Bottom line: Jin Jiang’s pursuit of Shenzhen-based Vienna Hotel Group, combined with other recent M&A, could vault it to China’s leading hotel operator, though its sudden rapid expansion looks at least partly politically motivated.
Jin Jiang aims high with Vienna Hotel talks
Shanghai-based hotel operator Jin Jiang’s (HKEx: 2006; Shanghai: 600754) recent appetite for M&A continues to grow, with word that the company is in talks to buy a Shenzhen-based rival in a deal that would boost its hotel count by a third. A successful purchase of the privately held Vienna Hotel Group would mark the latest mega-purchase by Jin Jiang, which has suddenly emerged as China’s hot hotel company to watch.
Jin Jiang is certainly a household name in my adopted hometown of Shanghai, and this latest deal, when combined with others, would move the company into the ranks of one of China’s top 5 operators and the only one with a global presence. There’s only one problem with all of this, namely that Jin Jiang is one of the only top players that’s a state-run company. That contrasts sharply with other leading names like Homeinns (NYSE: HMIN), China Lodging (Nasdaq: HTHT) and Plateno, that are all privately owned. Read Full Post…
UPDATE: Since originally writing this post, Internet giant Tencent has launched its own buyout offer for eLong. Ctrip has commented that cooperation with Tencent would represent a win-win. (Chinese article)
Bottom line: Ctrip is likely to make a buyout offer for eLong by year-end, but its profits will remain under pressure for at least the next year as it battles with Qunar for market share.
Profits under pressure at the Ctrip lodge
Leading online travel agent Ctrip (Nasdaq: CTRP) has just released its latest quarterly results that show just how fierce competition has become in China’s travel market, as heavy spending eroded its profits despite big revenue growth. That competition was even more evident in the latest results for eLong (Nasdaq: LONG), which was once Ctrip’s main rival but more recently has developed an increasingly cozy relationship with its former foe.
I’ve been predicting for the last few months that Ctrip will ultimately make a buyout bid for eLong, following a steady series of recent moves that were bringing the companies closer together. The announcement of Ctrip’s and eLong’s latest quarterly results on the same day seems like more than coincidence, and is further evidence that a marriage could soon be coming. But before any formal marriage proposal, Ctrip would also be wise to take a long, hard look at eLong’s financials, which don’t look too impressive. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Ctrip is likely to make a counter-bid for eLong following a surprise offer from Tencent, sparking a potential bidding war that should ultimately see Ctrip emerge as the victor.
Tencent launches surprise bid for eLong
I’ve been predicting for the last few months that leading online travel site Ctrip (Nasdaq: CTRP) would make a buyout bid for former rival eLong (Nasdaq: LONG), so I was quite surprised to read that such a bid has come instead from Internet giant Tencent (HKEx: 700). This particular move is all the stranger because Tencent hasn’t shown much interest in the travel sector before now, though it previously invested in eLong and now owns about 15 percent of the company.
I also have to suspect that this particular bid came without the knowledge of Ctrip, which itself owns 37 percent of eLong. Ctrip got its stake after joining a group that bought out a controlling 62 percent of eLong previously held by US travel giant Expedia (Nasdaq: EXPE) earlier this year. Tencent has owned its stake in eLong since 2011. Ctrip’s recent moves have all pointed to its own buyout offer for eLong, leading me to believe that we could quickly see a bidding war break out for the company. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Tujia’s new fund raising reflects strong investor confidence in its business model and market positioning, which could help the company to post strong growth before an IPO in the next 1-3 years.
Tujia raises $300 mln
It seems like hot Internet sites only need to say they’re looking for new money these days, and they can automatically attract big investor interest that allows them to raise huge funds and get lofty valuations. The latest company to follow the pattern is Tujia, a site that allows homeowners to rent out their vacant properties to travelers, using a similar model to popular US site Airbnb. Just a month after media reported that Tujia was finalizing a new funding round worth $250 million (previous post), the latest reports say demand was so strong that it ended up raising $300 million. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Baidu’s heavy spending on new businesses is rapidly eroding its profits, a strategy that looks acceptable over the short-term but should be abandoned within a year or two if it fails to produce results.
online search leader Baidu
Baidu profit disappoints
I have to commend online search leader Baidu (Nasdaq: BIDU) for steadily maintaining strong revenue growth of 30 percent or more over the last few years, even as China’s overall economy has started to slow and the company faces growing challenges from new rivals. But that said, Baidu‘s costs seem to be rising even faster that its revenue, which has led to anemic profit growth in its latest quarterly results.
At the end of the day, investors should be most concerned about profits at any company, since a stock price is directly tied to the bottom line. But Baidu seems to be less interested these days in profits. The company is indeed facing many challenges, both to its core search business and also as it expands into new areas, which is driving the rising costs. But it also needs to learn to bring those costs under control, to roughly in line with revenue growth, or risk facing the wrath of investors.
Bottom line: Tongcheng’s new fund raising and Ctrip’s launch of an offshore hotel investment fund reflect the huge amount of investor dollars flowing into China’s online travel market, which will keep competition intense for the next 1-2 years.
Tongcheng in major new funding
Two of China’s leading online travel sites are in the headlines with major new initiatives, led by a massive fund-raising and even larger promotional spending plan by aggressive up-and-comer Tongcheng. The other major headline has industry leader Ctrip (Nasdaq: CTRP) setting up a fund to invest abroad, as it looks for new growth outside its overheated home market.
The pair of stories point to the huge potential for China’s domestic travel market, but also the fierce state of competition. Such conditions spotlight the need for consolidation, which seems to show signs of coming from time to time, only to collapse due to the fiercely independent nature of the company founders who are also usually their chief executives. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Jin Jiang’s purchase of a large Chinese hotel operator reflects its ambitions to become a leading player in China’s slowing market, though it could be undermined by its roots as a state-run company.
Jin Jiang to take control of Plateno
We’re finally seeing some big consolidation start to happen in China’s crowded hotel industry, with reports that Shanghai-based operator Jin Jiang (HKEx: 2006; Shanghai: 600754) is near a deal to buy the parent of formerly New York-listed 7 Days. The move comes just 7 months after Jin Jiang made another major purchase in Europe, and signals the company is clearly becoming a player to watch in China’s lodging space.
China’s hotel industry is undergoing some major changes right now, as the market suffers from oversupply created during a major build-up in the first decade of the 21st century. Leading player Homeinns (Nasdaq: HMIN) is in the process of privatizing after its stock languished on Wall Street due to lackluster growth prospects. China Lodging Group (Nasdaq: HTHT), operator of the Hanting chain, also made a major move late last year when it announced a major tie-up with French hotel giant Accor (Paris: AC). (previous post) Read Full Post…
Bottom line: The move by a Ctrip vice president to the role of CEO at eLong represents growing ties between the 2 companies, with the former likely to make a buyout offer for the latter within the next year.
Ctrip exec takes over at eLong
A new executive move between online travel leader Ctrip (Nasdaq: CTRP) and the smaller eLong (Nasdaq: LONG) shows the pair of former rivals are moving closer together, hinting at a potential outright merger in the not-too-distant future. Such a merger would have been major news just 5 years ago, when this pair of companies were the 2 clear leaders in China’s online travel sector.
Since then, however, eLong has sputtered under the ownership of US travel giant Expedia (Nasdaq: EXPE), which finally called it quits in May and sold its stake in the Chinese company. (previous post) Ctrip was quick to jump in and purchase 37 percent of eLong for $400 million, and has now moved even closer to its former rival with this new executive move. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Shanghai will bid aggressively for Chinese tech firms to list on a new Nasdaq-style board planned for the city, while shares of companies privatizing from New York will continue to sag in sync with China’s stock market sell-off.
Soccer club eyes IPO on new Shanghai board
A new Shanghai-based Chinese board that aims to compete with Wall Street for new high-tech listings is moving closer to reality, with reports that Baidu’s (Nasdaq: BIDU) iQiyi online video service and Alibaba’s (NYSE: BABA) affiliated Ant Financial unit will be among the exchange’s inaugural listing candidates. A separate report also says that another Alibaba-affiliated company, soccer team Evergrande Taobao, will also list on the board, which is being referred to right now as the new strategic industries board.
Meantime in New York, the current week looks set to end with just a single privatization announcement for a US-listed Chinese firm, a sharp slowdown from the 20 earlier offers in the month of June. In this case the abrupt slowdown is at least partly due to the plunge in China’s stock markets this week, and we’re unlikely to see any more offers until the situation stabilizes. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: A probable correction in China’s stock markets could cause Tongcheng to abandon its decision to list at home, and lead to a weak debut for Legend Holdings’ Hong Kong IPO.
Toncheng eyes China IPO
When the history books are written, the latest batch of IPO news could well mark the end of a brief but unusually buoyant period that has seen many Chinese companies eschew overseas stock markets for listings at home. Leading off the news was a sizzling performance by securities brokerage Guotai Junan (Shanghai: 601211) on its trading debut in Shanghai, as it become China’s biggest domestic IPO since 2010.
Another piece of IPO news also cast a spotlight on the hot Chinese stock markets, as online travel site Tongcheng said it was eying a listing at home in the next year, in a snub to New York where most of its peers are traded. Last but not least, the lukewarm reception for Chinese listings abroad was reinforced by Legend Holdings, parent of PC giant Lenovo (HKEx: 992), which failed to attract any major international investors as it priced its Hong Kong IPO. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: New fund raising by Ctrip and Tujia looks like far more than either company needs, and is part of a broader wave seeing Chinese Internet sites raise big funds to take advantage of strong investor sentiment.
Tujia raises $250 mln
Someone recently asked me why so many companies in China are currently rushing to raise cash, and, after some quick thought, I provided my best answer: Because they can. That seems to be the mentality among Chinese companies these days, including leading online travel agent Ctrip (Nasdaq: CTRP), which has just issued bonds to raise a cool $1.1 billion in new cash that it really doesn’t need. But that statement isn’t completely true, as Ctrip is in another headline that has it joining in a new $250 million funding round for Tujia, China’s equivalent of Airbnb. Read Full Post…
