A brewing spat between security software giant Qihoo 360 (NYSE: QIHU) and struggling smartphone maker Coolpad (HKEx: 2369) has provided some good entertainment for followers of China’s vibrant Internet sector over the last few weeks. The tale has all the elements of a good trashy romance novel, including a love triangle and vengeful scheming by China’s most famous Internet bad-boy.
But more fundamentally, the tale is also filled with valuable lessons for anyone doing business in China’s high-tech sector, or really in any of the country’s emerging industries where private entrepreneurs are driving the growth. The story’s biggest moral is to be careful when choosing your business partners – a lesson that many private investors have learned over the last 3 decades as China transforms from a socialist system to a market-oriented economy. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Smaller foreign tech companies could follow Trend Micro’s lead and withdraw from China over the next few years, as they suffer sharp business downturns due to restrictions under the country’s new national security law.
This summer has been unusually quiet for big multinationals in China, following campaigns in the last 2 years targeting foreign companies for monopolistic practices and corruption, among other things. But the real turbulence this year has been happening behind the scenes, as foreign technology companies face a major business downturn following China’s recent roll-out of a strict new law designed to protect national security.
Many foreign tech firms have complained the new law is too broad and intrusive, and now security software specialist Trend Micro may have become the first major victim. That’s my interpretation, following an announcement that appears to show Trend Micro is withdrawing from the market. This particular move will see Trend Micro sell all of its China operations to AsiaInfo, a Chinese owned maker of telecoms software. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Strong sales growth for Huawei’s Honor brand in the first half of the year reflects the company’s broader accelerating momentum, and could pose a growing challenge for domestic rival Xiaomi.
More new data is showing the growing momentum for smartphone aspirant Huawei, with word that the company’s Honor brand surpassed its sales target in the first half of the year as it prepares to enter the US. The latest numbers continue to portray a surging Huawei, and show how the company is using its traditional strengths in product development and a newer expertise in consumer marketing to overtake big domestic rivals like Xiaomi and Lenovo (HKEx: 992) and also a host of smaller ones like Meizu and Coolpad (HKEx: 2369).
These latest numbers don’t look extremely impressive at first glance, as they show that Honor just slightly surpassed its sales target for the first half of the year. But in the current climate where many companies are missing their targets due to intense competition in China, the ability to not only meet but even slightly exceed a sales target does seem like a noteworthy accomplishment. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Apple will continue to post strong iPhone growth in China but could lose some momentum if the stock market sell-off continues, while Xiaomi’s new push into Africa won’t offset its own rapidly slowing momentum.
Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL) and Chinese imitator Xiaomi are both in the headlines, as the former continues to consolidate its China position at the expense of the fading latter. In this case, Apple’s continuing China surge is reflected in new remarks from CEO Tim Cook, who says his company’s business has remained strong in China during the summer months despite concerns of a slowdown linked to the nation’s tanking stock markets.
While Apple has been feasting on China, Xiaomi is feeling growing pressure at home and is looking to other global markets for growth as it struggles to meet the lofty expectations it set for itself. According to the latest headlines, the latest stop on Xiaomi’s global roadmap is Africa, where the company is eyeing another BRICS country in South Africa. Such a move would put Xiaomi in 4 of the 5 BRICS, following its earlier moves into India and Brazil. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: A steady series of leaked photos of a smartphone co-produced by Google and Huawei is designed to give face to Beijing, and could pave the way for a China entry for Google’s Nexus phones and app store by year end.
Barely a day has gone by recently without a leaked photo appearing on the Internet of a new smartphone being developed in a landmark tie-up between Chinese up-and-comer Huaweiand Google’s (Nasdaq: GOOG) Nexus brand. A cynic like me would speculate that the growing volume of noise looks rather deliberate, and that both sides are intentionally trying to drum up buzz for a new Nexus model that will become the brand’s first to be made by a Chinese manufacturer.
Huawei
Huawei’s motivations for leaking the information are obvious: this particular tie-up will bring it the validation it craves for its young smartphone business, giving its products the stamp of approval from one of the world’s leading technology names. But Google’s motivations are a bit more subtle. Certainly it’s natural to hype up this kind of new product before the launch. But in this case Google is almost certainly aware of the “face” that China will receive from such a move. That could help to soothe its tense relations with Beijing as it eyes a return to a market it can’t afford to ignore. Read Full Post…
The following press releases and media reports about Chinese companies were carried on August 22-24. To view a full article or story, click on the link next to the headline.
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China Said Nearing Overhaul of Big 3 Telecom Leadership (English article)
Citic Fund Unit Said to Plan $100 Mln Uber Investment (English article)
Ping An (HKEx: 2318) Says Plans IPO for Lufax Online Lender (English article)
Huawei Prepares to Launch Honor Brand Smartphones in US (Chinese article)
Group Buying Site Meituan Losing 600 Mln Yuan Per Month – Source (Chinese article)
Bottom line: Lenovo should write-off its Motorola investment as a failure, and focus its smartphone efforts on building up its own brand rather than relying on more acquired foreign names.
PC giant Lenovo (HKEx: 992) repeated a frequent pattern last year when it purchased a former global leader, Motorola, with plans to resuscitate the struggling brand to boost its own smartphone business. It repeated yet another pattern last week when it said that early efforts to revive Motorola were failing, undermining its own profits and sparking one of the worst sell-offs for its shares in recent memory.
Having learned once more the difficulties of reviving broken western brands, Lenovo should now take the bold step of considering a complete write-off of its $2.9 billion Motorola purchase, or at least relegating the brand to niche status. The setback also shows more broadly why Lenovo and other globally-minded Chinese companies need to abandon the strategy of buying struggling global brands at bargain prices, and instead should focus on developing their own names. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Lack of buzz around Xiaomi’s launch of production in India and Lenovo’s new line of ZUK smartphones reflect fatigue that is rapidly consuming domestic Chinese brands due to rampant competition in their home market.
Signs of fatigue continue to grow in China’s overheated smartphone market, where rampant competition and unending price wars these last 2 years have led to saturation and a rapid slowdown. That fatigue is visible in 2 of the latest headlines, one of which has former superstar Xiaomi failing to garner much buzz as it launches production in India to jump-start its stalling growth. The other has the struggling Lenovo (HKEx; 992) launching its own new brand of smartphones, as it also faces lackluster performance for its current lineup sold under its own name and the Motorola brand it acquired last year.
China’s smartphone market is the world’s largest, but also the most competitive due to the presence of many homegrown domestic players. That reality has forced many mid-sized and smaller names to seek tie-ups with wealthier partners, and forced everyone to look abroad for growth as profits shriveled at home. Adding to the woes, China’s smartphone market has been contracting this year, with sales falling 4.3 percent in the first quarter after several years of explosive growth. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Second-quarter smartphone data confirms recent trends that have shown a surge for Huawei and Apple, while Lenovo and Samsung struggle and Xiaomi also faces rapidly slowing growth.
The latest smartphone sales figures are out, showing a recent surge for Huawei and strong but slowing growth for Xiaomi, as Chinese brands continued to take 3 of the top 5 global spots. Meantime, the same chart shows the lackluster Lenovo (HKEx: 992) continued to stumble as it failed to find an audience for its products, and global leader Samsung (Seoul: 005930) also continues to struggle.
The latest second-quarter figures from IDC come as another smaller data tracking firm IHS Technology released its own numbers showing Xiaomi continued to rule the China roost and even boosted its share of the market. Meantime, Samsung continued to slip in the world’s biggest smartphone market, falling a notch to barely stay in the top 5 brands. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Huawei’s accelerating smartphone sales reflect its growing momentum in China, and could prompt it to consider spinning off the unit for a potential IPO in its drive to become more transparent.
Huawei News
Growing momentum for its smartphone business has become the driving force behind a resurgent Huawei, which has just reported solid first-half revenue growth that is showing signs of accelerating after a recent slowdown. That’s good news for Huawei, but less promising for domestic rivals like Lenovo (HKEx: 992), Xiaomi and Coolpad (HKEx: 2369), which are struggling for direction in a crowded Chinese smartphone market where global giant Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL) has also shown signs of a recent resurgence.
Huawei hasn’t been too generous in providing financial data for the first half of the year, saying only that revenue jumped by 30 percent to 176 billion yuan ($28 billion). (company announcement; Chinese article) For anyone who tracks the global market, that figure is already more than double the $12.5 billion in first half sales reported by Ericsson (Stockholm: ERICb), Huawei’s leading rival in its traditional networking equipment core area. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Apple could lose its crown as China’s best-selling smartphone brand by the end of the year, as it faces growing competition from domestic names looking for a bigger slice of the high-end market.
Global smartphone pioneer Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL) has just released its latest quarterly results, which as usual contain very selective bits of information about the China market that are revealing but make it difficult to draw very strong conclusions. One emerging trend appears to have Apple coming under growing threat from Chinese brands eying the higher end of the market. That’s my quick conclusion based on Apple’s admission that China fell to second place among its global markets in its latest reporting quarter, after briefly grabbing the top spot from the US during the previous quarter.
Of course everything is relative, and Apple still looks quite strong in China with iPhone sales in its Greater China market up an impressive 87 percent in its latest reporting quarter. (English article) But that said, there’s really no reason that the US should have retaken the top spot from China during the quarter, since both countries now receive their new iPhones at roughly the same time. Read Full Post…