Bottom line: Tencent’s recent cash-raising frenzy probably signals a major equity investment coming in the next few months, with a merged Meituan-Dianping or Activision as the most likely targets.
Tencent raises more cash via syndicated loan
Tencent(HKEx: 700) may be the lowest-key of China’s big 3 Internet companies, but the company has been far louder on the money- raising scene by borrowing billions of dollars in cash lately. The social networking (SNS) giant has raised billions through a series of bond issues over the last year, and now looks set to raise another $1.5 billion through a syndicated loan that it’s reportedly negotiating with several major western lenders.
All this raises the question of what exactly Tencent is targeting with all the new cash. The company has been the least acquisitive of China’s big 3 Internet companies, which include itself, Alibaba(NYSE: BABA) and Baidu(Nasdaq: BIDU), amid a major consolidation in China’s Internet over the last 2 years. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: An unexpected mid-sized transaction between Baidu and Perfect World could indicate the former is preparing to buy the latter, with an aim to building up a major new player in the online gaming and literature spaces.
Baidu eyeing Perfect World?
Leading search engine Baidu(Nasdaq: BIDU) has reportedly just sold its online literature unit to the recently privatized Perfect World, in a rare reversal for China’s big Internet companies that have been far more active as buyers over the last 3 years. The deal is relatively small, with a reported sale price of 1.2 billion yuan, or about $190 million.
Media are focusing on the fact that Baidu paid far less when it bought the literature unit for a reported 190 million yuan from the same Perfect World just 2 years ago, meaning Baidu earned quite a nice profit on the investment. But more intriguing is the possibility that this move could presage an acquisition of Perfect World by Baidu, which looks quite logical for a number of reasons I’ll describe shortly. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: JD’s decision to shutter its Paipai C2C marketplace looks like a smart move, as China looks set to crack down on online trafficking in fake goods that is often rampant and hard to police on such sites.
JD to shutter Paipai by next April
E-commerce JD.com(Nasdaq: JD) has just announced it is formally shuttering it Paipai C2C site, citing difficulties policing the thousands of small merchants and individuals who sell products on the site. Timing of the move is slightly strange, since JD announced the downbeat decision just a day before the November 11 Singles Day, which has become the world’s biggest day for online shoppers.
On the surface at least, the move looks like a major victory for archrival Alibaba(NYSE: BABA), whose Taobao online marketplace competes directly with Paipai and controls the vast majority of China’s C2C e-commerce market. But the move also represents a major tactical decision for JD, since C2C markets are notoriously difficult to police for fakes, substandard products and fraud due to the huge number of merchants they host. Read Full Post…
The following press releases and media reports about Chinese companies were carried on November 11. To view a full article or story, click on the link next to the headline.
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Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) Generates $5 Bln GMV in First 90 Minutes of Singles Day Festival (Businesswire)
The following press releases and media reports about Chinese companies were carried on November 7. To view a full article or story, click on the link next to the headline.
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Tencent (HKEx: 700) in Talks to Borrow up to $1.5 Bln in Syndicated Loan (English article)
JD (Nasdaq: JD) Sues Alibaba for Misleading Users on Speedy Delivery (English article)
Bottom line: Tencent’s latest plan to invest $1 billion in Meituan-Dianping looks like an awkward bid for control of the newly merged company, which could attract a rival bid from Alibaba.
Tencent as awkward suitor
Social networking giant Tencent(HKEx: 700) has never been very good at public relations, unlike slicker Internet rivals Alibaba(NYSE: BABA) and Baidu (Nasdaq: BIDU), whose founders are much better at wooing the media and investors. That refrain is ringing true once again with the latest mega-investment headlines, which appear to show Tencent making an awkward bid for the newly formed group buying giant created by the merger between former rivals Dianping and Meituan.
In fact, Tencent isn’t really bidding for the new company outright, but appears to be voicing its future intent by offering the merged company $1 billion in new funding. Such a funding would boost Tencent’s current equity in the merged company, in which it already holds a stake following its purchase of 20 percent of Dianping last year for $400 million. Such a bid would seem like a direct challenge to Alibaba, which also holds a relatively large stake in the newly merged company through its participation in a $300 million funding round for Meituan last year. Read Full Post…
The following press releases and media reports about Chinese companies were carried on November 3. To view a full article or story, click on the link next to the headline.
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Tencent (HKEx: 700) Plans $1 Bln Investment in New Meituan-Dianping (English article)
HSBC (HKEx: 5) Targets Chinese Bond Market with Securities JV (English article)
Gaming Firm Giant Interactive to Backdoor List Through New Century Cruise (English article)
Ming Yang (NYSE: MY) Announces Receipt of “Going Private” Proposal (PRNewswire)
Baixing.com Submits Filings, Aims for Year-End IPO on China’s OTC Board (Chinese article)
Bottom line: Lack of revenue figures in a wealth of new data on WeChat indicates the service continues to lose big money, and could become a drag on Tencent’s profits if commercialization efforts don’t accelerate soon.
WeChat: Where’s the revenue?
Social networking giant Tencent(HKEx: 700) has just released a wealth of information about its wildly popular WeChat, including a headline figure that the wildly popular mobile messaging service now has a whopping 570 million active users. But missing from the wealth of new information are any meaningful monetary figures, reflecting the slow progress that Tencent is making in commercializing a service whose huge popularity also means its quite costly to operate.
People love to talk about WeChat and how popular it is, but you see far less discussion about how much money Tencent is losing on the service. There’s even less discussion of when it might become profitable. But all that said, Tencent is such a cash-rich company it can easily afford to keep pouring money into WeChat for the next decade or more until the day when profits finally come. The big risks, of course, are that investors may not be that patient, and that newer and more popular services could come along. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: New signals that China’s 3 telcos are reducing their spending could presage a rumored consolidation of the trio into 2, with China Telecom and Unicom the most likely to be merged.
China telcos rope in spending
The latest sign of a potential shake-up in China’s stodgy telecoms sector came late last week, when global networking equipment giant Ericsson (Nasdaq: ERIC) attributed reorganization and weak spending by the nation’s big 3 carriers as a major factor behind its disappointing quarterly results. Despite expectation that China’s big 3 carriers would spend heavily on 4G this year, actual amounts so far have been relatively modest from the trio of China Mobile (HKEx: 941; NYSE: CHL), China Unicom (HKEx: 762; NYSE: CHU) and China Telecom (HKEx: 728; NYSE: CHA).
The unexpected spending slowdown could be the latest sign that Beijing is planning an industry overhaul, following reports that first emerged last month of a possible consolidation of the 3 current mobile carriers into just 2. Such a move would reflect Beijing’s disappointment at the failure of China’s state-run carriers to become global innovators over the last decade, even after receiving monopoly rights over a market that has become the world’s largest for mobile and broadband services. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: A growing alliance between JD.com and Tencent could start to seriously challenge Alibaba’s dominance of China e-commerce in the next 2 years, as the rivals use the upcoming November 11 Singles Day to showcase their prowess.
JD joins Nov 11 courtship of online shoppers
This year’s November 11 Singles Day shopping extravaganza is shaping up as a guerrilla courtship of Chinese online shoppers by the nation’s 2 e-commerce leaders, as each vies for supremacy on a date that’s become the world’s busiest for online buying. Just days after leading operator Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) announced its own grand plans to seduce shoppers, rival JD.com (Nasdaq: JD) has come out with its own counter scheme that aims to court China’s hordes or singles in an alliance drawing on its growing ties with leading social networking (SNS) operator Tencent (HKEx: 700).
The stakes in this brewing war are huge. Last year alone, Alibaba reported 278 million orders worth $9.3 billion around the promotion that it created on the November 11 holiday, which represents the epitome of singledom due to its numerical representation as 11-11, or four 1’s. JD declined to give a sales value for its orders last year, but said it posted 14 million orders, which would translate to far more modest but still significant sum of about $500 million worth of merchandise sold based on Alibaba’s rate. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Shanda Games’ imminent de-listing could be followed by a behind-the-scenes consolidation by one or more savvy private equity firms to create a major new online game firm capable of challenging NetEase or even Tencent.
Shanda Games heads for de-listing door
Faded online gaming pioneer Shanda Games (Nasdaq: GAME) is finally heading for greener pastures, releasing what’s likely to be its final earnings report as its shareholders get set to vote on a plan to privatize the company. Shanda Games’ road to privatization has been long and tortured, and is only now finally coming to completion after its initial announcement nearly 2 years ago. (previous post) But that said, I do have to commend Shanda’s strong-willed founder and chief Chen Tianqiao for finally getting the job done.
From a broader perspective, Shanda’s departure continues a trend that has seen online game companies de-listing en mass, after their stocks struggled for years due to stiff competition. In an interesting twist to that trend, these gaming laggards have been one of the few groups to actually complete privatizations among the 3 dozen US-traded Chinese companies that announced such buyouts earlier this year. Read Full Post…
