Tag Archives: China Mobile

China Mobile latest Business & Financial news from Doug Young, the Expert on Chinese Companies, (former Journalist and Chief editor at Reuters in Asia)

Apple on a China Roll, Ambushing Nokia, Lenovo 苹果伏击诺基亚和联想 在华发展势如破竹

What a difference a couple of years makes. Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL), a tiny player in China as little as two years ago, has suddenly become a new dominant force in both China’s computing and cellphone scene, taking on traditional market leaders Lenovo (HKEx: 992) and Nokia (Helsinki: NOK1V.HE) in their respective spaces. The US maker of wildly popular iPhone cellphones and iPad tablet PCs officially surpassed Lenovo in terms of total China sales in the quarter through June (English article), while it also picked up share on Nokia, whose China sales plunged 41 percent in the first quarter of 2011, according to research firm Gartner (English article). At this point, Apple looks nearly unstoppable in China, with companies scrambling to import more iPads to meet ever-growing demand and the country’s leading mobile carrier, China Mobile (HKEx: 941; NYSE: CHL) on the cusp of signing a landmark deal to offer iPhones in China that will run on its 3G network. The pirates have been making iPhone and iPad look-alikes for a while now, and even retailers are getting in on the action with a recent headline-making knock-off Apple store opening up in southwestern Yunnan province. (English article) Apple’s sudden surge in China, the world’s biggest cellphone market by subscribers and the second biggest PC market, must be coming as a shock to both Lenovo and Nokia, neither of which has strong offerings in the smartphone or tablet PC space to fend off the attack. If Apple continues to surge, which seems likely, look for Nokia and especially Lenovo to see their China business start to weaken in the next 1-2 years as each looks on powerlessly at China’s new fascination with this innovative US tech giant.

Bottom line: Apple’s sudden surge in China will spell headaches in the next 1-2 years for Lenovo and Nokia, which each lack strong offerings to counter popular iPhones and iPads.

真是三十年河东三十年河西!两年前在中国还势单力薄的苹果公司(AAPL.O: 行情)突然间成了中国电脑和手机行业新的主导力量,向传统的市场领头羊联想(0992.HK: 行情)和诺基亚(NOK1V.HE: 行情)分别发起了挑战。截至六月份的第二季度,苹果在华电脑总销量正式超过联想,同时还夺取了诺基亚的市场份额。据市场研究公司Gartner的数据,诺基亚2011年第一季度在中国的销量骤降41%。目前,苹果在中国的发展势如破竹,各大公司竞相争取进口更多的iPad,以满足中国不断增加的需求。中国移动(0941.HK: 行情)(CHL.N: 行情)接近签署一项具有里程碑意义的协议,在华引进使用其3G网络的iPhone手机。而盗版厂商们则一直在生产与iPhone和iPad酷似的电子产品,就连零售商也加入了“山寨”行列,云南昆明的“高仿真”苹果零售店就是典型案例。苹果在中国的突然崛起无疑令联想和诺基亚深为震惊,而後两者在智能手机和平板电脑领域均无强势产品可以进行反击。如果苹果继续高歌奋进,且这一趋势似乎也很有可能,诺基亚,尤其是联想未来1-2年在中国的业务肯定会缩水,因两者面对中国人对苹果产品的迷恋却无能为力。

一句话:苹果在中国的突然崛起会在未来1-2年内让联想和诺基亚头疼不已,因後两者均缺少可以抗衡iPhone和iPad的强势产品。

Related postings 相关文章:

Apple’s COO Comes Calling on China Mobile 苹果首席运营官造访中移动

Apple Takes A Second Look at China for iPad 2 苹果重新考虑中国市场

Unicom Takes on Apple, Google, Microsoft … I Don’t Think So 联通想挑战苹果、谷歌、微软……?我不看好

News Digest: July 23-25, 2011

The following press releases and media reports about Chinese companies were carried on July 23-25. To view a full article or story, click on the link next to the headline.

══════════════════════════════════════════════════════

Everbright Bank Said to Seek More Key Investors for HK Stock Sale (English article)

Nokia (Helsinki: NOK1V) Q2 2011 China Handset Sales Fall 41% YoY (English article)

◙ Former China Mobile (HKEx: 941) Party Secretary Sentenced to Death (English article)

Merck (NYSE: MRK), Simcere (NYSE: SCR) to Establish China Joint Venture (English article)

SMIC (HKEx: 981) Sheds HK$4 Bln in 3 Days After Management Shakeup (Chinese article)

Telecoms Regulator Shifts Tone on 4G 电信监管者就4G牌照发放转变口风

After saying on several occasions earlier this year that 4G licenses won’t be issued for at least the next 2-3 years, China’s telecoms regulator is subtly shifting its message, no doubt under heavy pressure from China Mobile (HKEx: 941; NYSE: CHL), which would like to see such licenses issued sooner rather than later. Chinese media are now quoting an official from the regulator at an event this week saying that 4G licenses will be awarded when the technology is “mature.” (Chinese article) He then goes on to say how China Mobile has launched expanded trials for its 4G standard, TD-LTE, in six major cities, and that results so far have been promising. I sense a definite shift in this quote from the ministry’s previous stance, in which it indicated it wanted to wait for new 3G systems launched two years ago by the country’s 3 telcos, China Mobile, China Unicom (HKEx: 762; NYSE: CHU) and China Telecom (HKEx: 728; NYSE: CHA), to gain traction before awarding 4G licenses. Industry watchers will know that China Mobile has been rapidly losing share in the 3G market after being forced to use a homegrown wireless standard, TD-SCDMA, that lacks maturity and a wide range of smartphones to make it attractive to most consumers. It has been lobbying hard for the regulator to let it roll out a 4G system, based on more widely used technology, and these latest comments seem to indicate the regulator might issue a 4G license to China Mobile first if it feels TD-LTE is ready for commercialization. If that happens, I could see China Mobile receiving a 4G license in as little as a year from now, which could provide a boon to telecoms equipment makers like Ericsson (Stockholm: ERICb), Huawei, ZTE (HKEx: 763; Shenzhen: 000063) and Alcatel Lucent (Paris: ALU), and could help China Mobile regain some of the momentum it has lost to Unicom and China Telecom.

Bottom line: A subtle shift in comments from the telecoms regulator indicate a softening stance toward the issuance of 4G licenses, paving the way for China Mobile to get one such license in as little as a year.

今年早些时候,中国电信监管部门多次表示,至少在未来2-3年内不会发放4G牌照,但现在其口风出现微妙的变化,无疑是受到中国移动<0941.HK>的压力。该公司希望能早点发放4G牌照。  中国媒体援引监管部门一官员在本周一次活动上的话报导称,4G牌照何时发放取决於技术的成熟度。接着他还介绍了在中国六大城市开展的TD-LTE规模试验,并表示测试效果良好。我从这名官员的发言中察觉到工信部立场与此前相比发生了变化。之前工信部曾表示,希望中国三大移动运营商中国移动、中国联通<CHU.N>和中国电信<CHA.N>推出的3G网络强化後再发放4G牌照。业内观察者将会注意到,因使用中国自己的TD-SCDMA无线网络标准,中移动在中国3G市场的份额正迅速流失。中国移动一直在努力游说工信部,允许其推出4G系统,工信部官员近期言论似乎暗示,如果该部觉得TD-LTE商业化时机成熟,或会首先向中国移动发放4G牌照。如果是这种情况,我认为,中国移动最短在一年内就可拿到4G牌照,这对爱立信<ERICb.ST>、华为中兴通讯<000063.SZ><0763.HK>和阿尔卡特-朗讯(Alcatel-Lucent)<ALUA.PA>等电信设备制造商将是利好,并可能有助於中国移动夺回中国联通和中国电信抢走的部分市场份额。

一句话:工信部官员口风的微妙转变暗示,该部在4G牌照发放问题上的立场软化,中国移动有望最短在一年内获得4G牌照。

Related postings 相关文章:

Goldman Joins List of TD-LTE Boosters 高盛加入支持TD-LTE网络阵营

China Mobile: Chairman Wang Preparing to Leave? 中国移动:王建宙董事长要退休?

Apple’s COO Comes Calling on China Mobile 苹果首席运营官造访中移动

Cable Consolidation Moves Closer With New Umbrella Company 中国广播电视网络公司有望近期挂牌 有线网络整合步伐加快

My initial skepticism about China’s plans to consolidate its fragmented cable TV sector is rapidly fading, with local media now reporting the company created to consolidate the industry is set for official launch in July or August as the consolidation drive gains momentum. (Chinese article) The report cites an unnamed source discussing the official launch of the company, China Broadcasting Network Co, and adds that 19 provinces, or nearly two-thirds of the country, have consolidated their cable networks since the program began. It adds that China’s entire broadcasting industry now has revenue equal to about half that of the nation’s largest telco, China Mobile (HKEx: 941; NYSE: CHL). If those numbers are correct that would give the industry annual revenue of more than $30 billion, which would be enough to create an impressive new entity if I could capture even a fraction of that sum. Even if the numbers are exaggerated, which I’m sure they are, the consolidation effort seems to be gaining some serious momentum and I’d say its chances for success must now be close to 90 percent. There’s no mention in the report of the potential for a future listing of such a new company, which would presumably be planned for the next 1-2 years. I would expect it to join the country’s other three major telcos with a listing in Hong Kong and probably a simultaneous listing in Shanghai. Such a company could be an interesting investment choice, requiring huge amounts of money over the short term to upgrade a national network of aging analog cable systems but providing big potential rewards once the system is updated by offering a wider array of channels as well as video on demand (VOD) and Internet services. The company’s success could also provide a huge boost for programming makers, both domestic and international, which are already seeing more business from China’s budding online video sector led by demand from the likes of Youku (NYSE: YOKU), Tudou and Tencent (HKEx: 700). (previous post)

Bottom line: The imminent formation of China’s new national cable TV operator is the latest sign of Beijing’s determination to consolidate the sector, pushing the chances for success of the campaign to 90 percent.

对中国打算整合有线电视业的计划我最初持怀疑态度,但这种疑虑如今在迅速消退。最近我看到有当地媒体报导,一家旨在促进有线网络整合的公司有望7月或者8月正式挂牌。报导援引消息人士的话称中国广播电视网络公司近期将正式挂牌,报导还称,中国已有至少19个省完成“一省一网”。报导亦表示,中国广电业2010年总收入约为中国最大电信公司中国移动<0941.HK><CHL.N>年营收的一半。如果这些数字是正确的,那麽这意味着该行业年收入超过300亿美元,即使有所夸大,有线网络整合似乎正获得一些前进势头,我预计现在其成功机率近90%。报导没有透露这家公司是否会在未来上市,但我估计上市也就是一两年的事,它可能也会和其他三家大型电信公司一样,在香港上市,可能还会同时在上海上市。这样的公司是个有趣的投资对象,而这家公司要在短时间内将全国的老化有线网络升级,是需要巨大资金的。但一旦系统升级完毕,得以提供更多频道、视频点播等服务,这家公司有望带来巨大回报。中国的网络视频行业正蓬勃发展,如业内领军者优酷<YOKU.N>、土豆和腾讯<0700.HK>等需求旺盛,因此这家公司的成功还会有利於国内外的节目制作方。

一句话:中国广播电视网络公司即将挂牌表明中国政府决心促进有线网络整合,令该行业整合成功机率提高至90%。

Related postings 相关文章:

Latest Sale Exposes Sputtering China Digital Revolution 上海文广股权低售凸显中国数字改革路漫漫

Youku, TCL Discover Hollywood in New Tie-Ups 优酷、TCL双双联手好莱坞大品牌

Cable Consolidation Crosses Provincial Lines 中国广电行业跨省并购案