Bottom line: Yum’s China unit is getting a relatively low value due to the country’s unique risks and slowing economy, while YTO’s backdoor listing is likely to get a cool reception due to intense competition in China’s parcel delivery sector.
Yum seeks investors for China unit
Two major IPOs are in the headlines today, one from the more mature fast-food business and the other from the fast-growing but extremely competitive package delivery sector. The first deal has Yum Brands (NYSE: YUM) in talks to sell up to 20 percent of its China division to private equity investors, as it tries to value the unit in the run-up to a highly anticipated IPO. The second has Alibaba-backed (NYSE: BABA) parcel delivery service YTO Express launching a backdoor listing in Shanghai, as it looks for cash to support its operations that are probably losing big money.
Chinese IPOs have gotten off to a slow start this year, both in China and overseas, for a number of reasons. Beijing has banned new domestic offerings for now, in a bid to stabilize markets after a massive sell-off at the beginning of the year. New US listings have also been slow, as many start-ups that previously would have chosen New York now consider listing at home instead. Hong Kong has been the only area with significant new activity, though even there the volatility in China have also depressed the market. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: China’s airlines are likely to permanently ban independent travel agents from selling on Qunar and other third-party platform operators, dealing a serious blow to their air ticketing businesses.
Dead end near for Qunar air tickets?
The bad news just keeps coming for travel agent Qunar (Nasdaq: QUNR), with word that its online sales platform could soon be banned for sale of tickets from China Southern (HKEx: 1055; Shanghai: 600029), the nation’s largest airline. Media are reporting that China Southern is preparing to roll out a wide-ranging new policy to govern the agents who sell its tickets. A key part of that will ban agents from selling China Southern’s tickets over third-party platforms like the one that Qunar operates.
This particular bad news is significant but also incremental, since China’s major airlines have been slowly freezing out Qunar this year due to complaints from people who buy their tickets over the company’s online platform. That platform allows independent travel agents to sell tickets on Qunar’s site, with a growing number of agents using deceptive or even fraudulent practices to make sales. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Wanda’s new FIFA sponsorship is an opportunistic and savvy move both politically and financially, while CMC’s new smaller soccer investment also looks like a good play to win goodwill from Beijing.
Wanda, CMC in new soccer plays
China’s recent fascination with global sports deals continues, with word of major new tie-ups involving 2 big fans of President Xi Jinping’s recent call to improve the nation’s poor performance in soccer. The larger deal has an opportunistic Wanda Group signing on as China’s first top-tier sponsor of FIFA, the world soccer body whose reputation has suffered lately due to a major corruption scandal. The second deal has the acquisitive China Media Capital (CMC) investing in in SoccerWorld, a British operator of sports stadiums.
Both deals have a strongly political element, since Chinese President Xi Jinping is personally a big soccer fan and has appealed to China’s private sector to help improve the nation’s performance at the world’s most popular sport. Some of China’s other top corporate leaders have also answered that call, including Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) founder Jack Ma, leading web portal Sina (Nasdaq: SINA) and electronics retailing giant Suning (Shenzhen: 002024). Read Full Post…
The following press releases and news reports about China companies were carried on March 22. To view a full article or story, click on the link next to the headline.
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Marriott (NYSE: MAR) Wins Back Starwood (NYSE: HOT) With New Offer (English article)
US to Offer ZTE (HKEx: 763) ‘Temporary Relief’ on Export Curbs: Official (English article)
Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) Reaches 3 Trillion Yuan Milestone Even as China Slows (English article)
Bottom line: Mark Zuckerberg’s latest visit to Beijing and meeting with a top propaganda official show his hopes of bringing Facebook to China are still alive, and could result in announcement of a new joint venture by year-end.
Facebook’s Zuckerberg back in Beijing
Facebook (Nasdaq: FB) chief Mark Zuckerberg may not have much chemistry with Chinese President Xi Jinping, but he certainly seems quite capable of getting meetings with high-ranking Chinese Internet and propaganda officials. Just a couple of months after returning from paternity leave for the birth of his daughter, Zuckerberg was back in Beijing over the weekend to attend a government-sponsored forum, as he pursues his aim of bringing Facebook to the world’s biggest Internet market.
Zuckerberg is certainly no stranger to meetings with top Chinese officials as he pursues his goal. Last year he made headlines when he reportedly asked President Xi Jinping to choose an honorary Chinese name for his daughter during Xi’s state visit to Washington, even though his request was ultimately declined. And in late 2014, he hosted a tour at Facebook’s Silicon Valley campus for Lu Wei, minister of the Cyberspace Administration for China. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: WeChat’s growth will continue to fuel strong revenue gains for Tencent but could also create a drag on profits, while China Mobile’s profits are likely to be flat as savings from slower infrastructure spending are offset by big 4G promotions.
Transactions boom on WeChat
High-tech leaders Tencent (HKEx: 700) and China Mobile (HKEx: 941; NYSE: CHA) are providing a nice contrast with their latest earnings reports, pitting one of China’s most innovative private companies against one of its biggest state-run laggards. The results cast a painful spotlight on China Mobile, China’s largest mobile carrier, whose profits sagged in the fourth quarter as it lost business to more nimble companies like Tencent. Meantime, Tencent’s profits and revenue posted healthy gains, as it provided data to generate excitement about its fast-growing but money-losing WeChat social networking service.
Shares of both companies reacted much as one would expect, continuing recent trends. China Mobile shares dipped 2.1 percent after its results came out, and are down about 15 percent over the last year. Tencent’s results came out after the market closed, but I expect they will rally in the new trading day. Over the last year they are up 5 percent, which is quite impressive when one considers the main Shanghai index is down 19 percent during that time. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Domestic buyers are likely to comprise most of the investors in Ant Financial’s latest fund raising, though the use of foreign advisers indicates some overseas participation may also be allowed.
Ant Financial raises new funds
Ant Financial, the financial services arm of e-commerce giant Alibaba (NYSE: BABA), is going back to investors for a new mega fund-raising, just a year after taking money from private investors for the first time. But any foreigners hoping to buy into Ant will probably be disappointed, since it appears this new funding round will be mostly open to Chinese institutional buyers. Likewise, Ant’s IPO that could come as soon as next year is likely to happen on one of China’s domestic stock markets, again locking out foreign investors.
Perhaps it’s only fair that foreign investors stand on the sidelines in Ant’s high-growth story, since such investors already have easy access to some of China’s top private companies that are listed overseas. By comparison, domestic Chinese investors have little or no access to shares of Alibaba, Baidu (Nasdaq: BIDU) or Tencent (HKEx: 700), even though that trio of corporate giants derive nearly all their money from China’s booming Internet market. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Huayi has the potential to become one of China’s leading makers of Hollywood-style film and video, with a strong track record that has helped to attract major partners for a growing string of well-conceived production deals.
Huayi destined for China stardom?
Two savvy new deals this week are casting a spotlight on fast-rising rising film star Huayi Bros (Shenzhen: 300027), which is fast emerging as China’s most promising independent film-maker that could someday attain Hollywood-level status. Huayi is the lone company in my “favorite Chinese stock” series from China’s Nasdaq-style ChiNext board, which is typically quite volatile and often looks more like a casino than a serious stock exchange.
But despite any volatility in its share price, Huayi has shown an ability to consistently make movies and other entertainment products that get strong audience reception, laying the foundation for strong future growth. The company has become a regular fixture in the headlines, including the 2 new production deals this week that both look quite promising. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Ele.me is unlikely to face long-term fall-out from an attack on CCTV’s annual Consumer Rights Day show, but will still be challenged by a business model that forces it to work with thousands of small, often problematic restaurants.
Ele.me attacked on CCTV Consumer Rights Day show
Online take-out dining pioneer Ele.me is taking a double-hit this week, led by an attack on the company for working with improper licensed restaurant partners during a high-profile TV show broadcast each year on Consumer Rights Day. At the same time, the company is reportedly suffering as droves of those same restaurant partners shun its B2B service due to high fees and slow delivery times.
Both of these stories reflect just how rapidly Ele.me has risen over the last year, and also the usual cut-throat competition that has sprung up in China’s online-to-offline (O2O) take-out dining sector. Ele.me was the earliest major arrival to that space, where online companies offer take-out delivery service for diners from a wide range of local and chain restaurants. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Alibaba will come close to meeting the top end of its target of raising $3-$4 billion with a new bank loan, and chances are as much as 50-50 that it will use the funds to make bids for Groupon or the stake of itself held by Yahoo.
Alibaba turns to banks for new mega-loan
After first splashing into the headlines with rumors 2 weeks ago, e-commerce giant Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) has finally announced its latest cash-raising exercise in the form of a syndicated loan worth at least $3 billion. Following that official confirmation, all eyes will now be looking to see if Alibaba can find more demand to boost the loan amount even higher, and for any indication of what exactly it has planned for the new funds.
Let’s begin by looking at the latest reports, which have Alibaba announcing the loan in a regulatory filing. It’s somewhat noteworthy that the high-profile Alibaba hasn’t issued a formal press release about the loan, perhaps because it’s waiting to see where the final amount will top out. But perhaps Alibaba has also finally realized it’s better not to raise expectations too high with a hype-filled announcement, which can ultimately backfire if interest from smaller banks in joining the new lending syndicate is poor. Read Full Post…
The following press releases and news reports about China companies were carried on March 16. To view a full article or story, click on the link next to the headline.
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Zoomlion (HKEx: 1157) Sweetens Offer for US Crane Maker Terex (NYSE: TEX): Sources (English article)
Anbang wins US Security Panel OK to Buy Fidelity & Guaranty (English article)
Midea (Shenzhen:000333) to Buy Toshiba (Tokyo: 6502) White Goods Unit – Source (Chinese article)
China’s Consumer Rights Show Trains Sights on Local Food-Delivery Site Ele.me (English article)
JD.Com (Nasdaq: JD) Gains on Alibaba as Spending Jumps, Profit Estimates Drop (English article)
