Bottom line: Ctrip is likely to make a counter-bid for eLong following a surprise offer from Tencent, sparking a potential bidding war that should ultimately see Ctrip emerge as the victor.
Tencent launches surprise bid for eLong
I’ve been predicting for the last few months that leading online travel site Ctrip (Nasdaq: CTRP) would make a buyout bid for former rival eLong (Nasdaq: LONG), so I was quite surprised to read that such a bid has come instead from Internet giant Tencent (HKEx: 700). This particular move is all the stranger because Tencent hasn’t shown much interest in the travel sector before now, though it previously invested in eLong and now owns about 15 percent of the company.
I also have to suspect that this particular bid came without the knowledge of Ctrip, which itself owns 37 percent of eLong. Ctrip got its stake after joining a group that bought out a controlling 62 percent of eLong previously held by US travel giant Expedia (Nasdaq: EXPE) earlier this year. Tencent has owned its stake in eLong since 2011. Ctrip’s recent moves have all pointed to its own buyout offer for eLong, leading me to believe that we could quickly see a bidding war break out for the company. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Tujia’s new fund raising reflects strong investor confidence in its business model and market positioning, which could help the company to post strong growth before an IPO in the next 1-3 years.
Tujia raises $300 mln
It seems like hot Internet sites only need to say they’re looking for new money these days, and they can automatically attract big investor interest that allows them to raise huge funds and get lofty valuations. The latest company to follow the pattern is Tujia, a site that allows homeowners to rent out their vacant properties to travelers, using a similar model to popular US site Airbnb. Just a month after media reported that Tujia was finalizing a new funding round worth $250 million (previous post), the latest reports say demand was so strong that it ended up raising $300 million. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Baidu’s heavy spending on new businesses is rapidly eroding its profits, a strategy that looks acceptable over the short-term but should be abandoned within a year or two if it fails to produce results.
online search leader Baidu
Baidu profit disappoints
I have to commend online search leader Baidu (Nasdaq: BIDU) for steadily maintaining strong revenue growth of 30 percent or more over the last few years, even as China’s overall economy has started to slow and the company faces growing challenges from new rivals. But that said, Baidu‘s costs seem to be rising even faster that its revenue, which has led to anemic profit growth in its latest quarterly results.
At the end of the day, investors should be most concerned about profits at any company, since a stock price is directly tied to the bottom line. But Baidu seems to be less interested these days in profits. The company is indeed facing many challenges, both to its core search business and also as it expands into new areas, which is driving the rising costs. But it also needs to learn to bring those costs under control, to roughly in line with revenue growth, or risk facing the wrath of investors.
Bottom line: Tongcheng’s new fund raising and Ctrip’s launch of an offshore hotel investment fund reflect the huge amount of investor dollars flowing into China’s online travel market, which will keep competition intense for the next 1-2 years.
Tongcheng in major new funding
Two of China’s leading online travel sites are in the headlines with major new initiatives, led by a massive fund-raising and even larger promotional spending plan by aggressive up-and-comer Tongcheng. The other major headline has industry leader Ctrip (Nasdaq: CTRP) setting up a fund to invest abroad, as it looks for new growth outside its overheated home market.
The pair of stories point to the huge potential for China’s domestic travel market, but also the fierce state of competition. Such conditions spotlight the need for consolidation, which seems to show signs of coming from time to time, only to collapse due to the fiercely independent nature of the company founders who are also usually their chief executives. Read Full Post…
The following press releases and media reports about Chinese companies were carried on July 18-20. To view a full article or story, click on the link next to the headline.
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AAFA Calls For New, Transparent Anti-Counterfeit Moves from Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) (press release)
Investors Prepare to Sue Dangdang (NYSE: DANG) Over Low Buyout Offer Price (Chinese article)
Bottom line: The move by a Ctrip vice president to the role of CEO at eLong represents growing ties between the 2 companies, with the former likely to make a buyout offer for the latter within the next year.
Ctrip exec takes over at eLong
A new executive move between online travel leader Ctrip (Nasdaq: CTRP) and the smaller eLong (Nasdaq: LONG) shows the pair of former rivals are moving closer together, hinting at a potential outright merger in the not-too-distant future. Such a merger would have been major news just 5 years ago, when this pair of companies were the 2 clear leaders in China’s online travel sector.
Since then, however, eLong has sputtered under the ownership of US travel giant Expedia (Nasdaq: EXPE), which finally called it quits in May and sold its stake in the Chinese company. (previous post) Ctrip was quick to jump in and purchase 37 percent of eLong for $400 million, and has now moved even closer to its former rival with this new executive move. Read Full Post…
The following press releases and media reports about Chinese companies were carried on July 9. To view a full article or story, click on the link next to the headline.
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Group Buying Site Meituan Prepares to Raise $1 Bln, Value Doubles in Half Year (Chinese article)
Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) Increases Investment in Singapore Post by $138 Mln (Chinese article)
Bottom line: Chinese Internet blue chips like Baidu and Ctrip should continue to flourish on Wall Street due to their leading status, while shares of smaller names will sputter and even plunge if a recent wave of buyout offers starts to collapse.
Baidu in $1.25 bln bond offer
The last 2 days have been most notable for what hasn’t happened over that time, namely the announcement of any new buyout offers for US-listed Chinese companies. Barring any new announcements on this final day of the trading week, the second quarter of 2015 is likely to end with a record 20 such privatization bids for Chinese firms looking to de-list from New York in search of better valuations back in China.
At the same time, 2 of China’s premier US-listed Internet companies are on the cusp of issuing a combined total of nearly $2.5 billion in new bonds, reflecting a new reality for Chinese companies on Wall Street. That reality is allowing China’s leading Internet names like search giant Baidu (Nasdaq: BIDU) and top online travel agent Ctrip (Nasdaq: CTRP) to still do quite well in New York, even as the far bigger number of lesser-known companies see their shares sputter. Read Full Post…
The following press releases and media reports about Chinese companies were carried on June 26. To view a full article or story, click on the link next to the headline.
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China Reinsurance Group Said to Pick Sponsors for $2 Bln HK IPO (English article)
Wanda Plans to Invest in Travel Site Tongcheng (Chinese article)
Bottom line: New fund raising by Ctrip and Tujia looks like far more than either company needs, and is part of a broader wave seeing Chinese Internet sites raise big funds to take advantage of strong investor sentiment.
Tujia raises $250 mln
Someone recently asked me why so many companies in China are currently rushing to raise cash, and, after some quick thought, I provided my best answer: Because they can. That seems to be the mentality among Chinese companies these days, including leading online travel agent Ctrip (Nasdaq: CTRP), which has just issued bonds to raise a cool $1.1 billion in new cash that it really doesn’t need. But that statement isn’t completely true, as Ctrip is in another headline that has it joining in a new $250 million funding round for Tujia, China’s equivalent of Airbnb. Read Full Post…
The following press releases and media reports about Chinese companies were carried on June 19. To view a full article or story, click on the link next to the headline.
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Alibaba’s (NYSE: BABA) Ant Financial Valued at $45 Bln After New Funding: Source (English article)
Huawei to Make Nexus Smartphones for Google (Nasdaq: GOOG) – Employee (Chinese article)
