China has developed a sudden appetite for global microchip makers, with the latest reports saying several Chinese suitors are pursuing a purchase of the telecoms chip business of US-based MarvellTechnology (Nasdaq: MRVL). This kind of consolidation is sorely needed in the global microchip sector, especially in the telecoms area, where many smaller companies are having trouble competing with global titans Qualcomm (Nasdaq: QCOM) and Taiwan-based MediaTek (Taipei: 2454).
An interesting twist to this story has seen Chinese state-backed firms emerge as some of the main consolidators in this trend, reflecting Beijing’s desire to build up a local chip-making sector. Despite years of trying and billions of dollars in investment, China has yet to find success in building a homegrown chip giant that can challenge big global names like Qualcomm, Intel (Nasdaq: INTC) and Taiwan’s TSMC (Taipei: 2330). Read Full Post…
Bottom line: The purchase of Micron by Tsinghua Unigroup offers a good chance for Sino-US confidence building if Washington signals it will fairly consider such a deal and Unigroup demonstrates its actions are commercially driven.
Micron sale offers chance to boost Sino-US trust
A potential mega-deal that would see China’s Tsinghua Unigroup buy leading US memory chip maker Micron Technology (Nasdaq: MU) could become a major trust-building exercise between China and Washington if handled properly, but could also quickly end in an angry war of words if the opposite occurs. Both sides need to take important steps to ensure fair trade in the case, which is sensitive because it involves the acquisition of a US high-tech leader by a company with close ties to China’s top science university.
For its part, Unigroup could take steps to show its independence from Tsinghua University, and more broadly to show that it is a commercially-focused business that doesn’t make decisions based on government orders or support. For its part, Washington could signal it is willing to consider a deal that appears to pose no threat to national security, even though it would see a major technology company taken over by a Chinese peer. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Internet-based financial services should continue to boom over the next few years, while a rapid decline in microblogging could start to ease now that Weibo has consolidated its position as market leader.
Weibo consolidates microblogging market
China’s Internet data tracker has just released a slew of figures for the first half of the year, painting a rosy picture for companies like Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) and others that are moving aggressively into online financial services. At the other end of the spectrum, microblogging continued its rapid decline, as marginal players retreated and industry leader Weibo (Nasdaq: WB) consolidated its position.
On a broader level, I was surprised to see the growth rate in overall Internet users slow sharply in the first half of this year, even as the number of people accessing the web over their mobile phones continued to post strong growth. I also took the time to tally up the subscriber totals for China’s big 3 telcos in the first half of the year, which shows that the dominant China Mobile (HKEx: 941; NYSE: CHL) gained share on its 2 smaller rivals as it aggressively promoted its year-old 4G service. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: China Mobile’s latest salary reduction plan underscores that it and its 2 peers are just big state-run companies that act on orders from Beijing, with little to differentiate them from one another.
China Mobile slashes salaries
I’ve become increasingly disenchanted with China’s big 3 state-run telcos, partly because they lack any kind of originality or inspiration. About the only thing they know how to do is heed the call of Beijing, or sometimes protest orders they don’t like. Another thing they’re good at is launching promotions to try to steal business from each other in their highly protected market. But no one will ever accuse any of the trio or originality or innovation.
With that introduction, I’ll be quite direct and say that the latest news that leading telco China Mobile (HKEx: 941; NYSE: CHL) plans to slash salaries company-wide is just the same old behavior in response to a central government directive. That kind of directive comes regularly from Beijing, which recently has grown frustrated at China Mobile and its 2 peers, China Telecom (HKEx: 728; NYSE: CHA) and China Unicom (HKEx: 762; NYSE: CHU), for failing to innovate despite their control of the world’s largest telecoms market. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Huawei’s accelerating smartphone sales reflect its growing momentum in China, and could prompt it to consider spinning off the unit for a potential IPO in its drive to become more transparent.
Huawei News
Smartphones power Huawei resurgence
Growing momentum for its smartphone business has become the driving force behind a resurgent Huawei, which has just reported solid first-half revenue growth that is showing signs of accelerating after a recent slowdown. That’s good news for Huawei, but less promising for domestic rivals like Lenovo (HKEx: 992), Xiaomi and Coolpad (HKEx: 2369), which are struggling for direction in a crowded Chinese smartphone market where global giant Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL) has also shown signs of a recent resurgence.
Huawei hasn’t been too generous in providing financial data for the first half of the year, saying only that revenue jumped by 30 percent to 176 billion yuan ($28 billion). (company announcement; Chinese article) For anyone who tracks the global market, that figure is already more than double the $12.5 billion in first half sales reported by Ericsson (Stockholm: ERICb), Huawei’s leading rival in its traditional networking equipment core area. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Micron’s decision to discourage a buyout offer from China’s Unigroup is a bargaining tactic due to high regulatory risk, and Unigroup is likely to come back with a sharply raised offer in the next 2 weeks.
Micron discourages China bid
A week after splashing into the headlines, a potential bid by China’s Tsinghua Unigroup for Micron Technology (Nasdaq: MU) is being cast into doubt, with word that the leading US memory chip maker is worried such a deal would get vetoed by Washington on national security grounds. The development comes as a slight surprise to me, as I previously predicted that such a deal would ignite some controversy but would ultimately get approved by the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States (CFIUS), which conducts reviews for national security risks.
It’s quite possible that Micron really doesn’t want to proceed with talks because it believes there’s a big enough chance that such a deal could get vetoed in Washington. But that said, it’s also quite possible that Micron could quickly resume the talks if Unigroup offers a higher price than the previous $21 per share being discussed, and that all of this is just a bargaining tactic. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: ZTE’s new campaign in its home China smartphone market looks relatively well timed if a wave of consolidation starts by year-end, but it could miss its annual sales target if the competition doesn’t start to subside soon.
ZTE targets high-end with Axon
After quietly falling out of the top 5 in its home smartphone market over the past 2 years, telecoms stalwart ZTE (HKEx: 763; Shenzhen: 000063) is gearing up for a new push with an aim to become one of China’s top 3 players in the next 3 years. That’s the message coming from Adam Zeng, who has been working hard to breathe new life into ZTE’s smartphone business since taking over the company’s mobile device unit about a year ago.
Zeng detailed his plans for me in an interview last week, including his attempts to go upmarket with a new line of smartphones and also a broader blitz of new models slated for release in China later this year. In my view, ZTE was quite wise to scale back its smartphone campaign in China over the last 2 years, as the market became incredibly competitive with a wide range of established and new names all competing for space. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: US national security regulators are likely to approve the potential purchase of Micron by China’s Tsinghua Unigroup, to demonstrate their commitment to fair trade and avoid politicizing cross-border high-tech M&A.
Micron sale likely to get US approval
In the days after reports emerged that China’s Tsinghua Unigroup was planning a bid for US memory chip giant Micron (NYSE: MU), media have been buzzing with speculation over whether Washington might veto a deal on national security grounds. I can understand the logic from both views, and some say recent US allegations of frequent hacking attacks from China could add to arguments for a veto of the deal.
But as a longtime watcher of this kind of transaction, I expect that Washington will ultimately approve the purchase to demonstrate its commitment to fair trade. Such a move would also send a strong signal to Beijing, which is showing growing signs of limiting sales by foreign technology companies in China with its recent introduction of a sweeping new national security law. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Tsinghua Unigroup could end up scrapping its plans to bid for Micron due to fears of political resistance, while a new mobile OS that it’s backing is probably getting support from Beijing but is likely to fail.
China bid for Micron meets with early resistance
The recently acquisitive Tsinghua Unigroup is in a couple of headlines today, as the politically-connected company chases its dream of becoming China’s first IT products and services giant. The first headline has the company investing $100 million in a company developing a mobile operating system (OS) that could someday rival Google’s (Nasdaq: GOOG) Android and Apple’s (Nasdaq: AAPL) iOS. The second hints at the political resistance that Unigroup could meet as it reportedly gets set to make a $23 billion bid for leading US memory chip maker Micron (Nasdaq: MU), with reports that a powerful senator has concerns about the deal. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Tsinghua Unigroup’s bid for Micron could move it towards a goal of becoming China’s first world-class IT products and services provider, though it could face potential rival bids and objections from Washington.
Unigroup makes bid for Micron
After puttering around with a few high-profile deals in $1 billion neighborhood, Tsinghua Unigroup has suddenly turned up the volume in its drive to assemble a Chinese IT giant with a massive $23 billion bid for US memory giant Micron (Nasdaq: MU). I’ll be the first to admit I didn’t see this particular deal coming, and I have some doubts about whether it will actually close due to its large size and also potential political sensitivities.
But Unigroup, which has already formed telecoms technology deals with US tech giants Intel (Nasdaq: INTC) and Hewlett-Packard (NYSE: HPQ), has certainly shown it’s serious about try to assemble a major IT products and services provider. China is currently one of the world’s top consumers of such products, which power most of the world’s electronics and internal company networks. But despite that position, the country has yet to produce a company that can compete with such global giants as Qualcomm (Nasdaq: QCOM) in the chip space, and IBM (NYSE: IBM) in IT services. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: The iPhone’s appearance at the top of a Chinese investigative list of “data hogs” reflects the company’s obsession with control, but is unlikely to have a long-term negative effect on its local image.
iPhones gobble up data
Chinese media are once again feasting on leading smartphone maker Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL), which has has come out squarely on top of a “list of shame” that details how some of the best selling brands quietly steal data minutes from their unaware users. I’m not an iPhone user so I can’t attest to how the iPhones steal their data and how easy it is for users to stop the process. But my Google (Nasdaq: GOOG) Nexus phone is guilty of similar data hogging, and I had to pay a couple of large phone bills after I first bought it before I finally learned how to stop such automatic data consumption. Read Full Post…
