The following press releases and media reports about Chinese companies were carried on April 8. To view a full article or story, click on the link next to the headline.
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Baidu (Nasdaq: BIDU) Retreats on Chinese Private Hospital Advertising Boycott (English article)
Express Mobile Files Patent Infringement Claims Against Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) (PRNewswire)
BYD (HKEx: 1211) Announces Sale of Electronic Component Unit For 2.3 Bln Yuan (HKEx announcement)
Bottom line: Alibaba’s shares will continue to sag through the rest of the year on any news about the company, whether good or bad, as investors exit the stock to lock in big gains.
Alibaba shares continue downward trend
My earlier theory that shares of e-commerce giant Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) will continue to slump on any news, good or bad, is playing out as the shares re-approach a post-IPO low on a mixed series of headlines about the company. At this point the stock is simply on a downward track, as investors of all ilk who made big profits from the company’s meteoric rise sell their shares to lock in some gains. The pressure looks set to continue for the rest of the year, following the end of a post-IPO lock-up period last month that will allow Alibaba’s earliest investors to join the selling frenzy. (previous post) Read Full Post…
Bottom line: A round of April Fool’s Day pranks by China’s Internet companies marks a nice break from their usual cut-throat tactics, while the soaring valuation for a newly created taxi app leader looks more typical for the sector.
Internet firms get into April Fool’s spirit
It’s a relatively quiet news day as we head into April, so I thought I’d take a break from all the latest crackdowns and controversies by looking at some of the clever pranks played by China’s top Internet names on April Fool’s Day. At the same time, one company that’s in no fooling mood is a new taxi app giant that’s being formed with a merger of the 2 top players, and could soon receive an impressive $8.75 billion valuation after a new investment.
These 2 particular headlines don’t really have much in common, since one is largely playful and meant to be fun while the other involves the far more serious business of determining a company’s value. The April Fool’s stories are a nice break from the usual competition and wars of words that are standard fare on China’s Internet. By comparison, bidding up valuations to inflated levels like we’re now seeing with the pending merger of DidiDache and Kuaidi Dache has become standard fare on China’s Internet, as investors bet big on future growth in the market. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: New moves against e-commerce and online video firms are extensions of a broader crackdown on rogue Internet practices, which will slow short-term growth at some companies but ultimately create a healthier business environment.
E-Commerce in China
Crackdowns widen on video, e-commerce
It seems like I write about the latest Internet crackdown far too often these days, as Beijing focuses on a wide range of industries where it wants to clean up what it sees as unhealthy business practices. Another 2 such crackdowns are in the headlines as we head into spring, one in the scandal-wracked e-commerce space and the other in online video. Both crackdowns actually began earlier, and these latest moves just show the regulators don’t feel that their job is finished yet.
Of course it’s a slight oversimplification to say this broader series of crackdowns is coming from a single source, since the commerce regulator has been the main driver behind the e-commerce crackdown and the broadcasting and publishing regulator is behind the video clean-up. But those 2 concurrent campaigns, along with other similar ones, probably underscore a recent resolve by central leaders in Beijing to clean up a Chinese business landscape that’s often riddled with corrupt and illegal practices. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Dangdang’s growth is likely to slow rapidly over the next 2 years as it gets marginalized by larger rivals, putting pressure on its owners to sell the company before it sinks back into the red.
Dangdang posts strong profit growth
Investors were breathing a big sigh of relief after reading the latest quarterly results from Dangdang (NYSE: DANG), as an ongoing turnaround at the former e-commerce leader boosted both its top and bottom lines. The news erased concerns that sparked a sell-off just a couple of weeks earlier, after the company unexpectedly announced a last-minute delay in the release of earnings report for unspecified scheduling reasons.
While the Dangdang fears were ultimately unfounded, the same hasn’t been true for former online video high-flyer Youku Tudou (NYSE: YOKU). In that instance, Youku Tudou played a similar scheduling trick for the release of its earnings report around the same time, and ultimately served up gloomy results. It also disclosed it was being probed by the US securities regulator for aggressive accounting that may have been illegal. (previous post) Read Full Post…
Bottom line: China’s regulators should work closely with innovators like Alibaba and SMG to minimize the risk from their new financial products that bring small lenders and borrowers together.
Alibaba, SMG partner on film finance
E-commerce giant Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) made its latest advance in the financial realm last week, announcing a major tie-up with Shanghai’s leading broadcaster to promote film finance over its online platform based on the crowd-funding concept. The move extends Alibaba’s recent forays into both entertainment and finance, and could provide a major boost for smaller Chinese movie makers who often lack access to project funding.
But the reality is that movie making is a highly risky business for even the most experienced companies, and smaller productions are famous for losing money. That means many of the projects that get financed through the new Alibaba tie-up with Shanghai Media Group (SMG) may ultimately see investors lose some or all their money if and when poorly conceived projects fail to find an audience. Read Full Post…
The following press releases and media reports about Chinese companies were carried on March 31. To view a full article or story, click on the link next to the headline.
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Tencent (HKEx: 700) Dismisses New WeChat Membership System As Rumors (Chinese article)
Xinhua, AP presidents Discuss Cooperation In New Media Era (English article)
Jiayuan.com (Nasdaq: DATE) Engages Financial Adviser For Privatization Bid (PRNewswire)
Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) In Digital Distribution Deal With Music Rights Group BMG (English article)
Minsheng Bank (HKEx: 1988) Announces Annual 2014 Results (HKEx announcement)
Bottom line: Alibaba’s clean-up of its Taobao marketplace is likely to last for the next year, and could see growth in trading volume on the platform fall by about half of current levels to the 15-20 percent range.
Alibaba evicts 26 sellers from Taobao
Two months after a scandal erupted over high piracy rates on one of its main websites, e-commerce leader Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) has moved to address the problem with the expulsion of 26 merchants from its popular Taobao C2C platform. Alibaba’s description of the campaign shows the company is still avoiding the word “piracy” in its discussion of the clean-up, reflecting the sensitivity of the situation. But the larger question is just how many merchants will ultimately be expelled from Taobao, and what that will mean for Alibaba’s top and bottom lines. Read Full Post…
The following press releases and media reports about Chinese companies were carried on March 26. To view a full article or story, click on the link next to the headline.
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Bottom line: Alibaba, Tencent and Ping An’s online insurance joint venture should easily find backers for its first major fund-raising, and could even exceed its $8 billion valuation target due to strong demand.
Zhong An targets $1 bln in new funds
This year’s list of major private funding raising by high-tech firms continues, with word that an online insurance joint venture involving 2 of China’s biggest Internet names is seeking to raise a hefty $1 billion in its first funding round. This particular venture certainly has a strong pedigree, as it’s backed by Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) and Tencent (HKEx: 700), China’s 2 leading Internet companies with a combined market value of nearly $400 billion. The pair are joined in the venture by Ping An (HKEx: 2318; Shanghai: 601318), China’s second largest insurer and also one of the most aggressive players in its space. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Chinese Internet stocks are likely to see a soft landing after a correction period in the first half of the year, with leaders and high-growth second tier players likely to experience a rebound in the second half.
China Internet stocks headed for soft landing
A new scorecard is casting a worrisome spotlight on the bumper crop of Chinese Internet firms that listed last year, pointing out that more than half are now trading below their IPO prices. The sagging prices continue a trend that I pointed out in my IPO scorecard at the end of last year. That trend has seen shares of many New York-listed Internet firms come back to their offering levels or lower as investors pocketed profits from strong post-IPO rises. (previous post) But rather than label this a reason for worry, I would argue instead this broader wave represents a rationalization of the market that will ultimately see the best-performing names rewarded and the money losers languish. Read Full Post…
