Bottom line: Baidu’s reported plan to sell its online music unit looks like a smart way to rid itself of a controversial piracy-plagued business that holds little value for its main strategic focuses going forward.
Baidu set to dump music unit?
In what could be a move that’s long overdue, leading search engine Baidu (Nasdaq: BIDU) is reportedly eyeing a sale of a music division that was once one of its major attractions but in recent years has become more a liability due to frequent accusations of copyright violations. Baidu wasn’t commenting on the reports, but such a move would be consistent with its recent diversification into a range of new areas, none of which include music as part of their core business.
Such a deal, if it’s really in the works, probably wouldn’t be worth too much, perhaps in the $100-$500 million range at the very most. More significantly would be the disposal of a unit that in the past has come under fire for allowing rampant piracy through illegal peer-to-peer (P2P) trading of copyrighted music. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Didi Kuaidi’s Lyft investment looks smart but will disappoint those hoping for a more aggressive move into the US, while a new taxi app backed by 2 Beijing fleet operators is unlikely to pose a major challenge to private rivals.
Didi Kuaidi drives into US with Lyft investment
Anyone with big hopes for Chinese hired car services leader Didi Kuaidi following its latest mega fund-raising will be disappointed to hear the company’s highly anticipated move to the US is coming through a minor investment that’s unlikely to yield much results. Many were hoping for bigger things from this aggressive Chinese company, but instead Didi Kuaidi looks set to enter the US through an investment and strategic tie-up with local partner Lyft, a rival of the more high-profile and very aggressive Uber.
My view that many will be disappointed by this move is sincere, but at the same time I would also add that Didi Kuaid’s decision to avoid the US for now looks quite shrewd. History has shown that Chinese start-ups have far better prospects when they make developing markets the first stop on their global expansion road maps, rather than focusing on western markets that are lucrative but also far more competitive. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Contention around Meituan’s new mega-funding and Ele.me’s urgent desire to sell itself reflect overheated competition in the O2O restaurant services market, which could result in a major shake-up over the next 12 months.
Meituan denies rumors of funding collapse
Just a couple of days after reports emerged about the latest fund-raising by leading group buying site Meituan, the newest reports are painting a more chaotic scene in the sector for online-to-offline (O2O) services involving collaboration between web sites and restaurants. Meituan is once again in the news, though this time it’s denying rumors that its latest fund-raising has collapsed. Meantime, take-out dining delivery specialist Ele.me is also reportedly in frantic need of cash due to stiff competition gobbling up the industry.
This pair of stories reflects a cycle that’s all too common for emerging industries in China. That cycle typically sees one or two companies find success in a new business area, sparking a gold-rush that sees many others rush into the space. The result is always a surge in overcapacity, which is almost always followed by a shake-out that sees most companies close or withdraw from the business. Read Full Post…
The following press releases and media reports about Chinese companies were carried on September 3-7. To view a full article or story, click on the link next to the headline.
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Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) Chmn Said to Plan $2 Bln Loan Against Stock (English article)
Snackmaker Liwayway Said to Prepare $200 Mln Hong Kong IPO (English article)
Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL) Watch China Sales Pass 1.07 Mln – Report (Chinese article)
iQiyi, Shanghai New Culture (Shenzhen: 300336) in 1 Bln Yuan Production Tie-Up (Chinese article)
Xiaomi Accused of False Promotion Claims for Redmi Note 2 (Chinese article)
Bottom line: Qihoo and Meizu are likely to struggle with their new smartphone campaigns in India, where intensifying competition will also undermine domestic rivals like Xiaomi and Huawei that have recently entered the market.
Qihoo unveils new Qiku smartphones
Qihoo (NYSE: QIHU) and Meizu have announced they are taking their smartphones to India, becoming the latest Chinese brands to export to the fast-growing but increasingly competitive market. India is actually the second stop on Qihoo’s smartphone roadmap, which will begin in its home China market with the launch of the first 2 models of its new Qiku smartphone brand. Meizu has become a major second-tier player in its home China market over the last few years, and formally announced its own move into India this week as it looks to move overseas.
The pair will join several of China’s top smartphone makers in the increasingly crowded India market, which shares many qualities with China. Xiaomi launched in India last year and the market quickly became its second largest globally, while Huawei’s Honor brand has also scored rapid progress in the market. But Qihoo’s biggest competitor in India could be Coolpad (HKEx: 2369), which is already a big player in the market but will also produce Qihoo’s new smartphones through a joint venture formed by the pair last year. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Aggressive spending on O2O initiatives by China’s traditional and online retailers is likely to produce a new boom-bust cycle, and companies should consider more M&A as part of their plans.
Retailers spend millions on O2O
Online-to-offline retail services, often called O2O, have become the flavor of the day for traditional and web-based Chinese retailers over the last year, with at least 3 major new announcements coming out on the topic late last week. Two involved big internal campaigns to boost O2O services at electronics retailer Gome (HKEx: 493) and traditional supermarket chain Renrenle (Shenzhen: 002336), while a third saw e-commerce giant JD.com (Nasdaq: JD) make a major investment in traditional retailer Yonghui Superstores (Shanghai: 601933).
Those efforts come just a week after leading search engine Baidu (Nasdaq: BIDU) reported disappointing quarterly earnings due to heavy spending on O2O, and more generally as O2O has become a buzzword for nearly all of China’s major traditional and online retailers. The activity surge reflects realization that leading retailers of the future will operate a hybrid model that uses both online and offline channels to sell products and services. Read Full Post…
The following press releases and media reports about Chinese companies were carried on August 4. To view a full article or story, click on the link next to the headline.
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China E-Commerce Transactions Topped 1.6 Trillion Yuan Last Year – Stats Ministry (Chinese article)
India’s Snapdeal Said to Draw $500 Mln From Alibaba (NYSE: BABA), Foxconn (English article)
China’s Airbnb Valued at More Than $1 Bln After Funding (English article)
Car Inc (HKEx: 699) Announces Plan to Issue US Dollar Denominated Notes (HKEx announcement)
JinkoSolar (NYSE: JKS) Receives $70 Mln in China Ex-Im Loans for Factory (English article)
Bottom line: Internet-based financial services should continue to boom over the next few years, while a rapid decline in microblogging could start to ease now that Weibo has consolidated its position as market leader.
Weibo consolidates microblogging market
China’s Internet data tracker has just released a slew of figures for the first half of the year, painting a rosy picture for companies like Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) and others that are moving aggressively into online financial services. At the other end of the spectrum, microblogging continued its rapid decline, as marginal players retreated and industry leader Weibo (Nasdaq: WB) consolidated its position.
On a broader level, I was surprised to see the growth rate in overall Internet users slow sharply in the first half of this year, even as the number of people accessing the web over their mobile phones continued to post strong growth. I also took the time to tally up the subscriber totals for China’s big 3 telcos in the first half of the year, which shows that the dominant China Mobile (HKEx: 941; NYSE: CHL) gained share on its 2 smaller rivals as it aggressively promoted its year-old 4G service. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Mecox Lane’s privatization plan should succeed, but the company is likely to continue its decline even if it re-lists in China under its current lackluster management.
Mecox Lane gets buyout offer
The current privatization wave is giving me a chance to revisit some companies that I haven’t written about in quite a while such as former e-commerce superstar Mecox Lane (Nasdaq: MCOX), which has just become the latest name to receive a buyout offer. In a slightly surprising twist, Mecox Lane’s shares tanked after it made the announcement, losing more than 8 percent to close around 20 percent below the buyout offer price.
Mecox’s announcement is one of the smallest so far in terms of deal value, since the company only has a market value of about $40 million. That’s even less than the $63 million education specialist New Oriental (NYSE: EDU) will need to pay an unusual special dividend announced just a day earlier, in a move I interpreted as a signal that the company had no plans to join the exodus of Chinese companies from New York. (previous post) Read Full Post…
Bottom line: New Oriental’s special dividend sends a signal that it has no plans to de-list from New York, even as short-sighted companies like Qihoo continue buyout plans in pursuit of higher valuations in China.
New Oriental awards special dividend
Nearly 2 weeks after the last US-listed Chinese companies announced plans to privatize, education specialist New Oriental (NYSE: EDU) is sending a different signal that indicates it has no plans to abandon its New York listing anytime soon. That signal comes in a footnote to New Oriental’s newly announced quarterly earnings, in which it declares a rare special dividend — something you wouldn’t expect a company to do if it was planning to soon de-list.
At the same time, software security specialist Qihoo (NYSE: QIHU) is reaffirming its previous plans to push ahead with its privatization scheme, even as investors remain skeptical that this particular deal could fall apart. Qihoo is easily the largest of China’s companies looking to privatize so far, and clearly investors are worried that the company won’t be able to complete its buyout worth nearly $10 billion due to the recent market volatility in China. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Qihoo’s new Dazen smartphones stand a low chance of success, even if they provide better quality to comparably priced rivals, due to their late entry to the overheated ultra low-end of China’s smartphone market.
Qihoo unveils Dazen smartphone
About a half year after announcing its intent to enter China’s crowded smartphone space, software security specialist Qihoo (NYSE: QIHU) has unveiled its new product under a brand name that sounds clever and catchy but is decidedly downscale. Qihoo has just announced that its new smartphones will carry the brand name of Dazen, and will sell for a bargain basement price of 899 yuan, or about $150.
The move appears to be an extension of Qihoo’s longtime strategy of selling products cheaply or even giving them away for free, and then using those products as a marketing tool for its other paid products and services. But in this case the strategy of going after the ultra low end looks a bit questionable, since that part of the market is already quite crowded and many brands are believed to be losing money. Read Full Post…
