Bottom line: Alibaba-affiliated Ant Financial is experiencing breakneck growth through its roll-out of a wide array of new products and services, and could be valued at up to $150 billion by the time it makes its IPO as soon as next year.
Ant Financial in Alipay offline campaign
A new report is spotlighting the rapid rise of Ant Financial, the financial services affiliate of e-commerce giant Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) that looks set to challenge not only domestic rival UnionPay but also upcoming drives into China by global giants Visa (NYSE: V) and MasterCard (NYSE: MA). Much of Ant’s incredibly rapid rise is tied to its core Alipay asset, which began life as an electronic payments service but is rapidly moving into other areas like credit card-style offline payments and savings account services.
The latest reports also contain a new figure on Ant’s valuation following its first major capital raising. That figure of $45 billion is substantially larger than an earlier figure of $30 billion that was contained in initial reports on the funding just a week ago. (previous post) But those earlier reports also pointed out the low valuation was based on shares that were probably sold at a discount to a big domestic institutional investor, perhaps for strategic reasons, and that the real value could be as high as $50 billion. Read Full Post…
My first hint that change was in the air for foreigners working in Shanghai came a couple of weeks ago on a visit to the foreign affairs office at the university where I teach. That was when the young man who handles my visas told me new rules coming out would allow me to apply for work visas good for 2 years or more – a radical change from the current policies that make getting anything longer than 1 year nearly impossible.
I didn’t share his enthusiasm, mostly because I’m quite skeptical of a Chinese system that makes many things possible in theory but quite difficult to achieve in reality. That small signal 2 weeks ago has rapidly evolved into a flood of new reports over the past week, all saying that Shanghai is becoming friendlier to foreigners who want to live and work here over the longer term. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Ant Financial’s valuation looks low but reasonable based on its first major fund raising, and the figure is like to triple or more by the time it makes its domestic IPO in around the next 2 years.
Ant Financial gets low valuation in new funding
After months of negotiations, Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) affiliated financial services unit Ant Financial has finally closed its first major funding round as it revs up a campaign to challenge established state-run banks. But what most surprised me in the latest reports were the low valuation that Ant got from the funding, with the final figure coming in far below all of the earlier forecasts.
The moral of the story is that Ant Financial and other similar privately funded financial services companies still have big potential. But limitations that restrict such companies from seeking foreign investment are likely to limit their valuations, since only a small field of domestic Chinese institutional investors have big enough sums of money to finance high-growth companies like Ant. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Shanghai will bid aggressively for Chinese tech firms to list on a new Nasdaq-style board planned for the city, while shares of companies privatizing from New York will continue to sag in sync with China’s stock market sell-off.
Soccer club eyes IPO on new Shanghai board
A new Shanghai-based Chinese board that aims to compete with Wall Street for new high-tech listings is moving closer to reality, with reports that Baidu’s (Nasdaq: BIDU) iQiyi online video service and Alibaba’s (NYSE: BABA) affiliated Ant Financial unit will be among the exchange’s inaugural listing candidates. A separate report also says that another Alibaba-affiliated company, soccer team Evergrande Taobao, will also list on the board, which is being referred to right now as the new strategic industries board.
Meantime in New York, the current week looks set to end with just a single privatization announcement for a US-listed Chinese firm, a sharp slowdown from the 20 earlier offers in the month of June. In this case the abrupt slowdown is at least partly due to the plunge in China’s stock markets this week, and we’re unlikely to see any more offers until the situation stabilizes. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Alibaba will mount an intense campaign in Washington over the next 6 months in a bid to avoid major embarrassment if its name appears on a widely watched list of global Internet companies that don’t do enough to fight piracy.
Volume grows in Alibaba anti-piracy drive
Just weeks after hiring a major lobbyist to convince Washington it’s serious about fighting piracy, e-commerce leader Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) is turning up the volume in its campaign with a couple of new announcements about its commitment to combating the problem. The latest of those has seen Alibaba jointly issue an announcement with the Washington-based International AntiCounterfeiting Coalition, reaffirming an earlier tie-up aimed at stamping out the selling of fake products in Alibaba’s popular e-commerce marketplaces.
The other announcement came earlier in the week, and saw Alibaba announce it was strengthening its cooperation with a Chinese organization that fights online copyright infringement. Unfortunately for Alibaba, no one paid too much attention to these 2 announcements, with the result that its renewed anti-piracy blitz wasn’t publicized too much in mainstream media. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: A Yidao Yongche merger with Uber China continues the rapid consolidation in China’s hired car services, which could be followed soon by a successful bid by Uber and Baidu for Nokia’s digital mapping division.
Yidao Yongche to merge with Uber China
Rapid consolidation is taking place in China’s hired car services market, with word that a new alliance is shaping up between major local player Yidao Yongche and an existing tie-up between global giant Uber and local Internet search leader Baidu (Nasdaq: BIDU). As a longtime Chinese Internet watcher, I’m quite surprised at the sudden and rapid speed of consolidation in this particular sector, since such consolidation in other areas tends to be a slow and painful process that often takes years.
A major factor behind this sudden and rapid consolidation could be the participation by all 3 of China’s top Internet players, including Baidu, alongside social networking giant Tencent (HKEx: 700) and e-commerce leader Alibaba (NYSE: BABA). Two of those companies are also involved in a related headline that is seeing Baidu and Tencent making separate bids for the digital mapping division being sold off by former cellphone giant Nokia (Helsinki: NOK1V). Read Full Post…
Bottom line: A new anti-bribery probe against the medical device divisions at Siemens, GE and Philips will end with a quiet settlement, as China scales back a wave of probes that have raised complaints about discrimination against multinationals.
Foreign medical device makers fall under China microscope
Summer time is fast approaching, which means it’s time for China’s latest crackdown on foreign firms to start heating up. Such crackdowns are becoming an annual tradition, and have even developed a certain cyclicity that sees them begin in late spring, then reach a fever pitch in summer before fading in the fall. This year could continue that pattern, following reports that the medical device units of global conglomerates Siemens (Frankfurt: SEIGn), General Electric (NYSE: GE) and Philips (Amsterdam: PHG) are all being probed over whether they bribed hospitals and other medical professionals to achieve their current market dominance. Read Full Post…
This week’s Street View takes us to historic Jing’an District, where a pair of headlines are spotlighting the closing of a storied expat landmark and the opening of a new museum that’s likely to become one of our city’s top future attractions.
News junkies will recognize the second item as the newly opened, state-of-the-art Shanghai Natural History Museum, which was flooded with visitors in its first days of operation. Far fewer people will know that the once ground-breaking but now faded expat hangout Malone’s is preparing to close its doors, after losing its relevance among much of the city’s foreign community. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: 58.com’s new Ganji tie-up looks like a smart partnership that should create a clear industry leader with a strong strategic partner in Tencent, though the stock could be set for a short-term correction due to overvaulation.
58.com buys 42 pct of Ganji
China’s Internet has just gained a major new player through the combination of online classified sites 58.com (NYSE: WUBA) and Ganji, which together will have a market value approaching the $10 billion level. Few companies outside the “Big 3” of Baidu (Nasdaq: BIDU), Tencent (HKEx: 700) and Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) can boast such valuations, and this particular deal seems to mark the emergence of a new sector leader that could even become an acquirer on the global stage.
Of course it’s easy to talk about going global, but actually doing that has been far more problematic for China’s booming field of Internet players. Still, this latest deal appears to show that 58.com may have the savvy that some of its larger rivals lack to make the global push, perhaps using this Gangji deal as a template for more strategic acquisitions in developing markets similar to China. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Alibaba and JD.com shares will remain under pressure through the middle of the year as short-term investors sell the stock on any news, but could start to recover after that as new money flows into the companies.
Investors unimpressed by JD.com results
E-commerce leaders Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) and JD.com (Nasdaq: JD) are both in the news today, the former for yet another major purchase in the entertainment space and the latter for its newly released quarterly results. Neither news bit excited the markets too much, as investors continued to sell a pair of stocks that are quite overinflated from a year of hype over the potential of China’s Internet.
For Alibaba, the news that it purchased an unspecified stake of film producer Enlight Media (Shenzhen: 300251) for 2.4 billion yuan ($383 million) was relatively small, even though the deal would be large for most other companies. Meantime, investors probably found it hard to get excited about JD’s latest report that showed its losses ballooned in the final quarter of last year, even as it posted relatively healthy revenue growth and seemed to be bringing costs under control. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Beijing needs to roll out new rules allowing limited foreign investment in sensitive areas or risk seeing private companies like Ant Financial suffer from slower growth and artificially low valuations.
foreign investment bans need new approach
Alibaba-affiliated (NYSE: BABA) Ant Financial has been on a financial roller coaster ride over the past month, as it tries to raise billions of dollar to fund its growth en route to an IPO that will offer Chinese investors one of their first plays into the private banking sector. Some reports have said the new funding could value Ant, whose largest asset is the Alipay electronic payments service, at up to $50 billion. But others have put the figure as low as $30 billion, reflecting the intense negotiations taking place. Read Full Post…
