Bottom line: Macy’s slow move into China reflect the company’s extremely conservative approach to overseas expansion, and is more designed as a PR exercise to deflect attention from its flagging performance at home.
Macy’s
Macy’s forms China joint venture
US retail giant Macy’s (NYSE: M) is looking to China as tonic for its sputtering sales at home, with the company trumpeting a major new e-commerce venture in partnership with 2 major local players. I had a slight sense of deja vu when I saw this latest series of announcements, since I could have sworn I’d seen Macy’s name appear in some China-related headlines before.
A quick check revealed the company did make a timid move into China e-commerce back in 2012, when it invested $15 million in a company called VIPStore, which was set to offer some of Macy’s private label products in its Omei.com site. (previous post) Reports a year later said Macy’s was once again looking to go into China, saying it was eying an online presence rather than build traditional brick-and-mortar stores. (previous post) Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Pepsi’s launch of a new oat-based dairy drink in China using an online promotion looks like a smart and savvy marketing move to tap growing consumer demand for healthier beverages.
Pepsi rolls out China oat drink
PepsiCo (NYSE: PEP) is taking aim at increasingly health-conscious Chinese consumers with its introduction of a new oat-based dairy drink to the market. This particular new drink, which is called Quaker High Fiber Oats Dairy Drink, is also tapping Chinese fondness for online purchasing through a tie-up that will see it sold exclusively at first through a partnership with e-commerce giant JD.com (Nasdaq: JD).
This launch seems quite gimmicky, aimed as much at gaining publicity as it is at introducing a product that consumers will really want. But that said, Chinese consumers do seem to love a good gimmick, especially when it involves hip and trendy online activity. That fact has been reflected in the huge success of Single’s Day, an online shopping extravaganza created by Alibaba (NYSE: BABA), and the phenomenal success of smartphone maker Xiaomi, which for its first few years sold all of its products online only. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Alibaba’s stock could be set for a modest rebound in the remainder of the year after a round of heavy institutional selling, while Baidu’s shares could see more downward pressure on concerns about its stagnating profits.
Alibaba shares set for rebound
Big news at the end of last week saw billionaire investor George Soros declare that he recently sold most of his shares in China’s 2 leading US-listed Internet companies, Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) and Baidu (Nasdaq: BIDU), as he decided to lock in profits on concerns the stocks were overvalued. His actual holdings in both stocks weren’t that big, but his huge influence almost certainly prompted other big fund managers to follow suit. That could explain the big downward pressure both stocks felt during the second quarter.
Of course small investors like myself and anyone reading this post are usually the last to find out about this kind of trading by influential buyers, meaning it’s already already too late to trade on this news. But the more interesting prospect is whether or not shares of one or either companies have reached a bottom and could be set for a rebound. Read Full Post…
The following press releases and media reports about Chinese companies were carried on August 15-17. To view a full article or story, click on the link next to the headline.
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Soros Cuts Stakes in Internet Giants Alibaba (NYSE: BABA), Baidu (Nasdaq: BIDU) (English article)
Bottom line: SMG’s Whaley Tech division has become the focus of its drive into the new media realm, following Li Ruigang’s departure from his post as group chairman to focus on the unit’s development.
SMG chief tries hand at smart TV
I don’t generally hold out much hope for traditional Chinese broadcasters for making the transition to new media, since most are bureaucratic, state-run outfits staffed by an older generation that doesn’t really understand the emerging industry landscape. But 2 companies that have the potential make the transition are Shanghai Media Group (SMG) and Hunan Satellite TV, which are both making big drives into digital products delivered in on-demand formats over the Internet.
Of the pair, my favorite is Hunan Satellite, since the company has a strong track record of innovation that has helped it to build a national audience despite its location in the relatively backward interior Hunan province. But SMG’s longtime chief Li Ruigang is also trying to show he can take his company into the new media era, with word that he’s formally quit as chairman of his group to focus on development of its new media businesses. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Alibaba and Tencent are starting to look similar in terms of size and tapering growth, and are unlikely to excite investors again until they can reignite growth to above the 30 percent level.
Growth sluggish at Alibaba, Tencent
Near simultaneous releases of the latest earnings reports from Tencent (HKEx: 700) and Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) are providing a good opportunity to compare China’s 2 largest Internet companies, and also how they’re doing at the moment and what their prospects look like. The pair are surprisingly similar in terms of size, but their characters and core strengths and quite different, reflecting the personalities of their founders.
Tencent’s focus on games and social networking reflects the wonky, somewhat nerdy nature of its founder Pony Ma, who feels far more comfortable networking with other geeky people and communicating online than speaking at big investor forums. Alibaba founder Jack Ma is much more of a salesman, which explains why his company has emerged as China’s leading e-commerce company. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: After a slow start, China’s VNO program is showing signs of starting to gain momentum and could start to pose a meaningful challenge to the country’s big 3 mobile carriers by the end of next year.
VNOs move slowly but steadily
China telecoms regulator has just released some new data on the country’s virtual network operator (VNO) program a year after the first service launched, aimed at providing some competition for the country’s big 3 state-run telcos. While some observers are saying they’re disappointed at the data that shows China had 8.2 million VNO subscribers at the end of last month, I would actually take a contrarian view and say I find the figures somewhat encouraging.
Frankly speaking, I wasn’t at all confident that the VNO program would attract many subscribers at all. That’s because the program relied on cooperation from China’s big 3 telcos, which were required to sell capacity on their networks to these virtual operators, who would then sell service under their own brand names. The big and obvious problem lies in conflict of interest, since the big state-run telcos would hardly want to support these private companies that could quickly become major new competitors. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Youku Tudou’s new name and campaign to create more exclusive content look like good strategic moves, but it really needs to sell itself to a larger benefactor to ensure its longer-term future.
Youku Tudou to change name, develop content ecosystem
Youku Tudou (NYSE: YOKU) was once China’s top online video site when it was formed 3 years ago through the merger of the country’s 2 leading players. But those glory days are firmly in the past now, as the company has been overtaken by more aggressive names like LeTV (Shenzhen: 300104) and iQiyi, the service backed by cash-rich online search giant Baidu (Nasdaq: BIDU).
Now media are reporting that Youku Tudou is rolling out a major overhaul that will include a new name for the company, as well as a massive spending campaign to build up an ecosystem for creating its own video content. The campaign certainly seems interesting and long overdue. But I’ve argued for a while now and still believe that what Youku Tudou really needs is to consider selling itself to a stronger Internet partner, rather than trying to continue as an independent company. Read Full Post…
The following press releases and media reports about Chinese companies were carried on August 13. To view a full article or story, click on the link next to the headline.
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Alibaba Group (NYSE: BABA) Announces June Quarter 2015 Results (Businesswire)
Bottom line: Tencent should limit itself to only reporting rivals or former employees for illegal behavior in major cases of criminal behavior, or risk being labeled a tattle-tale and undermining its own image.
Tencent: a vindictive whistleblower?
Media are flocking to the latest China Internet scandal that has seen software security specialist Qihoo 360 (NYSE: QIHU) accused of hosting pornography on its cloud service. But this time it’s not so much the act of hosting pornography that’s drawing attention, since this kind of problem is relatively routine on China’s unruly Internet scene.
Instead what’s drawing the attention is the source of the accusations that led to the scandal. In this case the pornography was uncovered in an investigative TV report, after central broadcaster CCTV was tipped off by Internet giant Tencent (HKEx: 700). China Internet watchers will recall that Tencent has a long-running feud with Qihoo 360 dating back to a clash 5 years ago. Observers will also recall that Tencent was in similar headlines last month when it leveled corruption allegations at a former executive who defected to e-commerce giant Alibaba (NYSE: BABA). Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Alibaba’s new tie-up with Suning looks logical on the surface but is likely to run into problems due to overlap in the 2 partners’ businesses, which could lead to conflicts and an ultimate dissolution of the partnership.
Alibaba, Suning in massive new tie-up
I’m officially labeling today as “O2O Day” in China, as a recent wave of online-to-offline (O2O) tie-ups reaches a crescendo with news of a $4.6 billion investment by e-commerce giant Alibaba (HKEx: BABA) in traditional electronics retailer Suning (Shenzhen: 002024). Media aren’t really commenting on the size of the deal that will give Alibaba a 20 percent stake of Suning, but to my knowledge it’s the largest such deal in China Internet history and also quite possibly the largest ever by a Chinese tech company.
All that said, I’ll be quite blunt and add my view that I don’t completely understand the logic behind this particular deal and thus wouldn’t expect it to yield very strong returns. On the surface it looks like a classic O2O deal, combining Alibaba’s strength in online retailing with Suning’s in traditional retailing. But a closer look show this deal could be set for a bumpy ride for a number of factors, which I’ll discuss shortly. Read Full Post…
