eBay Returns to China With Xiu eBay联手走秀重返中国

After failing badly in its first attempt in China, US e-commerce giant eBay (Nasdaq: EBAY) is preparing for a second try at the market by teaming up with a local player online apparel seller named Xiu.com. Media reports are citing an unnamed knowledgeable source about this latest tie-up, but from my perspective it seems quite credible as eBay has been reportedly looking for a new China partner for much of the last year. (Chinese article)

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Jingdong’s Courrier Wars: More E-Commerce Chaos 申通封杀京东商城

I’ve been trying to ignore a noisy war of words developing between e-commerce giant Jingdong Mall and one of its key couriers, but I’m finally surrendering and writing about it because it’s a relatively slow news day and also I haven’t written for a while about China’s chaotic e-commerce space. This particular issue is part of what looks like a broader growing discord between Jingdong, which also goes by the name 360Buy, and many of the courier companies that deliver the millions of goods that consumers buy online. Such discord is just as much a sign of the chaos that now plagues China’s e-commerce space as it is of the rampant competition that has pushed most major players deeply into the red.

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7 Days to Privatize, Who’s Next? 7天连锁酒店股东团提出私有化要约

In a theme that is rapidly gaining momentum, yet another US-listed Chinese firm has announced a new privatization bid to capitalize on valuations that have been pushed to rock-bottom levels amid a broader investor confidence crisis. The newest management-led buyout offer from 7 Days Group (NYSE: SVN), the smallest of China’s 3 publicly listed budget hotel operators, follows a string of similar moves that have seen other US-listed Chinese companies, including Shanda Interactive and Focus Media (Nasdaq: FMCN), make similar moves. So perhaps the more interesting question is: who are the most likely companies to launch similar privatization bids, as investors can clearly make some quick money if they can answer this question correctly.

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Tencent Wechat Wows Mobile IM 腾讯微信主导移动即时通讯

The fight for dominance in of China’s mobile Internet is producing some interesting global shifts, with big names like Baidu (Nasdaq: BIDU) and Alibaba facing aggressive, younger competitors as they try to translate their dominance of the older desktop Internet to the mobile space that will become a key growth driver in the next decade. But one company that seems on track to maintain its dominance is Tecent (HKEx: 700), China’s largest Internet company by market value, which rose to prominence a decade ago with its highly popular QQ instant messaging product. Now it seems that Tencent’s mobile instant messaging product Wechat, better known by its Chinese name of weixin, is facing little or no opposition in its rapid rise to become China’s dominant mobile IM product. (previous post)

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Price Wars Shake Up Travel Sites 价格战或促在线旅游业洗牌

E-commerce leaders like Jingdong Mall, Suning (Shenzhen: 002024) and Alibaba are taking their bloody price wars to the travel arena, where a new round of cutthroat competition threatens to infect this more established industry dominated by the likes of Ctrip (Nasdaq: CTRP) and eLong (Nasdaq: LONG). This new round of price wars could also potentially undermine up-and-comer Qunar, which just last year received a $300 million investment from search leader Baidu (Nasdaq: BIDU) but could need even more cash if the sector gets plunged into the same prolonged cutthroat competition now gripping the e-commerce sector.

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News Digest: July 3, 2012 报摘: 2012年7月3日

The following press releases and media reports about Chinese companies were carried on July 3. To view a full article or story, click on the link next to the headline.

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Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL) Pays $60 Million to Settle China iPad Trademark Dispute (English article)

Youku-Tudou Online Video Market Share Drops to 32.4 Pct in Q1 – Analysys (Chinese article)

Youku (NYSE: YOKU) Announces Senior Management Promotions (PRNewswire)

Sohu (Nasdaq: SOHU) Buys Back 10 Pct of Sogou Search Engine Held by Alibaba (Chinese article)

Home Inns (Nasdaq: HMIN) Announces Acquisition of eJia Express Hotels (PRNewswire)

Russia’s DST Builds More Valuation Froth 俄罗斯DST助长中国互联网企业估值虚高

When historians write about the China Internet bubble of 2011-2012 years from now, they are likely to feature Russia’s Digital Sky Technologies (DST) as perhaps the biggest foreign force that pumped in big sums of money and drove up valuations to unsustainable levels. The company, which rose to prominence as an early investor in Facebook (Nasdaq: FB), has been a steady investor in Chinese Internet companies, and is now making headlines yet again with another reported purchase of a stake in Xiaomi, an up-and-coming maker of low-cost, high-performance smartphones. (Chinese article) The Chinese headlines are buzzing with news of this major new investment in Xiaomi, including an interesting twist that saw Internet giant Tencent (HKEx: 700) withdraw from the new investor group after Xiaomi refused to shutter one of its services that competed with Tencent’s Weixin instant messaging service. But I’m digressing from the main subject of this posting, which is that DST has become a major force behind China’s Internet bubble, repeatedly making big new investments that drive up valuations for some interesting start-ups — many of them money-losing companies — to overinflated levels. In a similar pattern seen in DST’s previous investments, unnamed sources in this instance are saying this new capital raising values Xiaomi at around $4 billion — a number that puts it in the same ranks as much older names like Sina (Nasdaq: SINA) and NetEase (Nasdaq: NTES) that have much longer operating histories. I have little doubt that the unnamed sources in this case are inside DST, as similar unnamed sources have also flouted sky-high valuations after DST made other recent investments in e-commerce leaders Alibaba (previous post) and Jingdong Mall, which also goes by the name 360Buy. (previous post) I wrote about Xiaomi earlier this year, as it really does look like an interesting company that is full of market potential due to its niche as maker of low-cost, high-performance smartphones that sell for around $300 each. (previous post) The company previously raised around $90 million in new funding last year, and counts such big names as Singapore’s Temasek, leading chipmaker Qualcomm (Nasdaq: QCOM) and tech investment specialist IDG among its earlier investors. Furthermore, its CEO disclosed late last year that it sold nearly 400,000 of its first smartphone in 2011, and hinted its major new customers could include China Unicom (HKEx: 762; NYSE: CHU), China’s second largest wireless carrier. This kind of early progress is certainly encouraging, though I sincerely believe that DST isn’t doing Xiaomi or any of its other investments any favors by giving them more money than they probably need and filling the market with such high valuations. I’ve previously said that China’s overheated Internet space is in the midst of a much needed correction, which is already starting to see valuations for many companies come down. By the time the bubble finally finishes bursting, look for valuations of many of DST’s investments, and Internet companies in general, to be quite a bit lower than figures now in the market, more in line with peers from the US and Europe.

Bottom line: Russia’s Digital Sky is adding to China’s Internet bubble by investing in companies at inflated valuations, which will come down sharply by the time a current correction ends.

Related postings 相关文章:

Xiaomi: A Fresh Face In Smartphones  小米:智能手机新面孔

More Internet Froth in Alibaba Valuation, Dangdang Price War 阿里巴巴估值奇高凸显网络泡沫

360Buy — More Details But Still Pricey 京东商城值多少?

 

Jingdong Mall on IPO Fast-Track 京东商城IPO提速

After reports emerged last week that e-commerce giant Jingdong Mall’s on-again-off-again IPO was on again, it now appears the company is fast-tracking the deal with plans to list as soon as September, providing a big test for the anemic market for Chinese Internet IPOs in the US. It’s still too early to say how this IPO will fare, since it’s still at least 4 months away and a lot can happen to broader market sentiment in that time. Reports last week said that revenue at Jingdong, which also is known as 360Buy, reached 21 billion yuan and are expected to double this year. (previous post) The company has yet to provide any profit or loss figures, but I am quite confident it will show quite a big loss for 2011, possibly $100 million or more, when it finally releases that information, as it battles with other e-commerce names like Alibaba and Dangdang (NYSE: DANG) for market share. Lastly, we know from the earlier reports that Jingdong thinks it’s worth around $10-$12 billion, echoing comments from investors when the company received a record-breaking $1.5 billion investment last year (previous post); but the the company’s investment bankers are now saying a $6 billion valuation is much more realistic, meaning a final valuation might come in around $7 billion. Let’s look quickly at the latest reports, which come about a week after Jingdong reportedly held its first official meeting with analysts to discuss its upcoming offer. According to the reports, Jingdong could make its first non-public filings with the US securities regulator as soon as this month, and has hired Kate Kui, a big name former Bank of America Merrill Lynch banker, to lead the IPO charge. (English article; Chinese article). This sudden fast-tracking of the deal marks the latest chapter in schizophrenic signs from Jingdong, whose founder and chief executive Liu Qiangdong said several times early this year that an IPO was at least several years away, even as other unnamed sources said an offering could be coming in the next 12 months. These latest reports seem to indicate the group pushing for an IPO sooner rather than later has taken control of the situation. I find it a big strange that such a cash-rich company wants to make an offering in such a poor IPO climate, though it’s possible Jingdong’s cash situation could be tighter than many people realize. But I suspect the real reason for this fast-tracking is that the investors who bet $1.5 billion on Jingdong last year want to see some quick returns on their investment, since it’s far from clear what China’s e-commerce market will look like a year or more from now due to the rampant competition with the entry of a number of major global players. All that said, I would say the chances for Jingdong to complete its IPO by the end of this year are good, though it’s unlikely to get a great valuation and could end up raising just $1 billion or less due to poor market sentiment towards loss-making Chinese Internet companies.

Bottom line: Jingdong Mall is likely to complete an IPO by the end of the year, but will get a weak valuation on a deal that could ultimately raise only $1 billion or less.

Related postings 相关文章:

Jingdong Mall: Back on the IPO Track? 京东商城上市:“狼”真要来了?

China: Room for How Many Amazons? 中国电商市场到底有多大?

Message to 360Buy: Make Up Your Mind! 京东商城IPO“暗战”

News Digest: April 24, 2012 报摘: 2012年4月24日

The following press releases and media reports about Chinese companies were carried on April 25. To view a full article or story, click on the link next to the headline.

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China Auto Rental Said to Struggle to Attract Investors (English article)

Sohu, Tencent, Baidu Video Channels to Jointly Buy Copyrighted Material – Source (Chinese article)

Huawei Profit Halves; Handset Competition Saps Margins (English article)

Lashou Reported Cutting Staff, Halting Ads, Calls Move “Strategic Adjustment” (Chinese article)

Alibaba.com (HKEx: 1688) Reports Net Profit1 of RMB339.2 million in Q1 2012 (Businesswire)

◙ Latest calendar for Q1 earnings reports (Earnings calendar)

News Digest: March 21, 2012 报摘: 2012年3月21日

The following press releases and media reports about Chinese companies were carried on March 21. To view a full article or story, click on the link next to the headline.

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◙ U.S. Sets Duties as High as 4.73% on China Solar Equipment (English article)

Yahoo, Alibaba Restart High-Level Discussions – Source (Chinese article)

China Telecom (HKEx: 728) Profit up 10.5 Pct on Mobile Growth (English article)

Citigroup (NYSE: C) Sells Pudong Bank Stake, Generates $349 Million (English article)

QVC Forming TV Retailing Joint Venture in China (English article)

◙ Latest calendar for Q4 earnings reports (Earnings calendar)

News Digest: March 17-19, 2012 报摘: 2012年3月17-19日

The following press releases and media reports about Chinese companies were carried on March 17-19. To view a full article or story, click on the link next to the headline.

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EBay’s (Nasdaq: EBAY) PayPal Aims to Challenge Alibaba With China Payments (English article)

Sina (Nasdaq: SINA) Microblogging Users Ignore Real-Name Requirement (English article)

UBS, StanChart Buy China Cinda Stake Ahead of IPO (English article)

◙ Vietnam Says CNOOC’s (HKEx: 883) South China Sea Bids Violate Territory (English article)

SMIC (HKEx: 981; NYSE: SMI) Secures US$600 Million Syndicated Loan (HKEx announcement)

◙ Latest calendar for Q4 earnings reports (Earnings calendar)