Bottom line: A mega IPO by Postal Savings Bank next year is likely to attract little or no interest from private investors, while an upcoming IPO by 55Tuan could do slightly better but will still get only a lukewarm reception.
55Tun misses pricing target date
A couple of unattractive IPOs are in the headlines as China gets back to work after the Lunar New Year holiday, led by a massive plan by China’s Postal Savings Bank to raise up to $25 billion as soon as next year. While that plan may be a year or more away, a more advanced listing by group-buying site 55Tuan has failed to price its shares by a previously announced target date, leading some to speculate that the deal is running into trouble. Neither of these deals looks very exciting to me, and I suspect they won’t attract much interest from private investors either. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: The huge success of Tencent’s hongbao promotions over the Lunar New Year reflects the growing dominance of WeChat, which could marginalize other mobile services unless regulators step in to create a more level playing field.
WeChat clobbers Alibaba in red envelope promotions
I remember a time not long ago when we China tech reporters used to write annual stories about the number of people who sent billions of simple Lunar New Year text greetings over their mobile phones. Those days now seem like a distant memory, and new data from Tencent’s (HKEx: 700) WeChat and Alibaba’s (NYSE: BABA) Alipay are showing just how small those earlier figures were, even though they seemed impressive at the time.
But the real story in this new tide of “red envelope grabbing wars”, known as qiang hongbao in Chinese, is the huge victory for Tencent over Alibaba, which I’ll describe shortly. That victory owes directly to the huge popularity of WeChat, which saw many of its hundreds of millions of users glued to their smartphones for much of the Lunar New Year while they ignored everything else. Instead of the usual New Year activities, they spent much of the holiday trying to “grab” millions of yuan in gift money being doled out over WeChat by their friends, bosses and also by Tencent and Alibaba themselves. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Baidu’s approach of targeting developing markets like Brazil and now the Middle East looks smart due to similarities with China and fewer rivals, while Tencent’s focus on the US looks dubious due to stiff competition.
Internet names in different global approaches
Having become some of the world’s most valuable online companies over the last few years, China’s big Internet names are now looking globally to maintain the kind of growth they’ll need to justify their sky-high valuations. All are trying a number of strategies, but 2 broadly defined camps are emerging: one targeting developing markets like the BRICS, which are less lucrative and more fragmented, but also less competitive; and the other targeting developed markets like the US and Japan that can be very rewarding but are also extremely competitive.
Search leader Baidu (Nasdaq: BIDU) is squarely in the developing market camp, with search operations in Brazil and Thailand, and now new signs it is targeting the Middle East for its next overseas expansion. Tencent (HKEx: 700) appears to be the latter camp, following a high profile entry for its WeChat service into the US last year that now appears to have ended as a very expensive flop. Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) appears to be trying both options, though we have yet to hear of any major spending on any campaigns besides a few small overseas acquisitions. Read Full Post…
A recent round of virtual “red envelope wars” was making waves in the microblogging realm in this final week before the Lunar New Year, in one of the many recent battles that have seen Internet titans Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) and Tencent (HKEx: 700) lock horns. This particular rivalry has gained wide attention in the Chinese headlines these last few weeks, though it’s worth noting that many others are staging similar copycat promotions following the huge success of Tencent’s original virtual hongbao promotion last year.
Meantime, the hyperactive Xiaomi moved offshore in its own bid to make sure it continues to garner attention, with a flurry of microblogging buzz related to its new move into the ultra competitive US market. Last but not least, several high-tech leaders extended their well wishes to Internet elder Lee Kai-fu, following his return to his Innovation Works high-tech incubator in Beijing more than a year after returning to his native Taiwan for treatment of cancer. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: The merger of Didi and Kuaidi taxi apps could mark the start of a new round of consolidation between non-core assets of China’s major Internet firms.
Taxi apps Didi and Kuaidi to merge
After 2 years of making nonstop headlines due to their intense rivalry, leading taxi apps Didi Dache and Kuaidi Dache are leading the news once more with a new and quite unexpected merger. But equally interesting was the fact that this merger also marked an unusual shift in the equally bitter rivalry between Internet titans Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) and Tencent (HKEx: 700), which are Kuaidi’s and Didi’s main backers, respectively. That element of the story has huge implications, as it shows that China’s “Big 3” Internet companies of Tencent, Alibaba and Baidu (Nasdaq: BIDU) may be willing to consider similar mergers of their non-core assets, paving the way for a new and much-needed round of consolidation in areas like online video, mapping and group buying. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: An SEC probe is likely to find that Alibaba misled investors by failing to disclose a government report about widespread piracy on its Taobao site, which will weigh on its shares for the rest of the year as it moves to fix the problem.
Alibaba under scrutiny by the SEC
E-commerce giant Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) is quickly learning that the publicity it craves can be a double-edged sword, with word the company is being investigated for failing to disclose important negative information in the run-up to its blockbuster IPO last year. I’ve never been a big fan of Alibaba’s tendency to hyperbole, even though I do think it’s a fairly well-run company and quite savvy in its core e-commerce area. My general view is that companies should let their performance be their loudest spokesman, and let investors decide the rest.
Alibaba founder Jack Ma is the antithesis of that approach, and loves to hype his company at every opportunity he can. His cheerleading skills helped Alibaba secure a valuation well above what many expected, allowing it to raise a record $25 billion in its New York IPO last fall. Now it seems that the US securities regulator is looking into whether Alibaba failed to disclose key information that could have significantly cooled investor enthusiasm for the company’s IPO shares. Read Full Post…
The following press releases and media reports about Chinese companies were carried on February 14-16. To view a full article or story, click on the link next to the headline.
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China Taxi Apps Didi Dache And Kuaidi Dache Announce Merger (English article)
Chinese Smartphone Giant Xiaomi Makes Debut In US Market (English article)
China’s Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) Attracts Attention From US Regulator (English article)
China Cellphone Sales Top 47 Mln In January, 4G Models Account For 77 Pct (Chinese article)
Tech Financier Lee Kai-fu Returns To Beijing, Says Won’t Retire Due To Illness (Chinese article)
Bottom line: New online service platforms from Lenovo and Tencent could both do reasonably well, but will face challenges due to inexperience and product limitations, respectively.
Hisense, Tencent join hands in gaming smart TV
The “platform” concept is becoming a hot area in China’s overcharged Internet world, as companies look for newer and better ways to deliver their products and services over a growing number of devices and online channels. That rush is behind 2 of the latest big moves in the space, one from PC giant Lenovo (HKEx: 992) and the other from Internet titan Tencent (HKEx: 700).
Lenovo’s new foray into online products and services has been in the headlines for the last few months, but I’ve finally received some clarification on what exactly is behind its plans for an online platform with the new name of ShenQi. Meantime, Tencent is aiming to boost its leading position in the online gaming space through a new tie-up with household electronics giant Hisense (Shanghai: 600060). That tie-up looks set to produce a new gaming TV that could compete with more traditional consoles from Microsoft (Nasdaq: MSFT) and Sony (Tokyo: 6753). Read Full Post…
The Super Bowl may be the most watched TV program in the US, but it’s still relatively unknown in China due to the lack of popularity of American football. But the sport gained at least a few Chinese fans with its latest airing, as top executives from the likes of PC giant Lenovo (HKEx: 992) and online video firm LeTV (Shenzhen: 300104) tuned in to watch this year’s match-up that saw the New England Patriots defeat the Seattle Seahawks.
Meantime, an executive from the struggling Sina Weibo (Nasdaq: WB) was busy criticizing rival Tencent (HKEx: 700) for the latter’s freeze-out of several major Internet firms from its hugely popular WeChat instant messaging platform. Finally, we’ll end this week’s round-up of tech executive chatter with buzz that hints a former online literature pioneer may be preparing to emerge from a forced retirement, as he returns after a tough business battle of the sort that’s quite common in China. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Alibaba’s Meizu investment is likely to spark a round of similar buying by major Chinese Internet firms, but could jeopardize Meizu’s access to the latest Android technology from Google.
Alibaba invests in Meizu
E-commerce giant Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) is finally making a smart acquisition to revive its flailing smartphone initiative, with word that it’s investing a hefty amount in the well-respected second-tier player Meizu. This particular investment comes just 2 months after another similar deal that saw security software specialist Qihoo 360 (NYSE: QIHU) form another tie-up with smartphone maker Coolpad (HKEx: 2369), and could auger a new wave of similar investments by Baidu (Nasdaq: BIDU), Tencent (HKEx: 700) and perhaps one or two other cash-rich Internet companies.
The news could provide some new breathing room for companies like Meizu and Coolpad, since they and many of their domestic peers are probably losing big money due to intense competition in China’s overcrowded smartphone space. But this new buying spree could also mean that competition is unlikely to abate anytime soon, since wealthy companies like Alibaba and Qihoo are unlikely to give up easily on their new smartphone initiatives. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: China’s Internet companies should create a code of conduct to ensure fair competition, and the regulator should step in when they abuse their market dominance to promote their other products.
WeChat freezes out Alibaba
Internet giant Tencent (HKEx: 700) was in the headlines for much last week, as reports circulated that it had cleansed its popular WeChat mobile messaging platform of several services from rival Alipay, the popular electronic payments unit of rival Alibaba (NYSE: BABA). Tencent certainly isn’t alone in this kind of “freeze out” behavior, which has become a unique characteristic in China’s brutally competitive Internet landscape. Read Full Post…
