Tag Archives: Sina

Sina latest Business & Financial news overview of Doug Young, the Expert on Chinese companies, (former Journalist and Chief editor at Reuters)

Govt’s Microblog Shift Looks Good for Weibo 政府口风转变或有利於新浪微博

It seems like barely a day goes by lately without state media singing the latest praises of microblogging, a development which could bode well for dominant player Weibo but which could also hold risks if Beijing decides this popular form of social networking is too important to leave to organic development in the hands of private developers. Followers of Weibo, often called the Twitter of China, will recall that the platform was the source of criticism by state media for much of the first half of the year, which blamed it for spreading rumors from users who could hide behind cloaks of anonymity. One official even came out as recently as last month and suggested that all microblog users might have to register with their real names, a development that would have sent a huge chill through networks like Weibo and other services operated by names like NetEase (Nasdaq: NTES). (previous post) Fast forward to now, when the tone in the debate has changed quite a bit, following Beijing’s latest  decision that microblogging was a great tool for the government to communicate with the people. Following that shift, major state media gush almost daily about the latest government agencies that have opened accounts on Weibo, and have also taken to reporting the other positive effects of microblogging sites. The lead story on page 1 of today’s China Daily is headlined “Micro blogs open a world of communication”, and a search on the subject on its web page reveals positive stories praising everything from microblogging’s role in fighting organized crime to helping people to find love. No mention seems to be made anymore of rumor mongering and the medium’s ability to create social unrest. Of course all that should be good for Weibo and its struggling parent, Sina (Nasdaq: SINA), whose shares have lost about half their value since June as many of its investments outside its core web portal business have stumbled. All this latest praise from Beijing seems to indicate Weibo won’t be shut down or reined in anytime soon, which should be a relief to Sina. Now it just has to find a way to make money off the platform, and also take care to keep Beijing happy by convincing it of Weibo’s important role in developing a harmonious society.

Bottom line: Beijing’s recent shift in tone marks a positive development for microblogging services like Weibo, which are now being called important communicators rather than rumor mongers.

Related postings 相关文章:

Sina Results: Not So Diversified After All 新浪仍依赖广告,突围遇阻

Weibo Still Faces Crackdown Despite Govt Tie-Up 新浪微博难改“被监管”命运

Sina’s Weibo: Growth Engine or Growing Burden? 新浪微博:动力or负担?

News Digest: November 10, 2011

The following press releases and media reports about Chinese companies were carried on November 10. To view a full article or story, click on the link next to the headline.

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Goldman (NYSE: GS) Selling Up to $1.54 Billion in China ICBC (HKEx: 1398) Stake (English article)

China Telecom (HKEx: 728), China Unicom (HKEx: 762) Face Monopoly Probe (English article)

Tencent (HKEx: 700) Announces 2011 Q3 Results (PRNewswire)

Suntech (NYSE: STP) Announces Preliminary Results for Q3 2011 (PRNewswire)

Sina (Nasdaq: SINA) Weibo Reaches 250 Mln Users (English article)

News Digest: November 1, 2011

The following press releases and media reports about Chinese companies were carried on November 1. To view a full article or story, click on the link next to the headline.

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Sohu.com (Nasdaq: SOHU) Reports Q3 Unaudited Financial Results (PRNewswire)

◙ China Online Sales Seen Tripling Driving Warehouse Surge: Retail (English article)

Tencent (HKEx: 700) Confirms Strategic Investment in Kaixin (Chinese article)

Baofeng Selects Underwriters for 2012 US IPO (English article)

Sina Corp (Nasdaq: SINA) to Report Q3 2011 Results on November 8 (PRNewswire)

Kaixin Raises Profile in Renewed IPO March 开心网一改低调有意再次赴美上市

The normally low-key Kaixin, China’s second largest social networking system (SNS), has suddenly raised its profile with a stream of headline-making announcements, in what looks like a bid to drum up publicity in the run-up to a revival for its US listing plan that got shelved earlier this year. In two separate pieces of news, domestic media are citing unnamed sources saying that Kaixin has agreed to form a social gaming joint venture with Shanda (Nasdaq: GAME), one of China’s leading leading online game operators (English article); and the company itself has made a relatively ho-hum announcement of another tie-up with a US company called Message Systems to strengthen the messaging platforms on its site. (company announcement) Those two news bits come just a week after media reported, and the company partially confirmed, that leading Internet firm Tencent (HKEx: 700) had taken a stake in Kaixin, joining a group of previous investors that included Sina (Nasdaq: SINA). (previous post) The recent flurry of news also follows a rare press conference led by media-shy Kaixin founder Cheng Binghao in August, where he addressed reports that the company’s business was slowing. (previous post) The company had previously been in a race with Renren (NYSE: RENN), China’s biggest SNS operator, to make an IPO earlier this year, but lost out in that contest. Reports indicated Kaixin was ready to finally go public during the summer, but may have temporarily shelved the plan amid a broader wave of negative sentiment towards China stocks due to concerns over accounting practices. Now that the negative sentiment seems to have faded and is more neutral, this recent flurry of activity mentioning big-name players like Shanda and Tencent, looks like Kaixin is trying to drum up excitement in preparation to relaunch its IPO bid. Pending any unforeseen changes in the market, the timing actually looks quite good, and an offering in the next month would probably do well. It certainly couldn’t do worse than money-losing Renren, whose shares initially after their May debut, but are now down nearly 60 percent from their offer price, caught up in the negative China sentiment.

Bottom line: A recent flurry of activity indicates Kaixin is gearing up to relaunch its delayed IPO, which should do well as negative sentiment towards China stocks subsides.

Related postings 相关文章:

Kaxin Buys Time With Tencent Tie-Up 开心网与腾讯合作堪称一箭双雕

Renren Discovers Microblogging Too Late

Gaopeng, Kaixin Spotlight China Internet Turmoil 高朋网、开心网凸显中国互联网混乱现状

News Digest: October 22-24, 2011

The following press releases and media reports about Chinese companies were carried on October 22-24. To view a full article or story, click on the link next to the headline.

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◙ China Slams US Over Solar Complaint (English article)

Sina (Nasdaq: SINA) Weibo Unveils On-Deck Search Site (English article)

Huawei to Break Into US Through Innovation – Executive (Chinese article)

Yingli Green Energy (NYSE: YGE) Statement on SolarWorld America’s Petitions (PRNewswire)

Saab’s Survival Chances Dwindle as Chinese Investors Cut Offer (English article)

China Regulors Threaten E-Commerce, Group Buying 官方监管威胁到电子商务与团购业务

After standing aside and letting its online sector develop largely unhindered for the last decade, China is suddenly showing a worrisome trend of trying to regulate everything on its often unruly Internet, a move that, while needed, could also interfere with market forces. In separate developments on the same day, media are reporting Beijing is preparing to regulate both its group buying sites as well as its e-commerce sector to bring more order to these spaces that have become ultra-competitive in the last 1-2 years. (group buying article; e-commerce article) In this case the reason behind each move is unrelated. For group buying, the reason seems simply to be a desire to regulate an industry that has become ultra-competitive, with quality control virtually non-existent and many players teetering on the brink of closing. (previous post) For e-commerce, the issue is directly related to a massive fee hike last week by Alibaba’s Taobao Mall, China’s leading B2C site, that led to an uprising by smaller merchants who complained they were being targeted for elimination from the site. These two new rounds of regulation for major emerging sectors follow other recent reports that China will soon regulate the vibrant micro-blogging space, and months after it issued its first round of electronic payment licenses and as it prepares to issue online mapping licenses. There definitely seems to be a trend emerging here, which looks a bit worrisome in light of Beijing’s past record at heavy-handed interference in emerging tech sectors. In one case a few years back, Beijing’s heavy regulatory hand effectively killed a vibrant SMS industry that was once a major source of revenue for the likes of Sina (Nasdaq: SINA), Sohu (Nasdaq: SOHU) and NetEase (Nasdaq: NTES). It has also attempted to regulate online games from time to time, which may be partly responsible for that industry’s unexciting growth profile of recent years after years of explosive growth. While some form of direction is certainly needed to bring order to the unruly e-commerce and online auction sectors, it’s far from clear to me that this direction needs to come from Beijing, which instead would be better advised to provide some “guidance” and let market forces do the main work.

Bottom line: New campaigns by Beijing to regulate e-commerce and online auctions are misguided efforts that will ultimately severely hamper growth in both sectors.

Related postings 相关文章:

Taobao Mall’s IPO March Collides With Merchant Uprising 淘宝商城IPO或因商户“起义”被推迟

Group Buying Turmoil Grows With 55tuan Layoffs 窝窝团撤站裁员 团购业整合在即

Investors Punish Sina for Slow Weibo Progress

Kaxin Buys Time With Tencent Tie-Up 开心网与腾讯合作堪称一箭双雕

Kaixin, one of China’s top social networking service (SNS) sites, has discovered that Wall Street doesn’t necessarily like money-losing companies and has turned instead to Internet titan Tencent (HKEx: 700) for a cash infusion that looks like a shrewd move as China’s Internet bubble shows signs of correcting. A company spokesman has confirmed receiving the investment, though he wouldn’t elaborate on the size or nature of the tie-up. (English article) From my perspective, this is exactly the kind of investment that all money-losing Chinese web firms should be seeking, rather than rushing to make IPOs that simply tell the world how much money they are losing and forcing them to focus more on becoming profitable rather than building their business. The new tie-up with Tencent comes after another Chinese Internet leader, top web portal Sina (Nasdaq: SINA), has already invested in the company, giving Kaixin two very potent partners to help it build up its SNS business, whose growth founder Cheng Binghao previously said is starting to slow. (previous post) Like many of its Internet peers, Kaixin was previously gearing up to make a New York IPO, even though it was still losing money; but this Tencent investment appears to signal it has shelved those plans for the moment in favor of building up its business and waiting for sustained profitability before going public. Kaixin’s main rival, Renren (NYSE: RENN), was among a group of money-losing China web companies that went public starting late last year when their shares were in big demand from investors keen to buy into the China Internet growth story. Since then, however, sentiment has cooled considerably to all US-listed China firms, partly due to realization that China’s Internet was a bit overhyped. After jumping 30 percent on its trading debut in May, Renren’s shares have moved steadily downward and are now trading 60 percent below their IPO price. By bringing in Tencent as a new investor, Kaixin is not only giving itself more time to become profitable, but once it does go public should also avoid the kind of volatility that Renren has seen.

Bottom line: Kaixin’s new investment from Tencent looks like a good tie-up, and will give it more time to become profitable and avoid an unfriendly IPO market for China Internet stocks.

Related postings 相关文章:

Gaopeng, Kaixin Spotlight China Internet Turmoil 高朋网、开心网凸显中国互联网混乱现状

Renren Results: A Mixed Bag for Everyone 人人网业绩:苦乐参半

Sina’s Latest Weibo Move Looks Like SNS 新浪似要发展社交网站

Weibo Still Faces Crackdown Despite Govt Tie-Up 新浪微博难改“被监管”命运

Everyone is buzzing over remarks from a senior party official saying government agencies should embrace mircroblogging to better perform their jobs, interpreting the comments to mean that the popular medium dominated by Sina’s (Nasdaq: SINA) Weibo service won’t come under regulatory pressure soon as many had feared. But a closer look at the actual remarks by Wang Chen, director of China’s State Council Information Office, offers no such reassurances, and I predict it’s only a matter of time before the industry indeed comes under strict new regulations, seriously hampering Weibo and other Twitter-like microblogging services in China. (English article) Wang’s remarks sparked a rally in Sina shares, which soared 18 percent on the news. But a more careful look at his comments show he merely encouraged government agencies to actively use microblogging to better serve society. That sounds fine, but it doesn’t really address the major concern that sparked a sell-off of Sina shares earlier this month after another official said the government was likely to require all microbloggers to register with their real names in the future to curb the rampant rumor mongering and anonymous critical blabbering that has become a staple on the medium. (previous post) That requirement sent a chill over Sina shares because investors realized that many of Weibo’s 200 million registered users would probably decline to open new accounts using their real names if such a new requirement was added, greatly lowering the number of users and Weibo’s attractiveness to advertisers and others who might be willing to pay for exposure on the system. While the latest remarks indicate Weibo isn’t likely to be shut down anytime soon and may even have good government relations, they don’t change the reality that strict new regulations are almost inevitable as the government tries to clean up the mircroblogging space.

Bottom line: New remarks showing government support for microblogging don’t change the fact that strict new regulations are coming that will lower traffic dramatically.

Related postings 相关文章:

Sina’s Weibo: Growth Engine or Growing Burden? 新浪微博:动力or负担?

Investors Punish Sina for Slow Weibo Progress

Sina Gets Serious on SNS With New “Blogging Light” 新浪推出轻博客 大力进军社交网络业务

Sina’s Weibo: Growth Engine or Growing Burden? 新浪微博:动力or负担?

After months of seeing its shares and prospects soar on non-stop hype about its phenomenally successful Weibo microblogging service, Sina (Nasdaq: SINA) is quickly learning that what goes up often comes down, and that great chances for growth also carry equally great risk. In a rare setback for Weibo, which boasts 200 million users, Hong Kong media reported over the weekend that China is considering new regulations for the unruly microblogging sector, which has become an increasingly fertile ground for fanning public discontent and spreading rumors by people often using fictitious names. (English article) According to the report, the biggest change being considered would require all microbloggers to register accounts using their real names — a development that would instantly probably wipe out about 90 percent of the accounts now in use. Such a move is certainly consistent with previous measures taken by Beijing, which is trying to limit things like rumor mongering and spam, even as some criticize such moves as also limiting free speech. Even if less drastic measures are ultimately taken, the increased regulation doesn’t look good for Weibo and microblogging in general. Investors, recognizing that fact, have been dumping Sina shares en masse, sending the stock down by a third in the last 3 weeks. Making the situation worse, in my opinion, is the steady stream of reports about new social networking services (SNS) that Sina is now rolling out to try and leverage Weibo’s popularity. In the latest of those, local media are reporting that Sina is launching a new SNS product called Kandian (English article), after launching another related product called Qing back in July. (previous post) I understand that Sina is looking for ways to turn Weibo into a profit center, but this pattern of launching so many new businesses in such a short time looks very rushed and lacking in long-term vision, and could very well backfire by leaving Sina and Weibo with a new group of lackluster performers rather than the next new Internet sensation.

Bottom line: Looming new government regulations and an increasingly chaotic growth strategy both look like bad developments for Sina’s popular Weibo microblogging site.

Related postings 相关文章:

Sina, Tencent Pose Threat in SNS, E-Commerce 新浪腾讯攻城掠地

Sina Gets Serious on SNS With New “Blogging Light” 新浪推出轻博客 大力进军社交网络业务

Sina’s Weibo Steps Outside China 新浪微博进军日本市场

HK Woes Point to Shanghai Sell-Off Next Week 港股跌宕起伏沪深後市堪忧

China’s struggling stock markets are taking a much-needed weeklong break for the National Day holiday, but weak sentiment has continued unabated in Hong Kong, where the stock market tanked earlier in the week and shares of premier brokerage Citic Securities (HKEx: 6030) stumbled badly in their first trading debut outside China. The Hong Kong board started off the week in free-fall, shedding 7.6 percent on Monday and Tuesday before staging a rally on Thursday. But it was still down 2.4 percent at the start of the Friday trading day, and the volatility clearly reflects investor angst over what will happen when trading resumes in Shanghai and Shenzhen next Monday, with more sell-offs likely. In the midst of the chaos, shares of Citic Securities (Shanghai: 600030), the first in a string of high-profile listings of major state-connected firms aimed at propping up the markets, stumbled out of the gate, losing as much as 10.5 percent from their IPO price on their first trading day before finishing the day unchanged, even as the broader market rallied 5.7 percent. (English article) The weak debut, which came after Citic Securities already scaled back the offering and priced its shares at the low end of their range, bodes poorly for a number of other major state-run firms lining up to go public, including Sany Heavy Industries (Shanghai: 600031), which is also planning a listing in Hong Kong, and China Communications Construction, which is planning a Shanghai listing. (previous post). Meantime, the weakness has led two premier Hong Kong-listed China Internet names, Tencent (HKEx: 700) and Alibaba.com (HKEx: 1668), to do the once unthinkable and actually buy back their shares (Tencent article; Alibaba article). They join a list of peers that has so far included many mid-sized US-listed China tech firms like Ctrip (Nasdaq: CTRP) and Renren (NYSE: RENN) but has yet to see the likes of top names like Baidu (Nasdaq: BIDU) and Sina (Nasdaq: SINA) resort to such buy-backs. But if the current sell-off continues, we might even see these big names join the buy-back frenzy, showing just how low sentiment has sunk towards China plays, especially Internet stocks.

Bottom line: China’s stock markets will fall when trading resumes next week, extending sell-offs in Hong Kong and New York while Chinese markets were closed for the October 1 holiday.

Related postings 相关文章:

Beijing IPO Campaign to Boost Markets Falls Flat 大宗IPO提振中国股市或成泡影

China Offers Up Premier IPOs to Revive Markets 大企业沪港上市 政府借机重燃沪港生机

CITIC Securities $2 Bln IPO Looks Good, With Potential to Jumpstart HK 中信证券香港IPO值得期待

US China Stocks: Bloodbath Becomes Correction 在美上市中资股遭抛售 迈入股价修正新阶段

The sell-off of US-listed China stocks accelerated on Thursday, with shares of premier names Baidu (Nasdaq: BIDU) and Sina (Nasdaq: SINA) each dropping around 10 percent after US media quoted a securities regulator saying his agency was looking into accounting fraud by US-listed Chinese firms. (English article) But after months of negative news and selling of these stocks, I’m convinced this sell-off is moving into a new phase that marks a long-awaited correction in unrealistic valuations for many of these companies during a massive run-up in their prices over the last few years fueled by China Internet hype. A closer look at the market will show that the Thursday sell-off was hardly broad-based but rather was largely limited to companies with overinflated valuations. Even after a sell-off that has seen its shares drop more than 30 percent in the last 3 of weeks, Sina shares still trade at a ridiculously high price-to-earnings ratio of 115 times earnings for the next 12 months. Baidu shares, which have lost a similar amount over the same period, now trade at a more reasonable but still high PE of 42. By comparison, online travel leader Ctrip (Nasdaq: CTRP) and leading social networking site Renren (NYSE: RENN) both saw their shares actually gain on Wall Street on Thursday, as each announced a share buyback plan of $100 million and $150 million, respectively. (Ctrip announcement; Renren announcement) Perhaps these buy-back announcements helped to protect Ctrip and Renren’s shares to some extent in yesterday’s sell-off; but more importantly, Ctrip now has a more modest valuation of 30 times earnings for the next 12 months, while Renren’s PE is negative as it’s still losing money. All that said, I think it’s highly unlikely that these bigger, industry leaders are the focus of regulatory investigations, which are mostly reserved for the smaller US-listed China firms without big-name accountants. Instead, this continued sell-off looks like it has turned into a much needed correction for overhyped Chinese stocks, which will continue until their valuations come down to more reasonable levels.

Bottom line: Investors who profited from a run-up in US-listed Chinese stocks over the last few years are seizing on a confidence crisis to pocket their gains.

在美上市中资股周四再遭抛售。美国媒体引述美国证券交易委员会一位官员的话表示,司法部正在调查一些在美国股票交易所挂牌的中资企业财务违规问题。受此影响,百度<BIDU.O>、新浪<SINA.O>等双双大跌约10%。不过,经过数月来的负面消息与相关股票的抛售,我认为中资股抛售正进入新阶段,开始修正过去几年来对这些企业逐渐形成的不现实估值。细看市场表现,你会发现周四中资股并非全面遭遇抛售,主要局限於估值过高企业。过去三周新浪股价虽已大跌超30%,但其未来12个月动态市盈率仍高达115倍。百度股价同期跌幅与新浪几乎相当,目前其市盈率为42倍,相对合理一些,但仍非常高。相比之下,中国国内领先的携程旅行网<CTRP.O>与社交网络人人网<RENN.N>周四实际逆势上扬。两公司均宣布股票回购计划,规模分别为1亿美元与1.5亿,也许回购计划在一定程度上帮助两公司股票在昨天的抛售中免遭一劫。但更重要的是,携程未来12个月动态市盈率为30倍,人人网由於仍在亏损,市盈率为负值。虽然如此,我认为这些行业领头羊不大可能是此次监管调查的焦点,调查重点可能主要集中在所用会计企业不太知名的、在美上市较小中资企业。此次继续抛售看起来正转变为中国概念股的修正,相关企业估值回到合理水平前,股价修正还会继续。

一句话:过去几年中利用在美上市中资股获利的投资者正抓住此次信任危机售股套现。

Related postings 相关文章:

US-Listed China Firms Fight Back — Finally 中国赴美上市公司最终还击

Securities Regulator Seizes on US Confidence Crisis 中国证监会或介入企业海外上市

Accounting Scandal Claims AutoChina As Second Big Victim