Telecoms

CELLPHONES – Huawei, ZTE Threaten Xiaomi Over Patents

Bottom line: Xiaomi is likely to settle a series of patent disputes launched by domestic rivals Huawei and ZTE, but will face more similar actions as its profile rises in its global expansion.

Huawei, ZTE point finger at Xiaomi

New reports about a series of patent violation claims against smartphone sensation Xiaomi are casting a spotlight on the kinds of battles this fast-rising Chinese firm may face in its aggressive global expansion. Just 3 years after launching its first models, Xiaomi has come from nowhere to become the world’s third largest smartphone brand, behind only much older global rivals Samsung (Seoul: 005930) and Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL). That rapid rise has caught the attention of older domestic smartphone rivals like Huawei and ZTE (HKEx: 763; Shenzhen: 000063), which are reportedly now threatening to sue Xiaomi for violating their patents. Read Full Post…

TELECOMS – VNOs Show New Signs Of Life

Bottom line: After a slow start, China’s VNO program is picking up momentum, with new operators poised to sign up a collective 50 million in total subscribers as soon as the middle of next year.

VNOs gain momentum

After a decidedly slow start in their first half year of life, China’s young crop of virtual network operators (VNOs) are starting to show some new signs of momentum, including a boost with the new awards of licenses to leading online video site Youku Tudou (NYSE: YOKU) and fast-rising smartphone maker Xiaomi. The VNO program is part of Beijing’s efforts to breathe new life into the telecoms services sector by opening it up to new private operators that can compete with the big 3 state-run telcos. But the program has been plagued with glitches since the first new services launched in the spring, with the result that progress has been slower than expected. Read Full Post…

TELECOMS – New Comments Hint At Qualcomm Settlement Soon

Bottom line: China is likely to wrap up its probe of Qualcomm by year end with a record fine of more than $1 billion and Qualcomm’s agreement to significantly change its licensing practices.

End draws near in Qualcomm probe

After filling the headlines for much of the summer, news on the flood of anti-trust investigations against major foreign firms suddenly came to a halt in the fall, giving the movement an almost seasonal feel. But the story looks set to pop back into the headlines soon, with signs that China’s National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) is getting ready to levy a record fine for anti-competitive behavior against leading global cellphone chip maker Qualcomm (Nasdaq: QCOM). The signals are coming in new comments this week from Qualcomm’s top 2 executives, as well as from China’s Premier Li Keqiang. Read Full Post…

IPOs: eHi Sputters; Huayi, iQiyi Raise Funds

Bottom line: A weak debut for eHi reflects waning investor enthusiasm for Chinese IPOs, while a new $585 million investment in Huayi Bros reflects strong growth prospects for the independent filmmaker.

eHi IPO sputters out of the gate

A flurry of fund-raising events are in the headlines today, led by a weak trading debut for car rental specialist eHi Car Services (NYSE: EHIC) and a big capital infusion for Huayi Bros (Shenzhen: 300027), one of China’s leading independent film makers. Rounding out the activity are reports confirming that smartphone high-flyer Xiaomi has made its largest investment to date, spending $300 million for a stake in iQiyi, China’s second largest online video site owned by Internet search leader Baidu (Nasdaq: BIDU). Read Full Post…

INTERNET – Tencent Eyes Telcos With WeChat Voice

Bottom line: Tencent’s new WeChat-based free voice service could stand a good chance of success, but will face challenges due to technical issues and resistance from China’s traditional telcos.

WeChat launches free voice calling service

Internet giant Tencent (HKEx: 700) has just announced new quarterly results that show slowing growth for its core social networking (SNS) and gaming units, but everyone is far more interested in the low-key launch of a new free voice calling feature on its wildly popular WeChat platform. The new function, called WeChat phone book, lets users make real-time phone calls for free by routing them over the Internet, and is similar to that offered by the much older Skype. But unlike Skype, which only allows free calls to other Skype users, the new Tencent service allows users to make free calls to anyone with a fixed- or mobile phone account. Read Full Post…

TELECOMS – China Telcos Oraphaned As Telefonica Dumps Unicom

Bottom line: Telefonica’s sell-down of its Unicom stake presages an exit from the investment next year, ending a decade of failed tie-ups by foreign telcos looking to tap the Chinese telecoms services market.

Telefonica halves Unicom stake

Chinese telco shares may look like a good bet for small investors hoping to profit from company stock gains, but they’re a clear dud for foreign carriers hoping to profit from China’s huge but highly protected telecoms market. That’s my latest assessment following word that Spain’s Telefonica (Madrid: TELF) is further selling down its stake in China Unicom (HKEx: 762; NYSE: CHU), in what looks like a prelude to a complete exit from this problematic investment.

If Telefonica does indeed completely dump Unicom, it would mark the end of a decade-long courtship that saw some of the world’s top telcos invest heavily in their Chinese counterparts. All of those investments ended in divorce, with the foreign carriers selling their shares when they failed to get any strategic benefits from the tie-ups. Read Full Post…

TELECOMS – Unicom Aims High As 4G Era Draws Near

Bottom line: China could have as many as 400 million 4G subscribers by the end of next year, as the nation’s 2 smaller carriers join China Mobile in offering aggressive promotions starting in January.

4G to explode in 2015

After a period of relative quiet following the iPhone 6’s delayed China launch last month, we’re seeing a sudden flurry of news on the development of 4G service in China. None of the headlines are unexpected, but they do collectively point to a coming explosion in 4G service in 2015. Leading the headlines are reports that the telecoms regulator will give 4G licenses to China’s 2 smaller telcos, China Unicom (HKEx: 762; NYSE: CHU) and China Telecom (HKEx: 728; NYSE: CHA), by the end of this year. At the same time, another report is giving the latest national 4G figures, and yet another headline details Unicom’s aggressive 4G plans for 2015. Read Full Post…

China Mobile, Alibaba JV Takes Aim At WeChat

Alibaba to revive ailing Fetion

The near-monopoly held by Tencent’s (HKEx: 700) WeChat in China’s mobile messaging space could soon get a fresh shot of competition, with word that e-commerce giant Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) was in talks for an alliance to revive China Mobile’s (HKEx: 941; NYSE: CHL) fast-fading Fetion text messaging service. Such a powerful tie-up could take direct aim at the current stranglehold on the market held by WeChat, which now has more than 400 million active users and has become an indispensable communications tool for many. Read Full Post…

HP Eyes Chinese Partner For Router Division

HP shops majority stake in China H3C unit

Ripples from Hewlett-Packard’s (NYSE: HPQ) decision to break itself into 2 companies are being felt in China, with word that HP is looking for someone to buy a majority stake in its China-based router division. I can immediately think of 2 Chinese firms that would be interested in the stake, namely homegrown networking equipment giant Huawei and also leading PC maker Lenovo (HKEx: 992).

China’s second largest networking equipment maker ZTE (HKEx: 763; NYSE: 000063) could also be interested, even though it doesn’t have a past record for major acquisitions. There’s also the chance that one of Europe’s major networking equipment makers might be interested, with Ericsson (Stockholm: ERICb) or Nokia (Helsinki: NOK1V) as the most likely choices. Read Full Post…

WeChat, OTTs Nip At China Mobile Revenue

China Mobile posts first-ever revenue drop

Leading telco China Mobile (HKEx: 941; NYSE: CHL) has just released its latest quarterly results that show profits continue to sag by about 10 percent, continuing a theme from the past year. But the figure that’s catching attention in the headlines is the company’s top line revenue, which has fallen for the first time ever in the latest quarter. The revenue drop isn’t all that surprising and comes about a year after China Mobile’s profits first began to decline. But perhaps more worrisome is the prospect that revenue could continue to drop for years until China Mobile finds a way to win back some of the business that is rapidly flowing to third-party service providers like Tencent (HKEx: 700) and a new batch of mobile virtual network operators (VNOs). Read Full Post…

Unigroup Drives Chip Consolidation With New Fund

China sets up IC investment fund

Just weeks after Intel (Nasdaq: INTC) unveild a major new tie-up with a leading Chinese microchip maker, the Chinese partner behind that deal is moving ahead with its own drive to consolidate the nation’s fragmented sector for such chips, formally known as integrated circuits (ICs). The Chinese company, Tsinghua Unigroup, is reportedly leading the establishment of a major new fund that will invest in IC designers and manufacturers. While such a fund might normally focus on providing money to start-ups, based on Unigroup’s recent actions it looks more likely that this new entity could become a vehicle for consolidation that is sorely needed in China’s microchip sector. Read Full Post…