series back in January, though the actual products are just now beginning to find their way into the market. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Microsoft’s development of a special Windows 10 China government edition reflects efforts western tech firms are making to comply with Beijing’s year-old national security law.
Microsoft makes special Windows 10 edition for Beijing
US software giant Microsoft (Nasdaq: MSFT) is sending the latest sign that foreign tech firms are bending to Beijing’s national security concerns, with word that it has created a special version of Windows 10 just for the Chinese government. This kind of a move looks relatively bold, and sharply contrasts with Apple’s (Nasdaq: AAPL) recent refusal to assist the US government in its drive to unlock a terrorist’s iPhone.
But Microsoft’s move isn’t completely unprecedented either, since the software giant also made a similar move more than a decade ago when it released the source code for Windows to Beijing. Since then, Microsoft has continued to share its Windows source code with Beijing for newer versions of the operating system, reflecting the importance the company places on the huge China market. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: ZTE will avoid major fallout from its clash with Washington over illegally selling products to Iran, though its shares could drop 5-10 percent when trade resumes after its April 6 results announcement.
ZTE seals plea agreement with Washington
It’s not often that I write about earnings date announcements, but in this case one such announcement from telecoms equipment maker ZTE (HKEx: 763; Shenzhen: 000063) appears to show it believes it has found a long-term resolution to its recent run-in with Washington. ZTE was originally set to publish its fourth-quarter results on Wednesday this week, but hastily scrapped that plan after the clash began with Washington earlier this month.
Now ZTE has just published an announcement detailing what it hopes will be a long-term resolution to the clash, which began when Washington find it guilty of selling US equipment to Iran in violation of a ban. As a result, ZTE has announced a new date of April 6 for releasing its fourth-quarter and full-year results. (HKEx announcement) Read Full Post…
Bottom line: ZTE’s temporary relief from sanctions for illegally selling US products to Iran is probably contingent on its assistance in a broader probe of the matter, and could result in more arrests and sanctions against others in the case.
ZTE assisting in US probe
In a move that surprised me, Washington is indicating it might reduce the stiff punishment it previously announced for telecoms equipment maker ZTE (HKEx: 763; Shenzhen: 000063) for illegally selling US-made equipment to Iran. In the past, Washington has shown little tolerance for Chinese companies that break the rules, even though Beijing often protests such inflexibility.
But this time is slightly different from the past, since it involves a single company rather than an entire industry. Still, this kind of temporary relief does seem a bit unusual for Washington. Accordingly, I suspect that ZTE is quietly cooperating behind the scenes with an investigation that could ultimately incriminate many other companies and individuals that helped it to circumvent Washington’s rules prohibiting the sale of US-made networking equipment to Iran. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: WeChat’s growth will continue to fuel strong revenue gains for Tencent but could also create a drag on profits, while China Mobile’s profits are likely to be flat as savings from slower infrastructure spending are offset by big 4G promotions.
Transactions boom on WeChat
High-tech leaders Tencent (HKEx: 700) and China Mobile (HKEx: 941; NYSE: CHA) are providing a nice contrast with their latest earnings reports, pitting one of China’s most innovative private companies against one of its biggest state-run laggards. The results cast a painful spotlight on China Mobile, China’s largest mobile carrier, whose profits sagged in the fourth quarter as it lost business to more nimble companies like Tencent. Meantime, Tencent’s profits and revenue posted healthy gains, as it provided data to generate excitement about its fast-growing but money-losing WeChat social networking service.
Shares of both companies reacted much as one would expect, continuing recent trends. China Mobile shares dipped 2.1 percent after its results came out, and are down about 15 percent over the last year. Tencent’s results came out after the market closed, but I expect they will rally in the new trading day. Over the last year they are up 5 percent, which is quite impressive when one considers the main Shanghai index is down 19 percent during that time. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: ZTE will lose its appeal of tough US export sanctions for illegally selling high-tech equipment to Iran, as Washington sends a strong signal that companies engaging in such actions will face stiff punishment.
ZTE to appeal US sanctions
An increasingly frantic ZTE (HKEx: 763; Shenzhen: 000063) is working on several fronts in a bid to stop crippling US sanctions, after Washington determined the company illegally sold equipment to Iran. I used to be a strong supporter of compromise in China’s frequent trade conflicts with the west, and still believe that some form of compromise might be the best solution here.
But at the same time, the frequent tendency by Chinese companies to flout laws and agreements both at home and abroad shows that sometimes harsher measures are the only way to convince these firms to play by the rules. Accordingly, I do expect we could see Washington take a relatively tough stance against ZTE in this case, despite protests from Beijing and the potential for big disruption to the operations of one of China’s largest telecoms equipment makers. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Huawei’s move into electronic payments is its first foray outside its traditional strength as a hardware developer, and reflects its growing aspiration to challenge global rivals Apple and Samsung.
Huawei tries services with Huawei Pay
Fast-rising smartphone maker Huawei no longer seems content to target homegrown rivals like Xiaomi as its main competitors, and is increasingly looking to challenge global leaders Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL) and Samsung (Seoul: 005930). That’s my interpretation of the latest headlines, which say Huawei is preparing to roll out a new mobile payments service in China, less than a month after similar moves by the 2 global leaders.
This particular move comes as a bit of a surprise, since there were no previous indications that Huawei was planning such a foray. Up until now, Huawei was largely been a company focused on hardware, unlike Apple, which has built a big stable of service-related offerings like Apple Pay and its music and video services around its core smartphones and computer products. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: The US should penalize ZTE for violating trade restrictions against Iran, but should moderate the severity to acknowledge that Chinese firms are improving their adherence to global laws and standards.
ZTE assists with US probe
Two days after exploding into the headlines, US sanctions against ZTE (HKEx: 763; Shenzhen: 000063) continue to ripple through the news as the Chinese telecoms equipment maker faces major disruptions to its supply chain. Washington has determined that ZTE sold equipment from US companies to Iran in violation of export restrictions against the country at the height of an international dispute about its nuclear development program.
As a result of its finding, which comes after a 4-year investigation, all of ZTE’s US suppliers, including the likes of Microsoft (NYSE:MSFT) and Oracle (Nasdaq: ORCL), must now apply for export licenses before they can sell to ZTE. Media reports have indicated that Washington is likely to deny such license requests, as punishment to ZTE for violating the trade restrictions. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: ZTE will face major supply chain disruptions following new punitive US actions for violating UN sanctions against Iran, forcing it to lower its 2016 sales targets by up to 10-15 percent.
ZTE braces for US sanctions
Officials at telecoms equipment and smartphone maker ZTE (HKEx: 763; Shenzhen: 000063) got a rough start to the new week, after media reported the company was set to get punished by Washington for selling products to Iran in violation of earlier UN sanctions. The news quickly buzzed through the headlines, and prompted ZTE to request a halt to trading of its Hong Kong-listed shares. (HKEx announcement)
This particular case actually dates back to 2012, when reports emerged that the FBI was investigating ZTE for illegally selling US computer equipment to Iran at the height of tensions with the west related to its nuclear development program. (previous post) Crosstown rival Huawei also faced similar accusations at that time. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Chinese buyers may be forced to abandon their pursuit of chip makers in the west and Asia, following the latest collapse of a deal for a stake in Western Digital over concerns of a national security veto by Washington.
Unigroup scraps Western Digital investment
Globally acquisitive chip makers Tsinghua Unigroup and sister company Unisplendour are quickly becoming the belles at the ball who can’t find a mate despite their huge dowries. That’s the bottom line in this tale of China’s dream of building a global semiconductor chip giant, which has just received a major setback with word that Unisplendour has formally dropped its bid to buy 15 percent of US hard drive maker Western Digital (Nasdaq: WDC).
If Unisplendour and Unigroup are the wealthy belles at the ball in this story, then the character intent on spoiling any potential unions is Washington, which worries such marriages could threaten national security by giving Beijing sophisticated technology. Taipei is also looming as another potential spoiler, as other headlines say the government there will give unprecedented scrutiny to a series of similar proposed stake purchases of local chip makers by Unisplendour and Unigroup. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: The absence of most mid-sized Chinese smartphone brands from the world’s biggest telecoms show this week in Spain reflects their inability to mount serious global campaigns, and also growing financial pressures many are facing.
Mid-sized Chinese brands skip MWC
China’s crowded field of low-cost and mid-range smartphone brands may claim to have global aspirations, but you would never know that judging by their loud absence at the world’s biggest telecoms show this week in Spain. I’ll admit that I’m not personally attending this year’s Mobile World Congress in Barcelona, so I’m dependent on the show’s website and media reports to determine who is and who isn’t attending.
But based on my own findings, including talks with spokesmen from at least one of the big domestic brands, most companies are skipping this show that has emerged in recent years as a major venue for debuting new smartphones. There are several reasons for skipping the show, but I suspect that chief among those is costs. Read Full Post…
