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Facebook in China latest Business & Financial news from Doug Young, the Expert on Chinese High Tech Market, (former Journalist and Chief editor at Reuters)

Sina Gets Serious on Weibo 新浪开始严肃对待微博

After months of frustration for investors, Sina (Nasdaq: SINA) has finally laid out a detailed plan for how it will earn money from Weibo, with company executives forecasting the highly popular but unprofitable microblogging service will produce “meaningful” money by the second half of this year. Investors clearly liked what they heard, bidding up Sina’s shares by 12 percent in New York trading the day after CEO Charles Chao made his comments on a conference call to discuss Sina’s otherwise unimpressive fourth-quarter results. (English article; results announcement) I’ve had a glance at the plan, and it looks like a mixed bag of some things that are likely to work and some that probably won’t. In the first category, the most promising part is Sina’s plan to sign up enterprise customers and launch an ad display system on Weibo, which now boasts more than 250 million users. (English article) These 2 approaches look smart because they both target business customers, who are probably quite happy to pay big bucks for a chance to reach Weibo’s millions of users. Less interesting are Sina’s plans to roll out a growing number of paid services for Weibo users, including paid gaming services. In one of its few previously announced Weibo monetization initiatives, Sina said in January it would offer a premium version of Weibo for users who wanted to pay for extras like getting SMS mobile phone notifications when they received new posts to their accounts. (previous post) That announcement was greeted with mostly yawns, as everyone, myself included, knows it’s very difficult to get people to start paying for services that they’ve previous gotten for free — especially the big majority of Weibo users who are under 30 and don’t necessarily have lots of cash to spend. Of course, execution will be key in all of this, as it’s easy to say you’re going to target enterprise customers but not necessarily as easy to create products that those customers will want. Facebook has been quite successful at making this transition, though the road has been less smooth for Twitter, the global microblogging giant. In China the story is the same, with Baidu (Nasaq: BIDU) a clear leader at monetizing the huge traffic that flows through its search engine while local Facebook equivalent Renren (NYSE: RENN) has had more difficulty. Given Sina’s long history and relatively strong record at executing this kind of strategy, I would say its chances of making some significant money from Weibo by the end of this year are good. If that happens, I would look for an IPO of this high-profile unit as soon as mid-2013.

Bottom line: Sina’s plans to target corporate customers to monetize its Weibo service looks like a smart move, though plans to get money from ordinary users look more problematic.

Related postings 相关文章:

Sina Tests Weibo Demand With Paid Offering 新浪试水微博增值收费服务

Twitter Eyeing China? Twitter想进中国?

Sina’s Weibo Suffers New Setback With Lawsuit 吉林市驻京办可能起诉新浪微博

Facebook, NY Times Make New China Moves Facebook和纽约时报在华新动向

There are some interesting new moves in China’s new and traditional media spaces, with Facebook, one of the industry’s youngest players, reportedly looking for young Chinese software programmers while the New York Times (NYSE: NYT), one of the oldest players, is taking a gamble on publishing in the market. Let’s take a look at Facebook first, as that’s the more interesting of the 2 developments as the company prepares for its highly anticipated multibillion-dollar New York IPO. Just last week I wrote that Facebook had registered a number of its trademarks in China (previous post), in the latest preparations for its long-stated plans of entering a market which it has said is critical to any global strategy. Now domestic media are citing a number of students at some of China’s leading science universities saying they have been approached about applying for software programming jobs with Facebook, which would include training stints in the US. (Chinese article) Certainly the implication here is that these bright young students would be sent to the US for cultivation as future leaders of Facebook’s China site, if and when it ever sets up such a site. China followers know that Facebook’s global web site has been blocked in China since 2009, and the company has reportedly run into problems for plans to open a China-specific site, with Beijing laying down several conditions that Facebook would find very unattractive. (previous post) Despite all the setbacks, these latest developments indicate Facebook is still pressing ahead aggressively with plans for an eventual China site, and won’t quit until it finally gets what it wants. Kudos to Facebook founder Mark Zuckerberg for his determination! On the less controversial front, the New York Times, arguably one of the world’s most respected media names, has officially entered the world of China publishing by partnering with a local company to produce a monthly science magazine for distribution in major Chinese cities. In fact, the New York Times is probably one of the last major global magazine publishers to discover China, as most other major global players are already active in the market through similar partnerships. What’s significant is that all of these global publishers now operate in a gray area, since foreigners technically aren’t allowed to publish in China in any form. So the entry of such a major name, and also a relatively conservative one, like the Times looks like affirmation that the market may finally be maturing and perhaps Beijing could even soon lift the publishing restriction on foreigners. It’s also significant that the Times chose to publish a science magazine, as clearly such a topic is far less controversial than other more sensitive social topics. Look for this move by the Times to be followed by other publishers who haven’t entered the market yet, as Beijing gradually releases its restrictions on foreigners in the sensitive industry.

Bottom line: Facebook’s new China hiring campaign highlights its determination to enter the market, while the New York Times’ entry to China publishing reflects a maturation of that market.

Related postings 相关文章:

Facebook, DreamWorks in Latest China Moves Facebook、梦工厂在华最新动向

Kaixin Looks to Cash in on Facebook Effect 开心网似乎在利用Facebook效应

Despite China Rebuff, Facebook Going Back for More Facebook明知山有虎,偏向虎山行

News Digest: February 23, 2012 报摘: 2012年2月23日

The following press releases and media reports about Chinese companies were carried on February 23. To view a full article or story, click on the link next to the headline.

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Facebook Recruiting Chinese University Software Students – Sources (Chinese article)

Noah (NYSE: NOAH) Obtains a Mutual Fund Distribution License in China (Businesswire)

◙ The New York Times (NYSE: NYT) Launches Monthly Science Magazine in China (Businesswire)

Qihoo 360 (NYSE: QIHU) Reports Q4 and Full Year Financial Results (PRNewswire)

◙ Wrestling Scion Joins Disney (NYSE: DIS) In The Ring In China (English article)

◙ Latest calendar for Q1 earnings reports (Earnings calendar)

Facebook, DreamWorks in Latest China Moves Facebook、梦工厂在华最新动向

Social networking (SNS) leader Facebook and animation giant DreamWorks Animation (NYSE: DWA) have both made new moves in their drives to enter China, as both seek to tap a massive media market of hundreds of millions of customers who are finally showing signs of willingness to pay for their entertainment. Let’s look at Facebook first, whose sights are now focused on its high anticipated US IPO to raise billions of dollars. Local media are reporting Facebook has just registered dozens of trademarks in China (Chinese article), showing it still plans to make a serious bid to enter the market despite a less-than-friendly reception from Beijing last year. (previous post) Of course, China watchers will also realize that Facebook’s action is probably a direct result of the recent saga in China involving Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL), which made global headlines after it lost a local lawsuit involving the rights to the name of its popular iPad tablet computers. (previous post) But regardless of the reason for Facebook’s latest China move, it’s still clear the company wants desperately to enter the market, and it’s quite possible we could see some kind of bigger announcement on its China hopes soon to generate more hype for its  IPO. Meantime, foreign media are reporting that DreamWorks Animation, maker of the “Kung Fu Panda” franchise that has been highly popular in China, is set to announce the establishment of a Chinese studio in the next couple of days during visiting Vice President Xi Jinping’s scheduled stop in Los Angeles during his US visit. (English article) Reports about DreamWorks Animation’s China plans first emerged last September, when media said the company was preparing to set up a Chinese joint venture to make animated films and TV shows for the domestic market. (previous post) Such a move looks very smart, as it will allow DreamWorks to produce cartoons for the domestic TV market, an area now essentially closed to foreign-produced products. Such a venture would also allow DreamWorks to circumvent strict Chinese restrictions on the number of foreign films that can be imported each year. One final interesting point in all this is that if DreamWorks really does form a joint venture, it would be the first such venture allowed by the Chinese since it informally halted such tie-ups 6 or 7 years ago. If that informal ban has ended, it’s quite possible we could see some of the other Hollywood studios try to set up new joint ventures in the months ahead as well.

Bottom line: Facebook and DreamWorks’ latest China moves reflect the growing draw of China’s media market, with more program-making joint ventures possible later this year.

Related postings 相关文章:

Despite China Rebuff, Facebook Going Back for More Facebook明知山有虎,偏向虎山行

DreamWorks Dreams of China With New JV

Cleanup Resumes, Facebook Sniffs Out China Investors 在美上市的中国企业将继续面临“大清洗”

News Digest: February 17, 2012 报摘: 2012年2月17日

The following press releases and media reports about Chinese companies were carried on February 17. To view a full article or story, click on the link next to the headline.

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Baidu (Nasdaq: BIDU) Announces Q4 and Fiscal Year 2011 Results (PRNewswire)

Alibaba to Offer HK$13.5 Per Alibaba.com (HKEx: 1688) Share in Privatization, For 46 Premium (Chinese article)

◙ “Kung Fu Panda” Maker DreamWorks Animation (NYSE: DWA) May Set Up Studio in China (English article)

Facebook Registers Several Dozen Trademarks in China to Avoid Future Disputes (Chinese article)

Huawei President Ren Zhengfei: Getting Pushed Out By Employees Is a Good Thing (Chinese article)

◙ Latest calendar for Q1 earnings reports (Earnings calendar)

Renren Growth Continues, Profits Elusive 人人网营收增长 盈利仍未可期

A day after social networking site Kaixin released some limited financial information hinting it may soon restart its stalled IPO process, its chief rival, publicly listed Renren (NYSE: RENN) has released its own preliminary fourth quarter results telling investors not to expect a profit anytime soon. The news sent a chill over Renren stock, which tumbled by more than 6 percent in after-hours trading. In fact, the preliminary announcement doesn’t look all that bad in terms of top line growth, despite the gloom profit outlook. (company announcement) The company said it will meet its expectation for fourth-quarter revenue growth in the 50-55 percent range, and said it should be able to maintain that rate for this year — a positive outlook since Kaixin said its own revenue growth last year came in at a more modest 41 percent. (previous post) But on the more worrisome level, Renren said it should post an operating loss of around $16 million for the fourth quarter, continuing a trend of widening losses from a company that was briefly profitable before sinking into the loss column last year. Furthermore, Renren said it will not be profitable this year, as it focuses instead on building up its business. While I applaud Renren for its honesty and also its focus on long-term growth over short-term profits, the widening of its losses will surely come as a major disappointment for investors, who thought they were buying into a company that was already profitable when Renren first listed its shares last year. Since then Renren’s stock has moved steadily downward, and at its current level of around $5 is at less than half the IPO price of $14 per share. The company is trying to beef up its offerings by investing heavily in online video, which is a hot area now dominated by players like Youku (NYSE: YOKU) and Tudou (Nasdaq: TUDO). Again, I applaud this kind of diversification drive, though I also question Renren’s approach, as it might be better served by forming a strategic alliance with an existing player rather than building up its own online video business. Kaixin made a step in that direction when it sold a stake in itself to leading Internet firm Tencent (HKEx: 700) last fall, which looks like a smarter approach to me. At the end of the day, it really doesn’t matter how either of these companies find its route to sustained profits, as long as they do find such a route. I’m not completely convinced that either company has found such a formula yet, which could mean more turbulence ahead for Renren stock and similar volatility for Kaixin if and when it makes its IPO, which could be soon as it seeks to capitalize on hype from Facebook’s upcoming listing.

Bottom line: Renren’s latest preliminary results announcement show the company is still at least a year away from its goal of sustained profits, boding poorly for its stock this year.

Related postings 相关文章:

Kaixin Looks to Cash in on Facebook Effect 开心网似乎在利用Facebook效应

Kaxin Buys Time With Tencent Tie-Up 开心网与腾讯合作堪称一箭双雕

Renren Finds Video Bargain in China Web Bubble 人人网低价收购56网 凸显中国互联网困境

 

Twitter Eyeing China? Twitter想进中国?

The world was buzzing over the weekend with news from the world’s 2 biggest social networking sites, Facebook and Twitter, with implications not only for themselves but also the China market in different ways. Twitter’s move was the more interesting in that regard, as it announced a new policy that could let posts on its site be seen in some markets but not others — a move that could clearly make it more viable in places like China where many sensitive topics are officially banned for online discussion. (Chinese article) Meantime, the markets were also buzzing with word that Facebook could file for its highly anticipated IPO this week, news that got investors excited about China SNS sites, with shares of both Renren (NYSE: RENN) and Sina (Nasdaq: SINA), operator of the wildly popular Weibo service, both posting nice gains on Friday. But let’s return for a moment to Twitter, as that’s the news that has the biggest potential to shake-up China’s microblogging sphere now dominated by Weibo. Anyone who lives in China knows that both Twitter and Facebook have been blocked in the market since the spring of 2009, presumably because they operate offshore and thus aren’t subject to China’s strict self-censorship laws for all of its websites. Facebook has signaled a number of times it still intends to make a play for China (previous post), with founder Mark Zuckerberg visiting China about a year ago and saying he wants to visit again as clearly the market is a critical piece of any global Internet strategy. Twitter has been much quieter on the subject, without ever really saying what its future plans are for the market now dominated by Weibo, which has around 250 million users. This latest adjustment at Twitter looks clearly aimed at the China market, as it would ease Chinese regulators’ concerns about the service’s ability to keep unwanted posts from outside markets off the site. Still, I’m not totally convinced Twitter has its eye on China just yet, mostly because Weibo itself has struggled to make any money in the market, despite its incredible popularity. Furthermore, anyone who plays in China SNS will now have to deal with Beijing’s recently announced real-name registration system, which will not only put a big burden on the SNS services themselves but is likely to deter many web surfers who like to remain anonymous. On the whole, I suspect this move by Twitter may be designed to test the China waters and will be followed by a visit to Beijing to see what regulators think. If the reaction is positive, I wouldn’t be surprised to see Twitter taking some kind of modest initiative in China by the end of this year, though it will face a difficult road catching up to Weibo.

Bottom line: Twitter’s latest policy shift allowing market-specific content controls could signal it is considering a move into China, which could come by the end of this year.

Related postings 相关文章:

Despite China Rebuff, Facebook Going Back for More Facebook明知山有虎,偏向虎山行

Cleanup Resumes, Facebook Sniffs Out China Investors 在美上市的中国企业将继续面临“大清洗”

Weibo Gets Confidence Vote From Digital Sky DST投资消息或提振新浪短期前景

News Digest: January 28-30, 2012

The following press releases and media reports about Chinese companies were carried on January 28-30. To view a full article or story, click on the link next to the headline.

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◙ Solar CEOs See Boom in China Will Ease Glut in 2012: Energy (English article)

◙ Obama Officials Back Bill to Hit China Subsidies (English article)

Facebook IPO Talk Lifts China SNS, Including Sina (Nasdaq: SINA), Renren (NYSE: RENN) (Chinese article)

Sany (Shanghai: 600031) Will Buy German Cement-Pump Maker Putzmeister (English article)

Baidu (Nasdaq: BIDU) to Report Q4 Results on Jan 30, Revenue Seen Up 88 Pct (Chinese article)

◙ Latest calendar for Q1 earnings reports (Earnings calendar)

Cleanup Resumes, Facebook Sniffs Out China Investors 在美上市的中国企业将继续面临“大清洗”

The new year is bringing many questions about the future of US listings for China stocks, but one thing remains quite clear: the cleanup of the sector triggered by a series of accounting scandals last year will continue into 2012, as evidenced by the latest activity. In one of the latest signs of the ongoing cleanup, China CGame (Nasdaq: CCGM) has been notified of its pending de-listing from the Nasdaq due to its failure to hold its annual meeting on time. (Chinese article) The company’s stock  currently trades at just 17 cents per share, meaning it also is well below the $1 level necessary for a Nasdaq listing. In related news, embattled Focus Media (Nasdaq: FMCN), which previously came under attack from short sellers, has come under renewed attack from Muddy Waters, which this time is questioning the company’s purchase of a ginseng plantation. (English article) Focus tried to explain the acquisition by saying it was designed to acquire assets related to its core outdoor advertising business, but that didn’t convince investors, with Focus shares losing 5.4 percent on Friday. Perhaps this transaction is really related to Focus’ core business, as the company says; but the purchase looks a bit similar to one by online game company Giant Interactive (NYSE: GA) in the completely unrelated insurance space last year (previous post), and is symptomatic of the way that many US-listed Chinese companies are run like personal fiefdoms of their founders, who use their companies to play all kinds of investment and financial games. Expect to see more such delistings and short-seller attacks this year as the cleanup continues, though I would expect most activity to end by the middle of the year. In separate unrelated Internet news, Goldman Sachs has apparently begun shopping shares of Facebook to wealthy Chinese investors via a unit of financial services group Ping An in the run-up to Facebook’s highly anticipated IPO. (Chinese article) This kind of activity certainly isn’t that unusual, as Goldman is clearly trying to start creating buzz before the offering. What’s more interesting is that it’s seeking investors in China, providing the latest indication that Facebook still aims to enter the China market and could even make a move here soon to create more buzz for its offering expected in the next few months. Stay tuned.

Bottom line: The latest delisting and short-seller attack against US-listed Chinese firms indicate the cleanup of such companies on US markets will continue through at least the middle of this year.

Related postings 相关文章:

Short Sellers Target China in Year End Assault 做空抛盘年底将矛头对准在美上市中国企业

Rumor Mongers Seize on Crisis With Sina Attack

Despite China Rebuff, Facebook Going Back for More Facebook明知山有虎,偏向虎山行

Weibo Gets Confidence Vote From Digital Sky DST投资消息或提振新浪短期前景

Sina (Nasdaq: SINA), China’s leading web portal whose shares have been battered lately, has received a rare piece of good news in the form of a potential major new investment for its controversial Twitter-like Weibo service from heavy-hitter Digital Sky Technologies (DST). (English article; Chinese article) There’s so much to say on this subject that I’m not sure where to start, so perhaps the best place would be with the actual news. Media are reporting that DST, an early investor in Facebook and which has taken a recent liking to the Chinese Internet, is in talks to pump around $200 million into Weibo via a convertible bond exercisable at $65 per Sina share. That price would have been a bargain just 7 months ago, when Sina shares were trading  as high as $140. But anyone who follows this company knows its stock has plummeted in recent months and now trades at around $55, following a string of big write-offs for its e-commerce and real estate services investments (previous post), and amid a broader confidence crisis towards US-listed China stocks after a recent series of accounting scandals. Further clouding the picture was Beijing’s announcement this month that all users of microblogging services would have to register using their real names, a move with strongly negative implications for Sina’s wildly popular Weibo service that boasts more than 250 million users and was one of the company’s few bright spots. (previous post) Clearly this new investment by DST will come as a vote of confidence in Weibo, in Sina’s sputtering campaign to monetize the recently spun-off service for a potential future IPO. But company watchers should also note that DST is hedging its bets by buying a convertible bond rather than making a direct investment. Furthermore, DST is hardly the best barometer for good China Internet investments, as it has made a wide range of such investments this year, often at overinflated valuations. DST’s recent string of China purchases include stakes in e-commerce firm 360Buy, also known as Jingdong Mall, and a recent purchase of a stake in Alibaba, China’s e-commerce leader. The company was also interested in previously buying a stake in Kaixin, one of China’s leading social networking services, and itself is part owned by leading Chinese Internet company Tencent (HKEx: 700) All that said, this latest investment may help to boost Sina and Weibo’s prospects in the very short term, but the longer-term picture for both still looks quite cloudy.

Bottom line: A potential $200 million investment in Sina’s Weibo microblogging service by DST should help to boost the company in the short term as it tries to shore up its battered image.

Related postings 相关文章:

New Rule Hits Sina, Instant Messaging to Benefit? 微博实名重创新浪 即时信息服务有望受益

Sina Results: Not So Diversified After All 新浪仍依赖广告,突围遇阻

Digital Sky Looking for Piece of the China Pie 俄罗斯DST或与Facebook联手进军中国市场

Renren Finds Video Bargain in China Web Bubble 人人网低价收购56网 凸显中国互联网困境

Renren (NYSE: RENN), often called the Facebook of China, appears to have purchased up-and-coming video sharing site 56.com for a bargain price in its first major M&A, casting a spotlight on the growing pressure that young Chinese web firms are facing in the current Internet bubble. The Renren news, which saw it buy money-losing 56.com for a modest $80 million, is just the latest sign of a Chinese Internet under duress, with media reporting new mass layoffs at two additional firms, B2B marketplace operator DHGate and group buying site Groupon.cn, which is no relation to US industry leader Groupon. Let’s take a look at 56.com first. (company announcement) According to industry data, 56.com has about 66 million unique visitors and nearly 1 billion page views a month. Video sharing leader Youku (NYSE: YOKU) has about twice as many unique visitors, and 4 times as many page views. And yet even after the latest market sell-off, Yoku still has a market cap of $2.3 billion, or nearly 30 times what Renren paid for 56.com. Obviously traffic alone isn’t the only way to determine a company’s value, but in the Internet world it’s one of the best measures of its potential. Combine that with the fact that 56.com lost a relatively modest $500,000 in the second quarter, and this looks like a very good deal for Renren. Now let’s look at the latest layoffs, which again point to the incredible pressure that money-losing web firms are facing to quickly turn a profit or risk being forced to close or sell themselves at bargain prices to companies like Renren. Domestic media are citing a company employee in saying that DHGate, has laid off more than half of its technology and marketing staff, reportedly under pressure from major investor Kleiner Perkins Caufield & Byers which has cut off additional funding until the company can show some better financials. (English article) That news comes as domestic media are also reporting that Gaopeng.cn has laid off more than half of its staff (Chinese article), not long after Gaopeng, the group buying joint venture between US-based Groupon and China Internet leader Tencent (HKEx: 700) made similar layoffs. Look for more of these mass layoffs, plus some sales of promising but money-losing web firms like 56.com at bargain prices in the months ahead as China’s Internet bubble works its way through a painful correction.

Bottom line: Renren’s purchase of a solid video sharing site at a bargain price, coupled with mass layoffs at two other web firms, are the latest signs of distress in China’s Internet bubble.

人人网(RENN.N)似已低价收购视频分享网站56网,这是人人网第一笔大规模并购案,凸显中国年轻的网络公司在目前互联网泡沫时代所面临的压力。人人网斥资8,000万美元,收购目前亏损的56网,是中国互联网业承压的最新迹象。另有媒体报导,B2B小额外贸批发平台敦煌网(DHGate)和团购网团宝网(Groupon.cn)将进行新一轮大规模裁员,後者与美国Groupon并无关联。我们先来看看56网。行业数据显示,56网约有6,600万名独立访客,每月页面浏览量近10亿次。视频分享领军企业优酷网(YOKU.O)这两个数据约为 56网的两倍和四倍。即使经历了近期的市场抛售,优酷网市值仍有23亿美元,是人人网收购56网价格的近30倍。流量显然不是决定公司价值的唯一依据,但 在互联网领域,这是衡量一个公司潜力的最佳标准之一。再加上56网第二季度亏损50万美元,收购56网对人人网来说是一笔不错的交易。再看看近期的裁员事件。这再次表明,亏损的网络公司面临诸多压力,要麽迅速实现盈利或被迫倒闭,要麽以低价出售给人人网等公司。国内媒体援引一名企业雇员 的说法称,敦煌网技术和营销部裁员逾半,原因是主要投资方Kleiner Perkins Caufield & Byers(KPCB)削减额外资金,除非敦煌网财务状况有所改善。国内媒体还报导称,继高朋网裁员不久後,团宝网也裁员逾50%。随着中国互联网业经历 痛苦修正,预计未来数月还将有更多大规模裁员,以及前景看好但目前亏损的企业被出售。

一句话:人人网低价购买视频分享网站56网,敦煌网和团宝网大规模裁员,这些都是中国互联网陷入困境的最新迹象。

Related postings 相关文章:

More Internet Froth in Alibaba Valuation, Dangdang Price War 阿里巴巴估值奇高凸显网络泡沫

360Buy IPO: Let the Delays Begin 京东商城放缓IPO进程

Wal-Mart Finds Bargain in China’s Internet Bubble