Tag Archives: Sina

Sina latest Business & Financial news overview of Doug Young, the Expert on Chinese companies, (former Journalist and Chief editor at Reuters)

Weibo Gets Confidence Vote From Digital Sky DST投资消息或提振新浪短期前景

Sina (Nasdaq: SINA), China’s leading web portal whose shares have been battered lately, has received a rare piece of good news in the form of a potential major new investment for its controversial Twitter-like Weibo service from heavy-hitter Digital Sky Technologies (DST). (English article; Chinese article) There’s so much to say on this subject that I’m not sure where to start, so perhaps the best place would be with the actual news. Media are reporting that DST, an early investor in Facebook and which has taken a recent liking to the Chinese Internet, is in talks to pump around $200 million into Weibo via a convertible bond exercisable at $65 per Sina share. That price would have been a bargain just 7 months ago, when Sina shares were trading  as high as $140. But anyone who follows this company knows its stock has plummeted in recent months and now trades at around $55, following a string of big write-offs for its e-commerce and real estate services investments (previous post), and amid a broader confidence crisis towards US-listed China stocks after a recent series of accounting scandals. Further clouding the picture was Beijing’s announcement this month that all users of microblogging services would have to register using their real names, a move with strongly negative implications for Sina’s wildly popular Weibo service that boasts more than 250 million users and was one of the company’s few bright spots. (previous post) Clearly this new investment by DST will come as a vote of confidence in Weibo, in Sina’s sputtering campaign to monetize the recently spun-off service for a potential future IPO. But company watchers should also note that DST is hedging its bets by buying a convertible bond rather than making a direct investment. Furthermore, DST is hardly the best barometer for good China Internet investments, as it has made a wide range of such investments this year, often at overinflated valuations. DST’s recent string of China purchases include stakes in e-commerce firm 360Buy, also known as Jingdong Mall, and a recent purchase of a stake in Alibaba, China’s e-commerce leader. The company was also interested in previously buying a stake in Kaixin, one of China’s leading social networking services, and itself is part owned by leading Chinese Internet company Tencent (HKEx: 700) All that said, this latest investment may help to boost Sina and Weibo’s prospects in the very short term, but the longer-term picture for both still looks quite cloudy.

Bottom line: A potential $200 million investment in Sina’s Weibo microblogging service by DST should help to boost the company in the short term as it tries to shore up its battered image.

Related postings 相关文章:

New Rule Hits Sina, Instant Messaging to Benefit? 微博实名重创新浪 即时信息服务有望受益

Sina Results: Not So Diversified After All 新浪仍依赖广告,突围遇阻

Digital Sky Looking for Piece of the China Pie 俄罗斯DST或与Facebook联手进军中国市场

News Digest: December 24-27, 2011

The following press releases and media reports about Chinese companies were carried on December 24-27. To view a full article or story, click on the link next to the headline.

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Sina (Nasdaq: SINA) Weibo Accepts US$200 Mln Digital Sky Investment – Source (English article)

Xinhua Website Planning $158 Million IPO: Sources (English article)

Foxconn (Taipei: 2354) Solar-Module Entry May Cut Margins for Chinese Makers (English article)

Sinopec (HKEx: 386) Completes Purchase of Canada’s Daylight Energy (Toronto: DAY) (English article)

Xunlei to Sue Youku (NYSE: YOKU) for IPR Infringement (English article)

Microblog Clampdown: Only Chapter 1? 实名制向网络行业吹去冷风

A new rule requiring microbloggers to register using their real names continues to send chills through the online world, with a new report saying the campaign will soon be extended to other social media. The domestic media reports cite an unnamed government official in Beijing, which announced the initial rule late last week (previous post), saying more guidelines will follow requiring all sites to implement real-name registration throughout their various social networking sites to give operators like Sina (Nasdaq: SINA), Tencent (HKEx: 700) and Renren (NYSE: REN) quick and easy access to who is doing what and pass that information to government officials upon request. (English article) If China was looking to kill or severely stifle development of its fledgling but vibrant social media, this certainly looks like a good way to do it. The initial rule appeared to target microblogging sites, which would have dealt a blow to a limited number of companies, most notably Sina’s popular Weibo service. But this new expanded rule would potentially affect any and every kind of social media service, from microblogging to social networking services (SNS) operated by Renren and Kaixin and even instant messaging services like Tencent’s popular QQ. The traditional SNS services may be best positioned to weather this storm, as most encourage their users to register using their real names, whereas the big majority of microblogging and instant messaging users use Internet names that are often difficult or impossible to trace. But regardless of any of that, this expanded requirement will send a strong signal that anything and everything a person writes in any of these sites is being monitored by the government, discouraging many from using the services at all. In some ways, this latest crackdown looks similar to one 5 or 6 years ago on the then-vibrant text messaging services industry, a mainstay of Sina, Sohu and NetEase (Nasdaq: NTES) at that time. That crackdown effectively killed the industry in the years that followed. I doubt results of this crackdown will be as severe, but I would still look for activity on these social media sites to slow and even drop off sharply in the next year.

Bottom line: Beijing’s potential expansion of its real-name policy to all social media will send a chill through the industry and severely hamper its development.

Related postings 相关文章:

New Rule Hits Sina, Instant Messaging to Benefit? 微博实名重创新浪 即时信息服务有望受益

Govt’s Microblog Shift Looks Good for Weibo 政府口风转变或有利於新浪微博

Weibo Still Faces Crackdown Despite Govt Tie-Up 新浪微博难改“被监管”命运

New Rule Hits Sina, Instant Messaging to Benefit? 微博实名重创新浪 即时信息服务有望受益

The Internet world has been buzzing over the weekend about a new rule announced by the Beijing municipal government late last week requiring all microbloggers to use their real names. First off, I should applaud regulators for at least flagging this issue before making the actual move, as a high-ranking official said back in October that such a rule was being considered. (previous post) But that said, the new rule itself has left lots of people scratching their heads over what it all means. Clearly the big loser is Sina’s (Nasdaq: SINA) Weibo service, which stands to lose many of its more than 200 million users when the new rule is fully implemented. At least a few of my friends say they won’t keep using Weibo if they have to register with their real names, and I wouldn’t be surprised to see the service lose up to half of its active users by the time things settled down. Sina, which is already struggling after taking massive write-downs for its real estate and e-commerce investments (previous post), said it is still studying the new rules to figure out their impact. (company announcement) The news marks a major setback for Weibo, often called the Chinese equivalent of Twitter, which Sina was in the process of trying to monetize though progress was slow. This new rule may make Sina think twice about putting too much emphasis on Weibo, potentially killing plans for a separate IPO for this formerly promising business. In the meantime, one of my sources tells me the move by the Beijing city government is likely to be followed by other cities, meaning rival services from companies like NetEase (Nasdaq: NTES) will also be affected, though the impact should be limited since most of those have far fewer users than Weibo. What’s far less clear is how, if at all, instant messaging services, which have many microblogging-type characteristics, will be affected. I wrote about one of those in the mobile space last week, the Weixin service being developed by Tencent (HKEx: 700) (previous post), and many other companies are developing similar services, especially for use on mobile phones. I suspect these instant messaging services will escape regulation for now under this new rule, and could  even potentially benefit when droves of microbloggers start to defect from Weibo and other services in the months ahead.

Bottom line: Sina’s Weibo is the clear loser in Beijing’s new campaign to clamp down on microblogging, while instant messaging firms like Tencent could emerge as possible beneficiaries.

Related postings 相关文章:

Watch Out Weibo, Weixin Is Growing 新浪微博要小心腾讯微信要崛起

Govt’s Microblog Shift Looks Good for Weibo 政府口风转变或有利於新浪微博

Sina Results: Not So Diversified After All 新浪仍依赖广告,突围遇阻

News Digest: December 17-19, 2011

The following press releases and media reports about Chinese companies were carried on December 17-19. To view a full article or story, click on the link next to the headline.

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Sina (Nasdaq: SINA) Announces New Rules on Microblogging by Beijing Municipal Government (PRNewswire)

Alibaba’s $4 Billion Loan Takes Shape (English article)

Spreadtrum Communications (Nasdaq: SPRD) Announces Share Repurchase Program (PRNewswire)

Youku (NYSE: YOKU), Tudou (Nasdaq: TUDO) Trade Copyright Infringement Allegations (English article)

HNA Group Completes $1.05 Billion Purchase of GE Container-Leasing Venture (English article)

Watch Out Weibo, Weixin Is Growing 新浪微博要小心腾讯微信要崛起

While most of the China Internet world has been fixated on the meteoric rise of Sina’s (Nasdaq: SINA) Weibo microblogging service, a rival offering from Tencent (HKEx: 700) called Weixin, which literally means “tiny letter”, has quietly gained momentum and could pose a serious challenge in the near term. The looming Weibo vs Weixin rivalry also casts an interesting spotlight on the broader issue of PC vs mobile Internet, as Weibo is the clear leader in desktop web surfing while Weixin has a number of features that make it more suitable for mobile Internet use. Domestic media are reporting that Weixin had 50 million registered users, 20 million of those active, at the end of November. (English article) Of course those number still pale with Weibo’s 200 million registered users that Sina reported at the middle of this year. But considering Weixin was just launched early this year while Weibo has been in business for over 2 years now, Weixin clearly looks like an interesting bet. Others have tried to take on Weibo, including search titan Baidu (Nasdaq: BIDU), which shuttered its struggling microblogging service in May (previous post), and Renren (NYSE: RENN), which just recently joined the fray. (previous post) But Tencent has taken an interesting approach by developing Weixin as a product maximized for mobile microblogging, with features that, for example, allowing one’s phone to make a sound each time a new post is received and also allowing audio posts. Given that more and more of the Internet is going mobile, this initiative from Tencent, which has a strong track record of entering new business areas popularized by others, could have a good chance of success and pose the first strong challenge to Weibo. Meantime in the China Internet world, the cleanup of weaker US listed companies continues, with China CGame (Nasdaq: CCGM), a company whose market cap is just $4 million, reportedly being notified of its imminent de-listing from the Nasdaq — reports the company denies (Chinese article). Frankly speaking, I’m surprised this company hasn’t been delisted already, as it has traded below the $1 threshold required for continued listing since August. Such small companies have no business being listed on a big board anyhow, and the sooner this kind of company is purged from the big US exchanges the sooner investor confidence will return to this group of battered companies.

Bottom line: Tencent’s Weixin could soon pose a serious challenge to Sina’s Weibo microblogging service, drawing on its strong features aimed at mobile Internet users.

Related postings 相关文章:

Sina’s Weibo: Growth Engine or Growing Burden? 新浪微博:动力or负担?

Govt’s Microblog Shift Looks Good for Weibo 政府口风转变或有利於新浪微博

Baidu’s Latest Botch: Microblogging 百度“微博”的倒掉

Alibaba Scrambles to Prove High Valuation 阿里巴巴高估值或将作茧自缚

E-commerce leader Alibaba, scrambling to find financing to buy back a 40 percent stake in itself held by Yahoo (Nasdaq: YHOO), is in a sudden scramble to tell the world why it’s worth $32 billion — a number it helped to float into the market back in September and one which, in my view, seems ridiculously high. In separate news bits from the last day or so, media are reporting the company’s Etao e-commerce search engine has launched a historical pricing search feature (English article), while its popular Taobao consumer-oriented sites have launched social networking functions. (English article) First Etao, which Alibaba hopes to build up as an e-commerce search specialist to one day take on industry titan Baidu (Nasdaq: BIDU). This historical price search function seems like a good idea, as it would make it easier for cost-conscious consumers to track previous prices for items they want to buy. The only problem is that historical prices could soon be the only thing that Etao can show, as several major online retailers, including 360Buy and Dangdang (NYSE: DANG), have blocked their items from being indexed in Etao search results. (previous post) Meantime, the social networking functions being built into Taobao seem like a direct attempt to take on existing SNS sites like Renren (NYSE: RENN) and Sina’s (Nasdaq: SINA) Weibo. While this strategy of building on its industry-leading C2C and B2C platforms to build up SNS sounds interesting, the two areas are relatively unrelated and few if any Chinese web firms have successfully executed similar strategies despite many efforts to leverage popular existing services to build up a new, unrelated ones. This flurry of initiatives seems designed, at least in part, to show the world why Alibaba thinks it may be worth $32 billion. Its only listed unit, Alibaba.com (HKEx: 1688) has a market cap of about $5 billion. That means that its other big assets, which mostly consist of a very successful Taobao Mall and more modestly successful Etao and its Alipay e-payment service, would have to be worth $27 billion collectively, which seems unlikely. Ironically, Alibaba’s high estimation of its own value could ultimately come back to hurt it, as Yahoo apparently seems to want to sell its 40 percent of Alibaba based on that overinflated value. The true amount will come out when a sale finally occurs, but I suspect the final valuation will be closer to $20 billion.

Bottom line: Alibaba is trying to convince the market it is worth $32 billion, but a sale of 40 percent of the company held by Yahoo will probably show a much lower valuation.

Related postings 相关文章:

Alibaba Tests Waters for Yahoo Buyout – Again 阿里巴巴再试水竞购雅虎股权

Alibaba’s Incredible Shrinking Profit Growth 阿里巴巴盈利呈加速放缓趋势

Albaba Faces New Assaults From Merchants, 360Buy 阿里巴巴受到中小商户和京东商城的双重夹攻

 

NetEase Makes Buzz With Buyback, Pigs 网易回购股票和养猪重大决策或在即

There’s a mini-flurry of news out about online game specialist NetEase (Nasdaq: NTES), as the normally low-key company generate some buzz, perhaps in the prelude to a bigger announcement about the future of its portal business. None of the latest news is that exciting, but it’s all interesting nonetheless. In perhaps the biggest news, the company has joined many of its US-listed peers in announcing  a share buyback program worth up to $50 million, a relatively small amount but still significant enough to blip onto investor radar screens. (English article) The news helped to lift NetEase shares nearly 3 percent on Wall Street, outpacing the broader market but still a relatively modest move for this kind of company. In a more intriguing piece of news, the company’s soft-spoken founder Ding Lei has said an IPO is in store for his separate pig-raising business next year. (Chinese article) He made the comments in the city of Ningbo at an event centered on agriculture, which seems to be Ding’s relatively newfound passion as he also invests in red wine. The pig venture could actually be an interesting investment proposition, considering China’s love for pork and the country’s recent concerns about food safety. This kind of big publicly-listed pork company could easily become an industry leader, as this kind of massive producer  can better guarantee food quality and safety. In one additional tidbit, NetEase is also reporting on its own news page that it has officially launched a social networking site (SNS) called Lofter. This is probably the least interesting news, as Sina (Nasdaq: SINA) launched a similar product earlier this year to complement its Weibo microblogging service (previous post), and both products will have to compete with more established sites operated by Renren (NYSE: RENN) and Kaixin. From my perspective, this recent flurry of news could be a prelude to a decision on what NetEase plans to do with its Internet portal, which was its main business many years ago but later took a back seat to games that now make up the bulk of its revenue. The company said earlier this year it is aiming to revitalize its portal and spin it off (previous post), and I expect this new flurry of news could presage an announcement soon about the portal’s future.

Bottom line: A recent flurry of news from NetEase could presage an announcement about future plans for its portal business, involving a potential sale or  public listing.

Related postings 相关文章:

NetEase Sharpens Up Messaging in Run-Up to Portal Spin-Off 网易剥离门户网站 再度磨砺电邮服务

NetEase Looks to Reinvigorate Portal 网易似要重振门户

Renren Discovers Microblogging Too Late

News Digest: December 2, 2011

The following press releases and media reports about Chinese companies were carried on December 2. To view a full article or story, click on the link next to the headline.

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Hua Hong NEC, Grace Close To Merger – Sources (English article)

◙ Sina-Invested (Nasdaq: SINA) Mecox Lane (Nasdaq: MCOX) Reports $14.4 Mln Q3 Loss (Chinese article)

Sina (Nasdaq: SINA) Weibo Launches Voluntary Real Name System (English article)

NetEase’s (Nasdaq: NTES) Board Approves New Share Repurchase Program (PRNewswire)

Lenovo (HKEx: 992) To Launch Windows-Based Smartphone Next Year (Chinese article)

Baidu, Sohu Highlight China Shell Games 百度搜狐拆分业务让金融骗局再度受关注

When was the last time you saw Google (Nasdaq: GOOG) or Amazon (Nasdaq: AMZN) spin off one of its units into a separately listed company or inject assets from its parent company into a listed unit? The answer of course is that they never engage in any of these common practices of big China state-run companies, but that hasn’t stopped the country’s booming private Internet sector from becoming increasing masters at such games. The latest machinations in these games have seen Sohu (Nasdaq: SOHU) sell its online game information site, 17173.com, to its separately listed online game unit, Changyou (Nasdaq: CYOU) for a nifty $162 million (English article; Chinese article), while search leader Baidu (Nasdaq: BIDU) is spinning off its struggling e-commerce site YouA into an independent company complete with its own venture funding. (English article) Of course, the granddaddy of this kind of shell game is Shanda Interactive (Nasdaq: SNDA), which listed on the Nasdaq many years ago, then spun off its core online game business into a separately listed company, Shanda Games (Nasdaq: GAME), and is now in the process of trying to spin off its  online literature unit into yet another public company, Cloudary, even as Shanda Interactive itself attempts to de-list as its share price languishes. (previous post) Leading web portal Sina (Nasdaq: SINA) has also engaged in this kind of financial shell game. This situation has evolved in part because many of China’s Internet companies often stray from their core business into completely unrelated areas — a practice seldom seen at major Western firms. But from an investor perspective, this kind of game results in a lack of transparency, as parent companies can often manipulate situations to make results of these spun-off companies appear on their own balance sheets if the results are positive, and then magically disappear if the business is performing poorly. Shares of Chinese web firms are currently mostly the playthings of speculative short-term investors; but if these companies ever want to be taken seriously by longer-term institutional buyers, this kind of game playing is one of the first things that needs to stop.

Bottom line: The latest spin-offs by Baidu and Sohu cast a spotlight on China web firms’ fondness for financial shell games, which will continue to scare off long-term institutional investors.

Related postings 相关文章:

Shanda Moves Ahead With Privatization 投资者对盛大私有化仍持保留态度

Shanda Plays Games With Big Dividend 盛大游戏寄望高额分红计划提振股价

Sina’s Weibo: Growth Engine or Growing Burden? 新浪微博:动力or负担?

Rumor Mongers Seize on Crisis With Sina Attack

You know things are getting bad when the short sellers seizing on the the confidence crisis for US-listed China stocks themselves come under attack, which was the case with a recent rumor that short seller Muddy Waters was preparing an assault on leading web portal Sina (Nasdaq: SINA). (Chinese article) The rumors have certainly taken their toll, with Sina shares losing more than a third of their value in the last 3 weeks, even as Muddy Waters — in a rare case where it commented on its activities — denied it was preparing such an attack. In a way, this looks a bit like the perfect storm of factors working against Sina. In early November the company reported third-quarter results that were quite disappointing, including massive write-downs for its e-commerce and real estate initiatives that revealed its attempts to diversify beyond its core portal business were largely flopping. (previous post) Later in the month, Muddy Waters itself launched another very real attack on Focus Media (Nasdaq: FMCN), questioning some of the company’s claims about its reach, causing Focus shares to plummet despite vigorous denials by the company. (previous post) Making the entire situation worse, some of Sina’s rivals, which I will decline to name specifically, happily helped to spread the rumors about an imminent Muddy Waters attack, pointing out on an almost daily basis how Sina’s stock was sinking fast and reaching new lows. Of course, all this comes against the backdrop of a broader confidence crisis for US-listed China stocks, which began with a short seller report earlier in the year calling into question the accounting of Longtop Financial, which ultimately resulted in the de-listing of a company that formerly had a market cap in the billions of dollars. At the end of all this, Sina’s shares have now lost more than half of their value from their highs back in April and May, when the company was riding high on hopes for its incredibly popular Weibo microblogging service. If you’re a big believer in Weibo, now might be the perfect time to buy into Sina, as I doubt its stock can sink too much lower in this perfect storm of bad news.

Bottom line: A weak earnings report and rumors of a short seller attack have beaten down Sina shares, which are unlikely to sink much lower in this perfect storm of negative news.

Related postings 相关文章:

Sina Results: Not So Diversified After All 新浪仍依赖广告,突围遇阻

Short Sellers Target China in Year End Assault 做空抛盘年底将矛头对准在美上市中国企业

Sina’s Weibo: Growth Engine or Growing Burden? 新浪微博:动力or负担?