Tag Archives: Shanda

China Shanda Games latest Business & Financial news from Doug Young, the Expert of Chinese firms

Shanda Plays Games With Big Dividend 盛大游戏寄望高额分红计划提振股价

Shanda (Nasdaq: SNDA) head honcho Chen Tianqiao, lacking any major news to boost languishing shares prices of his 2 public companies, is resorting to playing games to lift their stocks, first through a privatization plan for one and now with a massive special dividend for the other, Shanda Games (Nasdaq: GAME). (company announcement) The only problem is, another online game operator, Giant Interactive (NYSE: GA) tried a similar plan earlier this year with mostly disappointing results. So let’s have a look at Shanda Games’ new plan, which will see it offer a one-time cash dividend of $1.02 per American Depositary Share (ADS) on December 20, translating to roughly a 25 percent payout based on its price of about $4 when the announcement came out. Shanda shares jumped just $0.43 per share, or around 11 percent, after the announcement came out, or less than half the amount of the special dividend, indicating investors think the company’s share price may already be overvalued. Chen’s ploy looks especially risky in light of Giant’s experience earlier this year, when it offered a massive special dividend that amounted to 40 percent of its share price at the time. (previous post) Giant shares jumped a little after the announcement, though nowhere near the amount of the special dividend, but then crashed after the actual payout and now trade nearly 20 percent below their levels when it first announced the dividend. There’s no reason to believe that Shanda Games’ dividend won’t see a similar outcome, with investors boosting the stock to collect the one-time payout and then quickly selling it once the dividend passes. Of course this new move from Chen comes just a week after he launched a bid to privatize his other listed company, Shanda Interactive, whose shares are also in the doldrums along with those of many other US-listed China stocks. (previous post) Instead of playing these kinds of deal-making games, Chen needs to sit down and create an exciting roadmap for his companies to convince investors they have strong long-term growth potential, which will do much more to boost their share prices.

Bottom line: Shanda Games’ new offer of a large one-time dividend is the latest bid by founder Chen Tianqiao to boost the company, but is ultimately bound to disappoint.

Related postings 相关文章:

Shanda Moves Ahead With Privatization 投资者对盛大私有化仍持保留态度

Giant Fires CFO, Offers Dividend to Placate Investors 巨人网络CFO辞职 高额分红以安抚投资者

Grentech Follows Shanda in Privatization Ploy 国人通信赴盛大网络後尘宣布私有化

Microsoft Looks for Place in China Cloud 微软投身中国云计算大潮

China is clearly excited about the prospect of cloud computing, as evidenced by the steady stream of big names like Alibaba, Huawei and Shanda (Nasdaq: SNDA) that have announced initiatives in the space this year. Now even Microsoft (Nasdaq: MSFT) is trying to get in on the act, announcing a major new cloud computing campaign for China. Whether any of these initiatives will ultimately work is another question, however, as China has yet to prove that it can lead in any major new technology like this. First let’s look at Microsoft’s latest initiative, which will see it build a cloud platform and trading center in the interior city of Chongqing. (English article) This comes just days after Chinese media also reported the NDRC, China’s state planner, had reportedly distributed about $100 million in subsidies for cloud-based initiatives. (English article) Since foreign companies are usually banned from investing in telecoms infrastructure like the kind necessary for cloud computing, Microsoft’s move looks designed to try and cash in on the trend from another angle, in this case from R&D that should enable it to work with other infrastructure developers. Huawei said earlier this year it was also holding out big hopes for the cloud (previous post), and Alibaba is placing a big bet on the technology through its Alicloud unit. With so much state support and some of the country’s biggest tech names behind this cloud push, perhaps one or two companies may eventually find a bit of success in the space, especially if they can team with big foreign names like Microsoft that have stronger technology. But as China has often shown in the past, it takes more than money and state directives to become a leader in a complex new area like the cloud, and I suspect that many of these initiatives will ultimately end up as failures, as major Western players ultimately develop the technology that takes cloud computing from the laboratory to the real world.

Bottom line: China’s aim to be a leader in cloud computing will produce lackluster to poor results due to its lack of experience in commercializing new technologies.

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Growth-Addicted Huawei Looks to the Cloud 华为渴求增长上瘾 着眼云计算

Shanda’s New Deal: Spinning Off Literature 盛大文学拟分拆上市

Shanda Cloudary Returns to Market, Worth a Look

Shanda Moves Ahead With Privatization 投资者对盛大私有化仍持保留态度

It seems I may have been wrong when I questioned the sincerity of Chen Tianqiao after he announced a potential bid to privatize his company, Shanda Interactive (Nasdaq: SNDA), as Chen has now gone ahead and actually launched the buyout. (company announcement; Chinese article) Chen put forth the plan last month to buy back his company’s shares for $41.35 each (previous post), and is now keeping his word with this latest offer. Interestingly, Shanda’s shares rose to only $40.28 in Tuesday trading after the announcement, representing a 2.6 percent discount to the offer price, indicating investors still aren’t totally convinced that this privatization will be completed. In fact, Chen has no real intention of keeping his company private for long, as he wants to list it on one of China’s domestic stock exchanges, according to Chinese media reports. I have to admit that this kind of a strategy does seem to make sense, as Shanda is quite well known in China, where it is considered a leader in online games. Furthermore, Shanda’s online game unit, Shanda Games (Nasdaq: GAME) is still listed on the Nasdaq, and the company is also planning a US listing for its online literature unit, Cloudary. (previous post) The only problem with his latest plan is that Chen may have to wait a long time to list his company at home, as China has shown a strong bias against privately-funded firms in choosing IPO candidates for its two main boards in Shanghai and Shenzhen, preferring to list companies with strong government ties, mostly former state-run enterprises. Chen could opt for the 2-year-old Nasdaq-style ChiNext board in Shenzhen targeting smaller, high-growth companies. But that board has turned out to be hugely speculative, with firms that trade there subject to huge swings in their share prices. All that said, if Chen really completes this privatization, it could be a while before we see Shanda Interactive shares publicly traded again. Perhaps in the meantime, Chen could focus on trying to better run his various businesses, including struggling Ku6 Media (Nasdaq: KUTV), and temporarily put aside the deal making that he seems to love so much.

Bottom line: Shanda Interactive appears intent to go through with a privatization bid, but will face a long wait before it can re-list in its home China market.

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Grentech Follows Shanda in Privatization Ploy 国人通信赴盛大网络後尘宣布私有化

Shanda’s Private Ploy: For Real or Market Manipulation? 盛大拟退市:是动真格还是虚晃一枪?

Boring Games, Video Drain Drag Down Shanda

News Digest: November 23, 2011

The following press releases and media reports about Chinese companies were carried on November 23. To view a full article or story, click on the link next to the headline.

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Shanda Interactive (Nasdaq: SNDA) Enters into Definitive Agreement for Privatization (PRNewswire)

Suntech (NYSE: STP) Reports Q3 Financial Results (PRNewswire)

E-House (NYSE: EJ) Reports Q3 and First Nine Months Results (PRNewswire)

◙ Number of China Group Buying Sites Falls For First Time – Report (Chinese article)

◙ Buying Focus Media (Nasdaq: FMCN) on Bullish Goldman, BofA Reports Lost 66% (English article)

Kaixin Raises Profile in Renewed IPO March 开心网一改低调有意再次赴美上市

The normally low-key Kaixin, China’s second largest social networking system (SNS), has suddenly raised its profile with a stream of headline-making announcements, in what looks like a bid to drum up publicity in the run-up to a revival for its US listing plan that got shelved earlier this year. In two separate pieces of news, domestic media are citing unnamed sources saying that Kaixin has agreed to form a social gaming joint venture with Shanda (Nasdaq: GAME), one of China’s leading leading online game operators (English article); and the company itself has made a relatively ho-hum announcement of another tie-up with a US company called Message Systems to strengthen the messaging platforms on its site. (company announcement) Those two news bits come just a week after media reported, and the company partially confirmed, that leading Internet firm Tencent (HKEx: 700) had taken a stake in Kaixin, joining a group of previous investors that included Sina (Nasdaq: SINA). (previous post) The recent flurry of news also follows a rare press conference led by media-shy Kaixin founder Cheng Binghao in August, where he addressed reports that the company’s business was slowing. (previous post) The company had previously been in a race with Renren (NYSE: RENN), China’s biggest SNS operator, to make an IPO earlier this year, but lost out in that contest. Reports indicated Kaixin was ready to finally go public during the summer, but may have temporarily shelved the plan amid a broader wave of negative sentiment towards China stocks due to concerns over accounting practices. Now that the negative sentiment seems to have faded and is more neutral, this recent flurry of activity mentioning big-name players like Shanda and Tencent, looks like Kaixin is trying to drum up excitement in preparation to relaunch its IPO bid. Pending any unforeseen changes in the market, the timing actually looks quite good, and an offering in the next month would probably do well. It certainly couldn’t do worse than money-losing Renren, whose shares initially after their May debut, but are now down nearly 60 percent from their offer price, caught up in the negative China sentiment.

Bottom line: A recent flurry of activity indicates Kaixin is gearing up to relaunch its delayed IPO, which should do well as negative sentiment towards China stocks subsides.

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Kaxin Buys Time With Tencent Tie-Up 开心网与腾讯合作堪称一箭双雕

Renren Discovers Microblogging Too Late

Gaopeng, Kaixin Spotlight China Internet Turmoil 高朋网、开心网凸显中国互联网混乱现状

News Digest: October 26, 2011

The following press releases and media reports about Chinese companies were carried on October 26. To view a full article or story, click on the link next to the headline.

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Little Sheep: (HKEx: 968) Regulator Extended Yum Takeover Review By 60 Days (English article)

CNOOC (HKEx: 883) Limited Announces Third Quarter Results (PRNewswire)

Shanda (Nasdaq: SNDA), Kaixin001 Establish Social Game JV – Source (English article)

◙ Chinese Authorities Ban Online Prescription Drug Sales (English article)

Starbucks (Nasdaq: SBUX) Celebrates Its 500th Store Opening in Mainland China (Businesswire)

Shanda’s Private Ploy: For Real or Market Manipulation? 盛大拟退市:是动真格还是虚晃一枪?

The big news of the day from the tech world is most certainly the announcement by online game operator Shanda Interactive (Nasdaq: SNDA) that its founder and chairman Chen Tianqiao may take the company private, in the latest development for US-listed China shares that have seen their prices plummet in the last few months amid a broader confidence crisis. (company annoiuncement) The real questions, of course, is whether Chen is really serious, and, if he is, will we see other companies follow his lead as they search for investors who better appreciate their shares. My prediction is that Chen’s offer, which would give shareholders $41.35 per ADS, or a 24 percent premium to their last closing price, is largely a stunt that Chen has no intention of actually executing. The offer is explicitly non-binding, and, in a nod to the market’s skepticism, Shanda’s shares rallied 14 percent after the announcement but still finished on Monday at $38.33, or well below the privatization offer price. Some Chinese observers said perhaps Chen wants to bring his shares back to China to list in his home market where the company is better known, perhaps on a new international board for overseas-registered firms expected to launch in the next year or so. (Chinese article) This could be a long-term possibility, although Shanda might have to wait a while, as many other bigger-name firms like China Mobile (HKEx: 941; NYSE: CHL), Lenovo (HKEx: 992) and HSBC (HKEx: 0005; London: HSBA) are already cuing to list on this new high-profile international board and will probably be given priority. In addition, there’s no reason that Shanda can’t list its shares both in the US and China at the same time, which makes a privatization of its US shares even less necessary. At the end of the day, Chen loves the spotlight and any privatization would move his company back into the shadows for a while, which he would no doubt dislike. Instead, this latest move to privatize looks largely like a show, and Shanda and other US-listed China firms will continue to maintain their overseas listings despite current negative sentiment.

Bottom line: A management-led plan to privatize Shanda Interactive is most likely just a stunt that will never happen, and other US-listed China firms are unlikely to follow with similar actions.

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CDC Kicks Off China Bankruptcy Parade 中华网打开赴美上市公司破产魔盒

US China Stocks: Bloodbath Becomes Correction 在美上市中资股遭抛售 迈入股价修正新阶段

US-Listed China Firms Fight Back — Finally 中国赴美上市公司最终还击

News Digest: September 22, 2011

The following press releases and media reports about Chinese companies were carried on September 22. To view a full article or story, click on the link next to the headline.

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Dangdang (NYSE: DANG) Plans 3C Price War Against 360Buy – Source (English article)

Lenovo (HKEx: 992) Passes Acer (Taipei: 2353) As World’s Third Biggest PC Seller (Chinese article)

Sino Agro Food Clears SEC Comments on its Form 10 Registration Statement (Businesswire)

Baidu (Nasdaq: BIDU) Invests in Group Buying Cosmetics Site 36tuan – Source (Chinese article)

Shanda’s (Nasdaq: SNDA) Ku6 Media (Nasdaq: KUTV) Quits Video, Tries SNS (Chinese article)

Perfect World: Trouble Brewing in Online Games? 完美世界调降财测释放行业预警信号

With all the buzz out there about a looming China Internet bubble, new downwardly revised guidance from Perfect World (Nasdaq: PWRD), one of China’s more innovative and outward looking online game operators, looks like a potentially worrisome warning flag. According to its newly released latest estimate, the company expects to earn around 720 million yuan in revenue for the third quarter, or about $110 million, down by a sizeable 8 percent from its previous forecast given out just 3 weeks ago for about 780 million yuan. (English announcement) The company cites a new “take it slower” strategy to lengthen the lifecycle of its games, but that didn’t help its shares which tumbled 20 percent on the Nasdaq after it made the announcement. Reaction on Wall Street was mixed for other Chinese online game sites, with Sohu’s (Nasdaq: SOHU) Changyou (Nasdaq: CYOU) and NetEase (Nasdaq: NTES) both down around 5 percent or more, while Shanda Games (Nasdaq: GAME) was down by a more modest 1.1 percent. Up until now I haven’t really discussed whether online games would be affected by China’s looming Internet bubble, as this category gets most of its money from young gamers who are a different set of customers from the more mainstream online shoppers whose overhyped potential is fueling the current bubble in e-commerce and group buying sites. Recent growth in the online game market has been much more reasonable than e-commerce, and the sector has attracted far fewer new investment dollars in the last year, so I think it’s probably a bit too early to say this group is set for a correction based only on this one downward revision. But one or more similar announcements from other big players will definitely cast a chill over this sector, which, despite its more reasonable growth rates, is still highly competitive with a large cast of companies fighting for a relatively small pool of gamers’ spending.

Bottom line: Perfect World’s downward revision for its Q3 revenue is a worrisome signal for the online game sector, though it’s too early to say if a broader shake-up is looming.

就在中国互联网泡沫即将破灭的议论不断之时,极具创新性和外向型的在线游戏运行商–完美世界(PWRD.O)最近下调财测,看似是对互联网泡沫忧虑的印证。该公司最近公布的预测显示,第三季度营收预计为7.2亿元人民币左右,较三周前预测的7.8亿元下降近8%。完美世界称新制定了“放缓”战略以延长游戏产品的生命周期,但这没有对股价形成支撑,声明发布之後该公司股票在Nasdaq市场下跌了20%。华尔街对其他中国在线游戏公司股票的反应好坏参半,搜狐畅游网易的股价都下跌了5%以上。盛大游戏下跌1.1%,跌幅相对较小。到目前为止,我没有真正谈起中国的互联网泡沫是否会影响到在线游戏公司。这个行业的大部分营收来自年轻的游戏玩家,他们与更加主流的在线购物网站的客户不同,後者易于接受天花乱坠的宣传,可能加速电子商务和团购网站的泡沫化。与电子商务市场相比,最近在线游戏市场增长则更加理性,在过去一年里吸引的投资也远小得多,因此,我认为仅仅根据这一次财测下调尚不足以说明,在线游戏行业发展将出现修正。但是,其他大型公司若发布一两个类似声明,将无疑说明这个行业的危机临近,尽管在线游戏行业增长率更加合理,由于大量公司争夺相对较小的在线游戏收入,业界也充满竞争压力。

一句话:完美世界调降三季度营收预测,发出在线游戏行业令人忧虑的信号,不过要说更大范围的变动即将来临也还为时尚早。

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Boring Games, Video Drain Drag Down Shanda

Giant Fires CFO, Offers Dividend to Placate Investors 巨人网络CFO辞职 高额分红以安抚投资者

Lenovo’s Game Console — Yet Another Plan 联想:新推游戏机,这次能行吗?

 

Boring Games, Video Drain Drag Down Shanda

Shanda Interactive (Nasdaq: SNDA) has just reported some of its most unimpressive results ever, with a core video game business that looks like a zombie and an online video unit that looks even scarier. The bottom line is that Shanda saw its second-quarter profit plunge 95 percent amid stiff competition and few  compelling offerings in two of its core business, its online game unit operated by Shanda Games (Nasdaq: GAME) and its struggling video sharing business operated by Ku6 Media (Nasdaq: KUTV). (results announcement) Shanda said its game business, accounting for about two-thirds of its total revenue, grew just 5 percent in the second quarter from the first, and was up only a slightly better 19 percent year on year. Meantime, Ku6, which has been in a state of near chaos since Shanda Chairman Chen Tianqiao forced out its chief executive earlier this year (previous post), posted a massive net loss of $21.6 million, double the loss from the previous quarter. (company announcement) Strangely enough, Shanda shares rose a bit after the results came out, but gave back the gains in after-hours trade. Perhaps people are excited about the company’s upcoming plans to spin off its online literature unit, Cloudary, which is the lone positive spot in the company’s portfolio of otherwise unimpressive business units. (previous post) Or perhaps they suspect that Ku6 could soon become a takeover target, as evidenced by the recent talk of nearly all the major players, including Baidu (Nasdaq: BIDU), Tencent (HKEx: 700) and most recently Sina (Nasdaq: SINA) wanting to get into the video space. (previous post) Regardless, Shanda to me still looks like a long-term dud, and will probably stay that way as long as Chen remains at the head of the company — in other words for a long time!

Bottom line: Shanda Interactive’s latest results reveal a company in need of new leadership.

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Shanda Cloudary Returns to Market, Worth a Look

Sina Taps On Back Door Into Tudou 新浪可能收购土豆

Tencent Sends Out Mixed Video Signals 腾讯若持股优酷 有助进军视频业

Sina Taps On Back Door Into Tudou 新浪可能收购土豆

After a few weeks of talk, leading Web portal Sina (Nasdaq: SINA) has come out and told the world through a public filing that it now owns 9 percent of Tudou (Nasdaq: TUDO), in what looks to me like a potential prelude to a future takeover of the newly listed online video site. Sina disclosed that it first acquired a 4.2 percent stake in Tudou for $31.2 million at the time of its listing, and then swooped in a short time later after the company’s shares sank on its debut to boost its holdings to 9 percent for an additional $35.2 million investment. (English article) While Tudou founder and chairman Gary Wang insists the investment is purely financial, it looks to me like Sina is testing the waters for a potential future takeover of the company. Similar takeovers have proven difficult in the past as the founders of such takeover targets are often major stakeholders in their companies, often controlling a majority of shares with the ability to quash any approaches. But in this case, Wang only holds 8.6 percent of Tudou shares, and is clearly under continued pressure to raise cash, as evidenced by his determination to go ahead with this IPO despite negative market sentiment. Many will recall that Sina has a poor record with major M&A, failing to close its purchase of Focus Media (Nasdaq: FMCN) several years ago and also fending off a hostile takeover bid by Shanda Interactive (Nasdaq: SNDA) before that. This Tudou purchase could be a more careful attempt to see how the markets react before making an outright offer for the company. Given the sudden interest in video sharing by nearly every major Internet company, including Tencent (HKEx: 700), which is reportedly in talks for a stake in industry leader Youku (NYSE: YOKU) (previous post), I wouldn’t be surprised to see Sina launch a takeover attempt for Tudou by the end of this year, with an aim to turning it into a profitable, well-run online video site.

Bottom line: Sina’s purchase of a 9 percent stake of Tudou looks like a prelude to a future attempt to take over the company, with an offer possible as soon as the end of this year.

经过数周洽谈,中国第一大门户网站新浪(SINA.O)通过一份向监管机构提交的报告对世界宣布,新浪目前已经持有中国第二大在线视频网站——土豆网(TUDO.O)大约9%的股份。我认为此举可能为新浪未来收购土豆网拉开序幕。新浪透露在土豆网上市期间,首先投资3,120万美元购得土豆4.2%股份,土豆上市首秀股价大跌後,又追加投资3,520万美元,持股份额增至9%。虽然土豆创始人兼董事长王微坚称新浪目的仅在投资,但在我看来,新浪应该是在试水,看未来是否有可能收购土豆。以往此类收购通常比较困难,因为收购目标的创始人往往拥有多数股权,可以抵挡可能的收购意向。但在土豆网一例中,王微持股仅占8.6%,而且显然仍有筹资压力,在市场情绪下如此消极仍然继续IPO就是明证。很多人都应该记得新浪在重大并购案例中表现都比较差,比如,多年前并购分众媒体(FMCN.O)的失败之举,在此之前,盛大互动(SNDA.O)还曾企图敌意竞购新浪。新浪此次如有意收购土豆,可能会更加细心谨慎,直接向土豆报价前先看市场如何反应。中国几乎每一家主要互联网企业均突然对视频分享网站感兴趣,其中包括近来传洽谈购优酷股份的腾讯在内。考虑到这层因素,我认为新浪今年年底前有可能发起对土豆网的收购,并努力实现土豆网扭亏为盈,运转良好。

一句话:新浪持有土豆网9%股份看起来是未来收购土豆的序幕,新浪今年年底前可能就开始对土豆展开收购。

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Tencent Sends Out Mixed Video Signals 腾讯若持股优酷 有助进军视频业

Sina, Tencent Pose Threat in SNS, E-Commerce 新浪腾讯攻城掠地

Video Sharing: Let the Tie-Ups Begin