Bottom line: A sell-off of JD.com shares after announcement of a big bond issue and a lukewarm debut for Yintech’s New York IPO reflect growing investor skepticism towards US-traded Chinese stocks due to the nation’s economic slowdown.
JD shares tank on mega bond sale
China startups may be all the rage among private equity investors in Asia, but they’re quickly losing their luster for smaller US-based investors. That seems to be the bottom line, following a lukewarm reception for the new IPO by a metals trading platform operator called Yintech (Nasdaq: YIN), and a plunge in shares of e-commerce giant JD.com (Nasdaq: JD) after it announced a major new fund-raising plan.
Neither of these stories surprises me too much, since China’s economy is standing on the cusp of a major slowdown that is likely to severely crimp all companies’ growth. But that said, it’s also noteworthy that private equity investors are still pumping billions of dollars into companies like Ant Financial and Didi Kuaidi even as sentiment cools on Wall Street. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: 58.com’s stock could be set for some upside in the second half of the year, as it returns to profitability after a well-executed acquisition spree that has sharply boosted its revenue growth.
58.com feasts on ads, acquisitions
Classified ads may not sound like the sexiest area of the Internet, but they’ve provided some strong growth for the acquisitive 58.com (NYSE: WUBA), which is fast emerging as a leader in the space and is often called the Craigslist of China. The company’s aggressive acquisition campaign has led to explosive revenue growth, but has also pushed the company into the loss column as it digests its many recent purchases.
That could present a good buying opportunity for investors with a longer term perspective, as 58.com looks set to return to the profit column and continue its strong revenue growth. If all goes according to plan, 58.com could end next year as China’s undisputed leader in the online advertising services realm. The company is already squarely ahead of the older 51job.com (Nasdaq: JOBS) and is on track to surpass current leader Zhaopin (Nasdaq: ZPIN), which both focus on online job recruiting. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Beijing and local governments should move more aggressively to regulate O2O takeout dining services, and encourage consolidation around 2-3 players with the scale and resources to ensure the sector’s healthy development.
Ele.me gets big new funding from Alibaba, Ant
New signs of overheating emerged in China’s online takeout dining realm last week, as one of the nation’s top players and a smaller rival landed major new funds to fuel their money-losing operations. The pair of deals saw China’s two leading e-commerce companies, Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) and JD.com, collectively pump nearly $1.5 billion into new investments in the space, even as other major players like Tencent (HKEx: 700) and Baidu (Nasdaq: BIDU) are also beefing up their services.
The flood of new money has produced a rapidly escalating round of price wars, offering deals for consumers but creating chaos in the market and on the streets of major cities like Beijing and Shanghai. This kind of boom is quite typical for China’s emerging high-tech sectors, but in this case also poses unique challenges due to practical dangers such as threats to food and road safety. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Homelink’s new mega funding reflects a recent renewed boom for Chinese real estate in major cities, while Alibaba’s backing of Momo’s buyout could presage a tie-up between Momo and Weibo.
Alibaba joins Momo buyout group
A couple of big fund-raising stories are in the headlines, led by the latest mega-funding for the fast-expanding real estate agent Homelink. Meantime, separate reports are saying that e-commerce giant Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) has joined a group aiming to privatize social networking app Momo (Nasdaq: MOMO), helping to squash skepticism that the buyout offer announced last year might collapse due to insufficient funding.
The only common thread to these 2 stories is that they show big funding remains available for high-growth companies in China, fueled in part by profits being generated by China’s booming real estate market. That boom has been directly responsible for Homelink’s meteoric rise, and seems like a good place to start this discussion of these 2 new mega fundings. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Mark Zuckerberg’s latest visit to Beijing and meeting with a top propaganda official show his hopes of bringing Facebook to China are still alive, and could result in announcement of a new joint venture by year-end.
Facebook’s Zuckerberg back in Beijing
Facebook (Nasdaq: FB) chief Mark Zuckerberg may not have much chemistry with Chinese President Xi Jinping, but he certainly seems quite capable of getting meetings with high-ranking Chinese Internet and propaganda officials. Just a couple of months after returning from paternity leave for the birth of his daughter, Zuckerberg was back in Beijing over the weekend to attend a government-sponsored forum, as he pursues his aim of bringing Facebook to the world’s biggest Internet market.
Zuckerberg is certainly no stranger to meetings with top Chinese officials as he pursues his goal. Last year he made headlines when he reportedly asked President Xi Jinping to choose an honorary Chinese name for his daughter during Xi’s state visit to Washington, even though his request was ultimately declined. And in late 2014, he hosted a tour at Facebook’s Silicon Valley campus for Lu Wei, minister of the Cyberspace Administration for China. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Domestic buyers are likely to comprise most of the investors in Ant Financial’s latest fund raising, though the use of foreign advisers indicates some overseas participation may also be allowed.
Ant Financial raises new funds
Ant Financial, the financial services arm of e-commerce giant Alibaba (NYSE: BABA), is going back to investors for a new mega fund-raising, just a year after taking money from private investors for the first time. But any foreigners hoping to buy into Ant will probably be disappointed, since it appears this new funding round will be mostly open to Chinese institutional buyers. Likewise, Ant’s IPO that could come as soon as next year is likely to happen on one of China’s domestic stock markets, again locking out foreign investors.
Perhaps it’s only fair that foreign investors stand on the sidelines in Ant’s high-growth story, since such investors already have easy access to some of China’s top private companies that are listed overseas. By comparison, domestic Chinese investors have little or no access to shares of Alibaba, Baidu (Nasdaq: BIDU) or Tencent (HKEx: 700), even though that trio of corporate giants derive nearly all their money from China’s booming Internet market. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Xunlei’s performance and stock price could come under pressure over the next year due to stiff competition in China’s consolidating online video market and lack of support from struggling strategic partner Xiaomi.
Xunlei swings to quarterly loss
As rumors swirl of a potential merger between the online video services of Tencent (HKEx: 700) and Sohu (Nasdaq: SOHU), smaller rival Xunlei (Nasdaq: XNET) has just announced its latest quarterly results that show why it may be difficult for the company to remain independent in the rapidly consolidating sector. Xunlei swung to a loss in the quarter and saw its revenue contract — hardly encouraging signs for a company that’s already quite a small player in China’s fiercely competitive online video market.
The big “elephant in the room” in this instance is struggling former smartphone sensation Xiaomi, which purchased 30 percent of Xunlei around the time of its 2014 IPO for a reported price of about $200 million. Xiaomi went on to form a content distribution service with Xunlei last summer, leading me to predict that it could make an offer to buy the company outright. (previous post) Read Full Post…
China’s growing love affair with Hollywood is reaching new peaks, with word that major studio Paramount Pictures may be preparing to sell a stake of itself to a Chinese buyer. Such a deal would be the highest profile investment yet in an ever-growing string of Chinese tie-ups with Tinseltown over the last 2 years. In some ways the movement looks strangely similar to Japan’s invasion of Hollywood more than 25 years ago, which saw Universal and Columbia Pictures sold to Japanese buyers.
That parallel may lead some to wonder if this latest Chinese drive into Hollywood could end with similarly disappointing results that saw both studios sputter under Japanese ownership. Prickly US-China relations could also add an element of discomfort to this new budding love affair, since Beijing enjoys a far less friendly relationship with Washington than Tokyo. Read Full Post…
The following press releases and news reports about Chinese companies were carried on February 26. To view a full article or story, click on the link next to the headline.
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Visa (NYSE: V) Signs MOU with China UnionPay (English article)
Baidu (Nasdaq: BIDU) Announces Q4 and Fiscal Year Results (PRNewswire)
China to Launch Commercial 5G Service in 2020 – MIIT (Chinese article)
NetEase Reports Q4 and Fiscal Year 2015 Financial Results (PRNewswire)
Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT) to Open 30 China Stores, Upgrade 60, Build up Cross-Border E-Commerce (Chinese article)
Bottom line: Tencent’s sharp focus, strong management and savvy strategic tie-ups make it China’s best Internet investment for the long term, though its shares may feel some short-term pressure due to high valuation.
Tencent builds empire on SNS
This week the series on my favorite Chinese stocks takes us to the “Big 3” of Baidu (Nasdaq: BIDU), Alibaba(NYSE: BABA) and Tencent(HKEx: 700) , sometimes called the BAT super trio because they’re the country’s biggest Internet companies by quite a large margin. I’ll end the suspense right away by saying my favorite among these 3 is Tencent, the only one that’s listed in Hong Kong.
I’ll look briefly soon at some financials comparing this trio, but will openly admit my Tencent attraction is less based on market fundamentals and instead is tied to its corporate personality that differs quite a bit from the others. These “personalities” are a direct reflection of each company’s founder, since all 3 are relatively young and the founder of each is still quite clearly in charge. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Meituan-Dianping’s IPO is likely to raise more than $2 billion and should get a strong reception when it comes, most likely by mid-year in New York, while ZTO Express’ $1-$2 billion IPO will get a cooler reception due to its steep losses.
Meituan-Dianping eyes IPO
After a quiet start to the year, the market for offshore Chinese IPOs is slowing coming to life with word of 2 listing plans that should both top the $1 billion mark. One would see leading group buying site Meituan-Dianping list, most likely in New York or possibly Hong Kong, in a deal that would probably raise at least $2 billion. The second is also Internet-related, and would see parcel delivery giant ZTO Express also raise up to $2 billion in a New York IPO.
Perhaps not surprisingly, both of these companies are losing money despite their position as industry leaders. That’s because competition has been cut-throat in both spaces, especially in the parcel delivery business that supports China’s booming e-commerce sector. Meituan and Dianping were also locked in heated competition before they merged late last year to face the current company, which still faces stiff competition from 2 of China’s leading Internet companies, Baidu(Nasdaq: BIDU) and Alibaba (NYSE: BABA). Read Full Post…
